NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Atlanta Hawks	86		Excitement	9.0 [148]		MVP	Marco Belinelli (ATL): +57.3%
Chicago Bulls	91		Comeback	1.8 [701]		LVP	Kent Bazemore (ATL): -28.1%

Atlanta Hawks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Marco Belinelli	0.57	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.08,0.25,0.25,0.6,0.57	0.16	0.41	-0.01	16	68%	0.57	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
John Collins	0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.09	0.03	0.00	6	76%	0.14	1	-0.03	5	60%	-0.02
Josh Magette	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	0	100%	0.02	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Dewayne Dedmon	0.02	0,0,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	-0.01	0.02	-0.01	5	40%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Mike Muscala	-0.00	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.11,0,0	0.04	-0.04	0.00	11	58%	0.11	1	-0.11	2	100%	0.01
Isaiah Taylor	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	0.01	-0.02	0.00	3	62%	0.02	1	-0.04	2	100%	0.01
Luke Babbitt	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.05	0.00	-0.00	3	0%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Malcolm Delaney	-0.10	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1	-0.07	-0.04	-0.01	11	27%	-0.10	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Taurean Prince	-0.16	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.13,-0.13,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16	-0.12	-0.05	-0.00	7	21%	-0.07	3	-0.09	0	0%	0.00
Kent Bazemore	-0.28	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.14,-0.11,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.19,-0.19,-0.15,-0.02,-0.02,-0.11,-0.22,-0.28,-0.28,-0.28	-0.09	-0.18	0.01	19	42%	-0.09	4	-0.19	0	0%	0.00

Chicago Bulls
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
David Nwaba	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.05,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16	0.16	0.08	0.08	0.00	8	71%	0.19	1	-0.04	5	80%	0.02
Lauri Markkanen	0,0,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.09,-0.09,0.11	0.11	-0.01	0.11	-0.00	13	48%	0.22	2	-0.11	3	67%	-0.01
Justin Holiday	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,0,0,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.07	0.07	-0.01	0.06	-0.01	11	48%	0.13	2	-0.06	5	60%	-0.01
Cristiano Felicio	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.01	0.01	0.00	3	33%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Quincy Pondexter	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	-0.02	-0.03	6	47%	0.04	2	-0.06	3	100%	0.01
Kay Felder	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.04	-0.02	-0.00	5	20%	-0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Denzel Valentine	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.07,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.1,-0.15,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.09	0.03	0.01	14	35%	-0.03	2	-0.04	3	100%	0.04
Jerian Grant	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,0.02,0.02,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.02	-0.06	0.00	7	46%	-0.02	2	-0.05	10	70%	0.04
Robin Lopez	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.06	-0.04	0.01	19	42%	-0.05	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	21.2	1.6	25.4	14.5	27.2	2.5	33.5	125.9
league avg	25.1	2.3	28.6	15.0	27.2	2.3	32.6	134.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

ATL -43.2%

CHI +27.7%

CHI +69.4%

ATL -5.1%

CHI +1.2%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	ATL	CHI	NBA	ATL	CHI	NBA
this game	15.0	16.3	14.7	93.5	98.9	107.5
season	14.6	14.2		104.2	103.2
opponent	15.0	14.4		110.2	109.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
ATL	17.6	16.7	13.2	13.0	15.0
CHI	15.1	15.3	18.1	16.4	16.3

