NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Memphis Grizzlies	98		Excitement	6.3 [544]		MVP	Jason Williams (MEM): +11.4%
Los Angeles Clippers	92		Comeback	2.4 [256]		LVP	Quentin Richardson (LAC): -23.5%

Memphis Grizzlies
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jason Williams	0.11	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.12,0.12,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.01	0.09	-0.01	12	52%	0.15	1	-0.03	1	100%	0.00
Stromile Swift	0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.02	0.07	-0.00	4	82%	0.14	2	-0.05	3	100%	0.02
Bo Outlaw	0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.01	0.05	-0.01	9	59%	0.10	1	-0.02	4	25%	-0.05
Theron Smith	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	0.02	-0.04	0.00	3	78%	0.02	1	-0.04	3	67%	-0.02
Pau Gasol	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02	-0.08	-0.02	-0.08	7	54%	0.02	3	-0.04	10	70%	0.03
Jake Tsakalidis	-0.03	0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	-0.01	6	43%	-0.01	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
James Posey	-0.04	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.07,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	0.01	-0.02	0.02	10	54%	-0.04	0	0.00	8	75%	-0.04
Shane Battier	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.08,-0.14,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.06	0.01	-0.00	12	29%	-0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Bonzi Wells	-0.12	0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.01,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.07	-0.03	0.02	11	46%	-0.05	3	-0.08	4	100%	0.02
Earl Watson	-0.13	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.14,-0.14,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.08	-0.05	-0.00	4	30%	-0.05	2	-0.08	2	50%	-0.01

Los Angeles Clippers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Eddie House	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.04	-0.02	-0.00	9	56%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Predrag Drobnjak	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Chris Kaman	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.05,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.02	-0.01	-0.02	9	53%	0.03	2	-0.03	1	0%	-0.02
Elton Brand	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	0.00	0.00	10	62%	0.04	3	-0.06	9	67%	-0.01
Chris Wilcox	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.01	-0.03	0.00	1	75%	0.00	1	-0.04	2	50%	-0.02
Marko Jaric	0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.01	-0.03	0.02	10	59%	0.02	3	-0.08	2	100%	0.02
Bobby Simmons	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.05	-0.02	0.01	9	40%	-0.05	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Corey Maggette	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.08,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.17,-0.17,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19	-0.19	-0.06	-0.08	0.05	14	47%	-0.17	1	-0.02	10	60%	-0.09
Quentin Richardson	0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.09,-0.09,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.18,-0.18,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24	-0.24	-0.18	-0.05	0.01	17	32%	-0.12	4	-0.11	3	67%	-0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.0	2.4	28.2	15.8	29.3	2.5	35.3	137.5
league avg	47.8	2.4	27.9	14.3	24.8	2.1	29.8	150.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

MEM +37.5%

MEM +7.3%

LAC -4.7%

MEM +10.2%

LAC -0.3%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	MEM	LAC	NBA	MEM	LAC	NBA
this game	15.3	14.7	15.7	101.0	96.8	100.5
season	15.3	15.5		102.3	101.3
opponent	15.4	15.7		106.0	100.5

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
MEM	15.2	15.3	16.0	14.7	15.3
LAC	14.1	15.3	12.8	16.7	14.7

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Memphis Grizzlies
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Shane Battier	55	55	0.80	-0.30	1.10	0.33	16	-10	26	14.6	16.2	-1.58	15.3	13.9	1.38
Bo Outlaw	59	59	0.65	-0.15	0.81	0.36	10	-4	14	14.7	16.2	-1.51	15.3	13.7	1.58
Stromile Swift	30	31	0.54	-0.04	0.58	0.04	17	-11	28	13.9	16.0	-2.10	17.0	13.5	3.50
Theron Smith	23	24	0.52	-0.02	0.53	0.17	12	-6	18	14.4	15.6	-1.16	17.2	13.8	3.39
Earl Watson	33	34	0.35	0.15	0.21	0.12	8	-2	10	15.2	15.4	-0.12	16.5	13.7	2.84
Pau Gasol	63	61	0.20	0.30	-0.11	0.17	1	5	-4	15.2	15.6	-0.37	13.7	16.4	-2.71
Jason Williams	64	61	0.15	0.35	-0.21	0.20	-2	8	-10	15.4	15.2	0.12	13.7	16.5	-2.84
Bonzi Wells	51	51	-0.10	0.60	-0.71	-0.07	-1	7	-8	15.3	15.4	-0.14	14.4	15.0	-0.57
James Posey	65	60	-0.21	0.71	-0.93	0.23	-15	21	-36	16.3	13.4	2.86	13.3	16.9	-3.59
Jake Tsakalidis	42	39	-0.39	0.89	-1.28	0.08	-16	22	-38	17.4	13.7	3.64	13.4	15.6	-2.14

