NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Memphis Grizzlies	99		Excitement	5.1 [786]		MVP	Marc Gasol (MEM): +24.6%
Washington Wizards	94		Comeback	1.6 [628]		LVP	Mike Conley (MEM): -15.4%

Memphis Grizzlies
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Marc Gasol	0.25	0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.18,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25	0.18	0.08	0.02	11	83%	0.25	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.03
O.J. Mayo	0.11	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.14,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.01	0.07	-0.03	15	53%	0.14	2	-0.03	2	50%	-0.00
Hamed Haddadi	0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.04	0.06	-0.01	4	80%	0.13	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Zach Randolph	0.10	0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.09	0.01	-0.00	15	61%	0.16	2	-0.07	6	83%	0.01
Darrell Arthur	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	-0.01	0.02	-0.01	5	40%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Sam Young	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.01	0.01	-0.01	4	50%	0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
DeMarre Carroll	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Rudy Gay	-0.05	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.02	-0.02	0.01	20	45%	-0.04	1	-0.00	4	50%	-0.01
Marcus Williams	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.02	-0.02	7	14%	-0.07	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Mike Conley	-0.15	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15	-0.14	-0.05	-0.04	6	14%	-0.09	3	-0.06	2	100%	0.01

Washington Wizards
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Al Thornton	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.08	0.02	0.02	10	62%	0.07	0	0.00	6	67%	-0.01
JaVale McGee	0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.06	0.01	0.03	5	83%	0.06	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Nick Young	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.04	-0.00	0.00	4	64%	0.04	0	0.00	3	33%	-0.03
Fabricio Oberto	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.00	0.02	-0.00	3	67%	0.05	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Michael Harris	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.02	0.00	0.02	1	100%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Earl Boykins	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.03	-0.00	-0.03	11	35%	-0.00	0	0.00	1	0%	-0.02
Mike Miller	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.07	0.00	-0.06	6	50%	0.01	4	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Randy Foye	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.00	0.01	6	53%	0.02	1	-0.03	3	100%	0.00
James Singleton	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.03	-0.01	0.01	9	37%	-0.04	0	0.00	6	83%	-0.00
Quinton Ross	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.05	-0.01	-0.00	3	0%	-0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Andray Blatche	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	0.01	-0.04	0.05	19	56%	0.02	4	-0.10	5	80%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.2	2.5	30.4	15.6	21.3	2.4	36.4	133.7
league avg	26.2	2.4	30.3	16.5	27.2	2.4	33.7	141.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

MEM +30.4%

MEM +5.3%

MEM +7.6%

MEM +6.5%

MEM +0.3%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	MEM	WAS	NBA	MEM	WAS	NBA
this game	15.9	16.3	15.3	110.0	105.6	106.0
season	15.4	15.7		106.8	102.6
opponent	15.3	15.0		107.9	108.4

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
MEM	14.3	17.2	15.3	16.7	15.9
WAS	16.4	16.3	19.0	13.9	16.3

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Memphis Grizzlies
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Sam Young	24	24	0.55	-0.05	0.59	0.22	11	-6	17	14.5	16.3	-1.81	15.4	16.6	-1.23
Hamed Haddadi	28	27	0.52	-0.02	0.54	0.11	14	-9	23	14.4	16.5	-2.14	16.6	16.2	0.40
Marcus Williams	33	34	0.51	-0.01	0.51	0.15	12	-7	19	15.2	16.3	-1.08	15.7	16.7	-0.99
O.J. Mayo	83	82	0.47	0.03	0.45	0.33	5	0	5	16.1	12.6	3.57	16.7	12.0	4.68
Darrell Arthur	18	18	0.43	0.07	0.35	0.16	9	-4	13	15.1	16.1	-0.94	15.9	16.4	-0.53
Rudy Gay	74	73	0.07	0.43	-0.37	0.21	-5	10	-15	16.1	14.7	1.36	16.2	16.9	-0.68
Zach Randolph	70	69	0.02	0.48	-0.46	0.11	-3	8	-11	16.1	15.0	1.11	16.6	15.2	1.37
Mike Conley	57	55	-0.01	0.51	-0.51	0.20	-7	12	-19	16.3	15.2	1.08	16.7	15.7	0.99
Marc Gasol	62	62	-0.02	0.52	-0.54	0.24	-9	14	-23	16.5	14.4	2.14	16.2	16.6	-0.40
DeMarre Carroll	1	1	-0.03	0.53	-0.56	0.03	-2	7	-9	3.0	16.0	-13.01	3.0	16.5	-13.47

