NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Seattle SuperSonics	101		Excitement	6.1 [623]		MVP	Rashard Lewis (SEA): +21.3%
Toronto Raptors	94		Comeback	2.6 [237]		LVP	Jalen Rose (TOR): -15.7%

Seattle SuperSonics
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Rashard Lewis	0.21	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.17,0.14,0.23,0.23,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.22,0.22,0.21,0.21,0.21	0.15	0.07	-0.00	18	69%	0.24	1	-0.03	3	100%	0.02
Antonio Daniels	0.12	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,0,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	-0.01	0.09	-0.04	14	53%	0.12	1	-0.00	8	62%	-0.01
Ray Allen	0.10	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.07	0.01	-0.02	16	62%	0.12	1	-0.02	7	100%	0.04
Nick Collison	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	-0.01	0.01	-0.03	3	50%	0.03	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.00
Luke Ridnour	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.11,-0.04,-0.06,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.03	0.02	-0.01	8	56%	0.06	3	-0.06	2	100%	0.00
Danny Fortson	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.08	-0.01	-0.05	5	44%	0.03	2	-0.07	6	83%	0.03
Vladimir Radmanovic	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.05	0.00	-0.00	11	41%	0.01	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Jerome James	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.04	-0.02	-0.00	1	0%	-0.02	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Reggie Evans	-0.12	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.10	-0.02	-0.00	3	12%	-0.06	2	-0.06	2	50%	-0.01

Toronto Raptors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Matt Bonner	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.09	0.09	0.11	0.04	0.05	9	78%	0.09	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Rafer Alston	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.05,0.05,0.13,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.02	0.02	-0.02	15	62%	0.18	4	-0.11	2	100%	0.02
Vince Carter	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.02	-0.00	-0.02	14	58%	0.07	1	-0.03	8	75%	-0.02
Jerome Moiso	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	-0.01	0.00	0	100%	0.01	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Loren Woods	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.04	-0.01	-0.01	3	37%	-0.00	1	-0.04	2	50%	-0.01
Milt Palacio	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.02	-0.03	0.00	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Chris Bosh	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	0.01	-0.03	0.04	7	73%	0.03	3	-0.09	8	75%	0.01
Morris Peterson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.05	-0.04	-0.00	6	29%	-0.09	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Lamond Murray	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.14	-0.10	-0.04	-0.00	6	17%	-0.08	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Jalen Rose	0,0,0.02,0,0,0.02,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,0,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16	-0.16	-0.12	-0.05	-0.02	19	32%	-0.12	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.1	2.3	26.6	17.3	28.0	2.7	39.6	140.7
league avg	51.6	2.4	28.6	12.7	25.1	2.1	30.4	153.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

SEA +40.4%

SEA +1.5%

SEA +4.2%

SEA +3.4%

SEA +0.5%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	SEA	TOR	NBA	SEA	TOR	NBA
this game	17.1	13.1	15.5	106.3	97.9	104.0
season	16.5	15.1		109.5	104.8
opponent	15.4	15.6		106.8	107.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
SEA	20.5	15.5	17.4	15.4	17.1
TOR	13.8	14.5	12.6	11.9	13.1

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Seattle SuperSonics
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Antonio Daniels	64	64	0.59	-0.09	0.68	0.33	9	-2	11	16.3	18.6	-2.30	13.0	13.3	-0.25
Ray Allen	82	81	0.52	-0.02	0.55	0.26	9	-2	11	17.2	16.1	1.14	13.4	11.5	1.95
Danny Fortson	41	41	0.50	-0.00	0.51	0.27	8	-1	9	15.9	18.0	-2.13	13.3	13.0	0.31
Vladimir Radmanovic	47	49	0.48	0.02	0.45	0.12	12	-5	17	16.7	17.4	-0.63	13.9	12.3	1.56
Nick Collison	29	28	0.39	0.11	0.29	0.25	5	2	3	16.1	17.5	-1.43	13.7	12.9	0.85
Rashard Lewis	80	82	0.13	0.37	-0.25	0.21	-3	10	-13	17.2	16.2	1.03	12.7	15.6	-2.96
Jerome James	27	27	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.00	0	7	-7	19.0	16.3	2.65	12.4	13.4	-0.93
Reggie Evans	52	51	-0.02	0.52	-0.53	-0.02	0	7	-7	18.6	15.2	3.34	13.4	12.8	0.55
Luke Ridnour	53	57	-0.10	0.60	-0.71	0.04	-5	12	-17	16.8	17.4	-0.61	12.4	14.2	-1.75

