NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Cleveland Cavaliers	115		Excitement	5.4 [743]		MVP	Kyle Korver (CLE): +30.3%
Toronto Raptors	94		Comeback	1.8 [727]		LVP	Cory Joseph (TOR): -17.7%

Cleveland Cavaliers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kyle Korver	0.30	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.21,0.3,0.3,0.3,0.3,0.3,0.3,0.3,0.3,0.3,0.3,0.3,0.3	0.15	0.15	-0.01	7	100%	0.30	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
LeBron James	0.08	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.08,0.08,0.07,0,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0.03,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.14	0.02	0.08	16	73%	0.19	5	-0.11	16	94%	0.04
Tristan Thompson	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.03	0.05	0.02	6	53%	0.06	0	0.00	5	60%	-0.02
JR Smith	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.01	0.00	5	90%	0.10	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Kevin Love	0.01	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.03	0.01	0.03	9	73%	0.12	4	-0.11	4	75%	-0.01
Iman Shumpert	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.03	5	33%	0.01	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Dahntay Jones	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
James Jones	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Channing Frye	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.04	0.00	0.04	1	150%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Derrick Williams	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.04	0.00	0.04	2	125%	0.00	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Deron Williams	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.06	-0.00	-0.02	4	50%	0.03	3	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Kyrie Irving	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.09,-0.09,-0.05,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.08	-0.03	-0.01	21	37%	-0.08	1	-0.01	1	100%	0.00

Toronto Raptors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
DeMar DeRozan	0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.04,0.09,0.07,0.12,0.12,0.14,0.16,0.14,0.14,0.17,0.23,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.3,0.27,0.28,0.32,0.32,0.32,0.32,0.3,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.28	0.28	0.22	0.10	0.04	23	63%	0.28	0	0.00	13	100%	0.08
PJ Tucker	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.03	0.04	-0.00	4	62%	0.07	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Delon Wright	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	-0.02	0.03	-0.02	2	50%	0.03	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Serge Ibaka	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.01	-0.01	-0.03	14	43%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jonas Valanciunas	0,0,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.13	-0.00	0.11	10	79%	0.03	1	-0.02	4	75%	-0.01
Fred VanVleet	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	2	50%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Patrick Patterson	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
DeMarre Carroll	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Norman Powell	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,0,-0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.08,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.11	0.00	-0.05	19	34%	-0.01	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Cory Joseph	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.15,-0.15,-0.17,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18	-0.18	-0.12	-0.08	-0.02	12	17%	-0.18	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	29.1	3.4	33.3	15.8	29.2	3.5	35.5	149.8
league avg	24.8	2.3	29.6	15.7	26.8	2.3	33.5	136.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

CLE +46.2%

CLE +4.7%

CLE +19.7%

TOR -22.1%

CLE +1.4%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	CLE	TOR	NBA	CLE	TOR	NBA
this game	15.6	14.4	14.8	118.6	98.9	107.7
season	14.9	15.2		113.5	110.0
opponent	14.9	14.7		106.9	109.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
CLE	14.6	15.8	17.2	14.9	15.6
TOR	14.2	13.5	14.1	15.8	14.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Cleveland Cavaliers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Iman Shumpert	52	50	0.65	-0.15	0.81	-0.14	27	-6	33	15.3	15.9	-0.66	15.2	13.6	1.62
Deron Williams	34	33	0.44	0.06	0.39	-0.11	19	2	17	14.7	16.0	-1.34	15.5	13.9	1.60
Tristan Thompson	76	76	0.41	0.09	0.33	-0.06	16	5	11	15.5	15.9	-0.36	14.5	14.1	0.38
LeBron James	81	80	0.41	0.09	0.33	-0.17	20	1	19	16.0	13.7	2.26	14.7	13.0	1.68
Kyle Korver	44	42	0.33	0.17	0.17	-0.05	13	8	5	15.2	15.9	-0.72	14.6	14.3	0.29
Channing Frye	21	19	0.09	0.41	-0.33	-0.06	5	16	-11	15.9	15.5	0.36	14.1	14.5	-0.38
Kyrie Irving	64	63	0.08	0.42	-0.34	0.05	1	20	-19	15.8	15.2	0.55	14.0	15.2	-1.12
Kevin Love	64	63	0.08	0.42	-0.34	0.05	1	20	-19	15.8	15.2	0.55	14.0	15.2	-1.12
Dahntay Jones	3	3	0.00	0.50	-0.50	-0.03	1	20	-19	16.7	15.5	1.12	13.7	14.4	-0.77
James Jones	3	3	0.00	0.50	-0.50	-0.03	1	20	-19	16.7	15.5	1.12	13.7	14.4	-0.77
Derrick Williams	7	6	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.00	0	21	-21	17.0	15.5	1.53	12.5	14.5	-2.04
JR Smith	36	37	-0.00	0.50	-0.51	-0.03	1	20	-19	15.4	15.7	-0.34	13.4	15.1	-1.65