Washington Wizards
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Quinton Ross	20	21	-0.04	-0.46	0.42	0.02	-2	-3	1	17.4	16.0	1.40	15.6	16.0	-0.39
JaVale McGee	30	29	-0.05	-0.45	0.41	-0.16	4	-9	13	15.1	16.9	-1.88	16.2	15.7	0.55
Michael Harris	4	4	-0.09	-0.41	0.31	-0.18	3	-8	11	3.5	16.9	-13.42	12.5	16.0	-3.52
Nick Young	27	27	-0.13	-0.37	0.24	-0.25	4	-9	13	16.8	16.1	0.72	15.5	16.0	-0.55
Randy Foye	51	54	-0.17	-0.33	0.17	-0.23	2	-7	9	15.5	17.4	-1.88	16.3	15.2	1.17
Fabricio Oberto	27	28	-0.17	-0.33	0.16	0.01	-6	1	-7	17.7	15.7	2.05	13.7	16.9	-3.18
James Singleton	46	47	-0.30	-0.20	-0.10	-0.30	0	-5	5	15.9	16.7	-0.79	16.3	15.4	0.90
Mike Miller	62	61	-0.30	-0.20	-0.10	-0.10	-7	2	-9	16.1	16.8	-0.72	16.1	15.3	0.82
Andray Blatche	74	75	-0.39	-0.11	-0.29	-0.22	-6	1	-7	16.8	14.1	2.62	16.2	14.3	1.84
Earl Boykins	40	38	-0.42	-0.08	-0.33	-0.09	-11	6	-17	17.5	15.3	2.24	15.1	16.4	-1.32
Al Thornton	64	66	-0.44	-0.06	-0.39	-0.27	-6	1	-7	16.4	16.1	0.27	16.2	14.8	1.41

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.51,0.55,0.55,0.54,0.51,0.53,0.53,0.53,0.47,0.42,0.36,0.4,0.38,0.34,0.3,0.38,0.42,0.48,0.52,0.41,0.51,0.56,0.56,0.51,0.54,0.48,0.49,0.45,0.52,0.55,0.41,0.38,0.44,0.37,0.48,0.46,0.26,0.18,0.14,0.07,0.06,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
CLE 115, TOR 94	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.47,0.45,0.39,0.37,0.45,0.45,0.38,0.4,0.4,0.36,0.3,0.4,0.42,0.37,0.39,0.44,0.49,0.54,0.54,0.54,0.62,0.52,0.55,0.61,0.58,0.58,0.55,0.45,0.52,0.48,0.48,0.42,0.34,0.18,0.17,0.09,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	93.9%
LAL 119, VAN 110	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.54,0.55,0.54,0.55,0.55,0.57,0.55,0.47,0.47,0.4,0.46,0.42,0.36,0.33,0.27,0.33,0.34,0.41,0.45,0.44,0.46,0.44,0.5,0.58,0.52,0.48,0.45,0.42,0.42,0.46,0.52,0.48,0.44,0.32,0.42,0.22,0.25,0.14,0.06,0.03,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0	93.8%
HOU 100, GSW 93	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.46,0.43,0.46,0.44,0.45,0.43,0.45,0.45,0.42,0.42,0.43,0.38,0.39,0.47,0.47,0.47,0.47,0.48,0.49,0.46,0.49,0.59,0.5,0.48,0.52,0.45,0.42,0.48,0.42,0.41,0.39,0.37,0.33,0.46,0.3,0.22,0.14,0.17,0.16,0.17,0.07,0.04,0.01,0.04,0.03,0.01,0	93.5%