Los Angeles Clippers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Predrag Drobnjak	7	8	0.06	-0.56	0.62	-0.00	2	-8	10	16.6	14.5	2.05	18.6	15.0	3.60
Marko Jaric	65	68	0.01	-0.51	0.51	-0.23	8	-14	22	13.7	16.8	-3.06	15.7	14.4	1.34
Chris Kaman	65	66	-0.26	-0.24	-0.01	-0.17	-3	-3	0	14.5	15.0	-0.48	15.2	15.5	-0.29
Eddie House	39	38	-0.32	-0.18	-0.15	-0.18	-5	-1	-4	16.2	13.6	2.60	15.4	15.3	0.08
Elton Brand	86	87	-0.34	-0.16	-0.17	-0.34	0	-6	6	14.2	19.3	-5.15	15.3	15.5	-0.20
Bobby Simmons	27	27	-0.34	-0.16	-0.18	-0.08	-9	3	-12	18.6	13.1	5.53	15.3	15.3	-0.03
Quentin Richardson	77	79	-0.37	-0.13	-0.24	-0.20	-6	0	-6	14.1	17.3	-3.28	15.1	16.2	-1.11
Chris Wilcox	26	27	-0.40	-0.10	-0.30	-0.11	-10	4	-14	15.1	14.5	0.56	14.6	15.6	-0.96
Corey Maggette	83	85	-0.53	0.03	-0.57	-0.33	-7	1	-8	14.3	17.0	-2.66	15.2	16.3	-1.16

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.49,0.43,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.53,0.49,0.45,0.51,0.51,0.5,0.49,0.4,0.42,0.51,0.58,0.58,0.56,0.56,0.58,0.51,0.64,0.54,0.46,0.6,0.64,0.67,0.67,0.68,0.65,0.52,0.44,0.47,0.52,0.42,0.34,0.3,0.21,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0.01,0
Game		Similarity Score
MIN 97, CHH 92	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.48,0.43,0.44,0.44,0.43,0.45,0.47,0.43,0.45,0.46,0.48,0.42,0.49,0.55,0.53,0.49,0.52,0.52,0.59,0.59,0.61,0.54,0.54,0.55,0.6,0.7,0.64,0.67,0.62,0.62,0.59,0.52,0.52,0.6,0.54,0.38,0.25,0.33,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.09,0.03,0.02,0.01,0,0	94.1%
LAC 92, CHA 87	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.52,0.54,0.54,0.49,0.55,0.51,0.53,0.55,0.54,0.48,0.49,0.49,0.44,0.49,0.56,0.49,0.51,0.54,0.54,0.44,0.46,0.49,0.46,0.55,0.58,0.64,0.61,0.55,0.62,0.59,0.56,0.52,0.48,0.34,0.34,0.18,0.29,0.23,0.17,0.19,0.06,0.08,0.05,0.03,0.02,0	93.4%
ORL 88, ATL 82	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.4,0.46,0.48,0.55,0.51,0.49,0.5,0.53,0.51,0.46,0.4,0.46,0.42,0.42,0.46,0.42,0.49,0.47,0.51,0.56,0.53,0.61,0.58,0.69,0.74,0.61,0.73,0.71,0.77,0.72,0.62,0.56,0.6,0.56,0.46,0.3,0.18,0.2,0.12,0.08,0.03,0.1,0.03,0.01,0,0.01,0	93.0%