NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Orlando Magic	109		Excitement	6.1 [580]		MVP	Dwight Howard (ORL): +17.9%
Sacramento Kings	88		Comeback	3.0 [534]		LVP	Jason Thompson (SAC): -11.3%

Orlando Magic
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Dwight Howard	0.18	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.07,0.12,0.12,0.16,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18	0.10	0.08	0.00	15	64%	0.25	3	-0.07	17	71%	-0.00
Mickael Pietrus	0.15	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15	0.14	0.05	0.03	11	72%	0.15	0	0.00	3	100%	0.02
Ryan Anderson	0.13	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.14,0.14,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.10	0.06	0.03	5	100%	0.16	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Matt Barnes	0.06	0,0,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.05	0.00	-0.00	7	71%	0.09	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Marcin Gortat	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	1	100%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jason Williams	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.01	0.01	11	55%	0.05	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Jameer Nelson	-0.03	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.04	0.01	-0.00	10	50%	0.04	3	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
JJ Redick	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.05	0.03	0.01	9	36%	-0.00	1	-0.04	4	100%	0.02
Rashard Lewis	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.03	-0.03	0.01	8	39%	-0.04	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.01

Sacramento Kings
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jon Brockman	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.14	0.10	0.04	0.00	2	90%	0.14	0	0.00	6	83%	0.02
Tyreke Evans	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.06,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.01	0.04	0.01	16	44%	0.04	0	0.00	9	78%	-0.00
Beno Udrih	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.08,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.13,0.13,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.03	-0.01	-0.01	11	60%	0.08	2	-0.05	3	100%	0.02
Andres Nocioni	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.02	-0.02	-0.02	8	50%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ime Udoka	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.03	0.01	-0.03	4	36%	0.04	1	-0.02	3	67%	-0.01
Sergio Rodriguez	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.03	-0.01	0.00	1	25%	-0.03	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Spencer Hawes	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	11	41%	-0.02	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Omri Casspi	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.05	-0.02	0.00	13	42%	-0.05	2	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Donte Greene	0,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.10	-0.01	-0.03	12	29%	-0.04	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Jason Thompson	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.10	-0.03	-0.02	8	33%	-0.07	3	-0.04	2	100%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	26.6	2.8	31.4	15.8	28.0	2.7	29.3	136.7
league avg	26.2	2.4	30.3	16.5	27.2	2.4	33.7	141.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

ORL +58.3%

ORL +3.1%

SAC -1.6%

SAC -8.3%

SAC -1.5%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	ORL	SAC	NBA	ORL	SAC	NBA
this game	15.0	15.3	15.3	114.7	92.6	106.0
season	15.4	15.2		110.1	103.7
opponent	15.0	15.9		108.5	101.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
ORL	14.5	13.3	16.5	16.0	15.0
SAC	12.7	14.9	17.0	17.5	15.3

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Orlando Magic
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Ryan Anderson	36	37	0.59	-0.09	0.69	-0.05	22	-1	23	14.9	15.0	-0.08	16.3	14.7	1.60
Mickael Pietrus	65	65	0.56	-0.06	0.62	-0.09	22	-1	23	14.8	15.4	-0.63	16.7	12.4	4.36
Jason Williams	43	43	0.46	0.04	0.43	-0.03	17	4	13	15.0	15.0	-0.03	16.7	14.2	2.42
Dwight Howard	80	80	0.39	0.11	0.29	-0.10	17	4	13	15.8	10.3	5.58	15.3	15.4	-0.06
JJ Redick	77	77	0.34	0.16	0.18	-0.07	14	7	7	15.2	13.9	1.26	14.6	18.4	-3.82
Marcin Gortat	15	15	0.11	0.39	-0.29	-0.01	4	17	-13	10.3	15.8	-5.58	15.4	15.3	0.06
Matt Barnes	48	48	0.10	0.40	-0.30	-0.08	6	15	-9	14.9	15.1	-0.23	14.6	16.1	-1.42
Jameer Nelson	52	52	0.04	0.46	-0.43	-0.08	4	17	-13	15.0	15.0	0.03	14.2	16.7	-2.42
Rashard Lewis	59	58	-0.09	0.59	-0.69	-0.07	-1	22	-23	15.0	14.9	0.08	14.7	16.3	-1.60

Sacramento Kings
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Donte Greene	42	43	-0.10	-0.40	0.31	0.11	-7	-14	7	15.3	15.4	-0.03	15.3	14.7	0.57
Tyreke Evans	75	75	-0.11	-0.39	0.28	0.15	-9	-12	3	15.4	15.3	0.06	14.9	15.1	-0.23
Jason Thompson	40	39	-0.15	-0.35	0.20	-0.00	-5	-16	11	14.7	15.8	-1.08	14.7	15.1	-0.38
Omri Casspi	81	81	-0.17	-0.33	0.16	0.24	-14	-7	-7	14.7	19.2	-4.54	14.5	17.4	-2.89
Sergio Rodriguez	10	11	-0.19	-0.31	0.12	-0.10	-3	-18	15	17.6	15.1	2.52	15.9	14.8	1.06
Ime Udoka	45	45	-0.27	-0.23	-0.04	0.29	-19	-2	-17	15.4	15.3	0.14	15.5	14.5	1.07
Beno Udrih	65	65	-0.35	-0.15	-0.20	0.03	-13	-8	-5	15.4	15.3	0.12	14.8	15.4	-0.68
Andres Nocioni	38	37	-0.39	-0.12	-0.27	-0.09	-10	-11	1	15.8	15.0	0.78	16.0	14.3	1.69
Jon Brockman	26	25	-0.39	-0.11	-0.27	-0.18	-7	-14	7	15.8	15.2	0.69	14.0	15.3	-1.31
Spencer Hawes	53	54	-0.39	-0.11	-0.28	0.14	-18	-3	-15	15.7	14.9	0.84	14.9	15.0	-0.10

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.49,0.46,0.49,0.48,0.45,0.47,0.43,0.51,0.47,0.45,0.46,0.5,0.56,0.58,0.57,0.6,0.49,0.51,0.64,0.59,0.66,0.7,0.7,0.58,0.62,0.63,0.69,0.61,0.73,0.68,0.65,0.59,0.59,0.56,0.56,0.58,0.38,0.29,0.17,0.15,0.08,0.07,0.02,0,0,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
MIN 97, CHH 92	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.48,0.43,0.44,0.44,0.43,0.45,0.47,0.43,0.45,0.46,0.48,0.42,0.49,0.55,0.53,0.49,0.52,0.52,0.59,0.59,0.61,0.54,0.54,0.55,0.6,0.7,0.64,0.67,0.62,0.62,0.59,0.52,0.52,0.6,0.54,0.38,0.25,0.33,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.09,0.03,0.02,0.01,0,0	94.3%
PHI 104, POR 93	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.48,0.49,0.49,0.53,0.47,0.49,0.49,0.57,0.53,0.55,0.58,0.62,0.56,0.56,0.58,0.71,0.69,0.72,0.67,0.67,0.69,0.72,0.7,0.7,0.79,0.71,0.65,0.59,0.52,0.48,0.44,0.34,0.43,0.25,0.21,0.19,0.08,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0	94.1%
DET 98, BOS 88	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.43,0.42,0.4,0.44,0.57,0.55,0.51,0.51,0.53,0.58,0.54,0.49,0.55,0.51,0.49,0.47,0.56,0.56,0.54,0.61,0.7,0.56,0.51,0.6,0.58,0.61,0.64,0.58,0.55,0.59,0.59,0.59,0.63,0.6,0.46,0.38,0.33,0.33,0.12,0.08,0.06,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0	93.3%