Toronto Raptors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Loren Woods	50	51	0.03	-0.53	0.56	-0.03	2	-9	11	13.5	12.7	0.72	18.5	15.3	3.21
Jerome Moiso	13	13	-0.07	-0.43	0.35	-0.02	-2	-5	3	14.5	12.9	1.65	15.7	17.3	-1.59
Rafer Alston	81	81	-0.15	-0.35	0.19	-0.27	4	-11	15	12.6	16.0	-3.42	17.3	15.6	1.75
Vince Carter	69	69	-0.20	-0.30	0.10	-0.23	1	-8	9	12.8	14.0	-1.23	17.5	15.8	1.73
Jalen Rose	69	70	-0.21	-0.29	0.08	-0.18	-1	-6	5	12.8	14.0	-1.23	17.6	15.5	2.15
Morris Peterson	28	26	-0.26	-0.24	-0.03	-0.09	-6	-1	-5	14.0	12.7	1.25	15.8	17.5	-1.73
Lamond Murray	33	31	-0.29	-0.21	-0.07	-0.11	-6	-1	-5	13.5	12.9	0.56	15.5	17.8	-2.39
Milt Palacio	15	14	-0.35	-0.15	-0.19	-0.02	-11	4	-15	16.0	12.6	3.42	15.6	17.3	-1.75
Matt Bonner	53	52	-0.39	-0.11	-0.27	-0.27	-4	-3	-1	13.1	13.1	-0.00	15.5	19.0	-3.50
Chris Bosh	69	68	-0.61	0.11	-0.73	-0.26	-12	5	-17	12.8	14.0	-1.28	17.6	15.8	1.80

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.52,0.49,0.5,0.54,0.54,0.6,0.56,0.55,0.51,0.53,0.55,0.63,0.6,0.49,0.49,0.42,0.42,0.54,0.54,0.56,0.61,0.64,0.73,0.63,0.58,0.55,0.49,0.58,0.45,0.62,0.55,0.59,0.44,0.56,0.44,0.42,0.38,0.33,0.41,0.23,0.08,0.09,0.03,0.05,0.01,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
DET 98, BOS 88	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.43,0.42,0.4,0.44,0.57,0.55,0.51,0.51,0.53,0.58,0.54,0.49,0.55,0.51,0.49,0.47,0.56,0.56,0.54,0.61,0.7,0.56,0.51,0.6,0.58,0.61,0.64,0.58,0.55,0.59,0.59,0.59,0.63,0.6,0.46,0.38,0.33,0.33,0.12,0.08,0.06,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0	93.0%
NYK 108, TOR 100	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.52,0.48,0.51,0.53,0.55,0.43,0.47,0.49,0.47,0.54,0.53,0.53,0.51,0.58,0.54,0.56,0.59,0.54,0.56,0.56,0.59,0.51,0.71,0.66,0.69,0.61,0.58,0.58,0.59,0.56,0.44,0.4,0.4,0.46,0.38,0.38,0.38,0.23,0.13,0.16,0.13,0.02,0,0.01,0,0	92.5%
IND 106, MIA 103	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.58,0.55,0.59,0.62,0.65,0.61,0.57,0.51,0.55,0.58,0.54,0.49,0.45,0.49,0.53,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.44,0.46,0.49,0.54,0.54,0.57,0.52,0.49,0.42,0.42,0.58,0.45,0.48,0.52,0.48,0.44,0.54,0.43,0.38,0.33,0.19,0.14,0.08,0.07,0.05,0.11,0.07,0.04,0	92.4%