Toronto Raptors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
DeMarre Carroll	9	9	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	0.03	-1	-20	19	13.6	14.5	-0.94	16.1	15.5	0.59
Fred VanVleet	10	11	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	0.06	-2	-19	17	13.1	14.6	-1.46	17.2	15.4	1.81
Jonas Valanciunas	64	66	-0.09	-0.41	0.31	0.05	-5	-16	11	13.8	15.6	-1.83	16.3	14.1	2.13
Cory Joseph	66	67	-0.11	-0.39	0.28	0.15	-9	-12	3	14.4	14.3	0.09	15.5	15.7	-0.23
DeMar DeRozan	81	82	-0.20	-0.30	0.10	0.15	-12	-9	-3	14.2	15.5	-1.28	15.2	17.6	-2.39
Serge Ibaka	71	72	-0.36	-0.14	-0.22	0.02	-13	-8	-5	14.7	13.4	1.33	15.4	16.0	-0.52
Delon Wright	25	26	-0.39	-0.11	-0.28	-0.10	-10	-11	1	14.4	14.4	-0.01	15.5	15.6	-0.16
PJ Tucker	37	39	-0.39	-0.11	-0.29	-0.13	-9	-12	3	15.1	14.0	1.05	14.7	16.2	-1.44
Patrick Patterson	41	40	-0.41	-0.09	-0.33	0.14	-19	-2	-17	14.8	14.1	0.74	15.7	15.5	0.21
Norman Powell	71	73	-0.54	0.04	-0.58	0.19	-25	4	-29	14.5	14.1	0.44	15.7	15.2	0.49

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.52,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.47,0.45,0.39,0.37,0.45,0.45,0.38,0.4,0.4,0.36,0.3,0.4,0.42,0.37,0.39,0.44,0.49,0.54,0.54,0.54,0.62,0.52,0.55,0.61,0.58,0.58,0.55,0.45,0.52,0.48,0.48,0.42,0.34,0.18,0.17,0.09,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
MIA 92, NJN 87	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.54,0.57,0.59,0.56,0.49,0.43,0.47,0.42,0.42,0.44,0.43,0.36,0.34,0.4,0.4,0.44,0.42,0.42,0.44,0.54,0.54,0.51,0.5,0.48,0.58,0.66,0.61,0.58,0.58,0.52,0.45,0.52,0.56,0.48,0.38,0.34,0.38,0.28,0.16,0.08,0.06,0.02,0.03,0.04,0.09,0,0	94.1%
MEM 99, WAS 94	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.55,0.55,0.54,0.51,0.53,0.53,0.53,0.47,0.42,0.36,0.4,0.38,0.34,0.3,0.38,0.42,0.48,0.52,0.41,0.51,0.56,0.56,0.51,0.54,0.48,0.49,0.45,0.52,0.55,0.41,0.38,0.44,0.37,0.48,0.46,0.26,0.18,0.14,0.07,0.06,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0	93.9%
MIL 98, POR 92	0.5,0.49,0.45,0.41,0.47,0.42,0.35,0.4,0.37,0.4,0.38,0.36,0.34,0.35,0.3,0.34,0.36,0.42,0.44,0.39,0.4,0.39,0.49,0.54,0.54,0.5,0.49,0.55,0.52,0.48,0.48,0.52,0.52,0.45,0.44,0.48,0.4,0.3,0.22,0.21,0.17,0.19,0.06,0.09,0.03,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.04,0	93.6%