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Atlanta Hawks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Dewayne Dedmon	41	42	0.04	-0.54	0.58	0.13	-3	-2	-1	15.5	14.7	0.80	18.1	14.7	3.42
Luke Babbitt	29	29	-0.06	-0.44	0.38	-0.06	0	-5	5	14.2	15.4	-1.27	13.3	17.6	-4.31
Isaiah Taylor	34	32	-0.08	-0.42	0.34	-0.14	2	-7	9	14.0	15.7	-1.66	14.6	17.1	-2.56
Marco Belinelli	59	62	-0.09	-0.41	0.33	-0.41	11	-16	27	14.2	16.6	-2.39	16.0	16.8	-0.80
Josh Magette	8	7	-0.11	-0.39	0.29	0.07	-6	1	-7	17.4	14.8	2.55	13.3	16.5	-3.22
Kent Bazemore	62	61	-0.16	-0.34	0.18	-0.25	3	-8	11	14.9	15.3	-0.38	16.5	15.7	0.78
Taurean Prince	54	53	-0.36	-0.14	-0.22	-0.10	-9	4	-13	15.4	14.6	0.75	17.6	14.5	3.08
Mike Muscala	57	59	-0.51	0.01	-0.51	-0.33	-6	1	-7	15.8	13.9	1.91	17.2	14.6	2.53
John Collins	51	50	-0.54	0.04	-0.58	-0.48	-2	-3	1	14.7	15.5	-0.80	14.7	18.1	-3.42
Malcolm Delaney	65	65	-0.64	0.14	-0.78	-0.20	-15	10	-25	15.7	13.5	2.21	16.8	14.9	1.94

Chicago Bulls
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Robin Lopez	68	69	0.79	-0.29	1.08	0.44	12	-7	19	15.9	17.4	-1.51	15.4	13.9	1.51
Justin Holiday	70	70	0.77	-0.27	1.04	0.45	11	-6	17	15.8	17.8	-2.05	15.6	13.4	2.15
Jerian Grant	67	66	0.41	0.09	0.33	0.30	4	1	3	16.6	15.2	1.40	15.7	13.4	2.26
Lauri Markkanen	57	55	0.36	0.14	0.22	0.24	4	1	3	17.2	14.7	2.50	15.8	13.9	1.93
Denzel Valentine	67	68	0.31	0.19	0.12	0.28	1	4	-3	17.1	14.0	3.05	15.0	15.1	-0.11
Quincy Pondexter	35	37	0.14	0.36	-0.22	0.11	1	4	-3	14.7	17.2	-2.50	13.9	15.8	-1.93
Kay Felder	25	26	0.09	0.41	-0.33	0.06	1	4	-3	15.2	16.6	-1.40	13.4	15.7	-2.26
David Nwaba	47	46	-0.08	0.58	-0.65	-0.02	-2	7	-9	15.8	16.7	-0.92	14.3	15.8	-1.48
Cristiano Felicio	24	23	-0.29	0.79	-1.08	-0.08	-7	12	-19	17.4	15.9	1.51	13.9	15.4	-1.51

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.53,0.5,0.47,0.45,0.39,0.39,0.36,0.42,0.46,0.36,0.38,0.42,0.38,0.44,0.44,0.47,0.46,0.49,0.54,0.46,0.49,0.59,0.55,0.51,0.53,0.61,0.68,0.68,0.69,0.77,0.81,0.75,0.74,0.62,0.67,0.8,0.67,0.74,0.66,0.53,0.68,0.71,0.77,0.63,1
Game		Similarity Score
LAL 104, ORL 108	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.46,0.42,0.46,0.47,0.51,0.43,0.41,0.47,0.47,0.47,0.4,0.4,0.42,0.4,0.4,0.49,0.46,0.46,0.51,0.52,0.49,0.56,0.63,0.66,0.63,0.61,0.61,0.58,0.58,0.65,0.66,0.66,0.75,0.64,0.74,0.78,0.79,0.83,0.85,0.83,0.76,0.72,0.75,0.71,0.78,0.84,1	91.8%
LAL 98, LAC 101	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.45,0.43,0.46,0.49,0.45,0.51,0.43,0.38,0.42,0.46,0.37,0.4,0.4,0.4,0.47,0.49,0.53,0.58,0.53,0.56,0.49,0.49,0.58,0.58,0.54,0.58,0.55,0.58,0.55,0.59,0.71,0.73,0.74,0.71,0.81,0.78,0.67,0.67,0.58,0.53,0.54,0.47,0.62,0.78,0.94,0.9,1	91.5%
BOS 109, GSW 111	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.48,0.5,0.53,0.5,0.51,0.47,0.45,0.45,0.42,0.46,0.48,0.56,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.53,0.56,0.54,0.52,0.51,0.54,0.54,0.5,0.55,0.63,0.52,0.55,0.62,0.62,0.74,0.75,0.66,0.67,0.75,0.7,0.66,0.66,0.71,0.84,0.79,0.8,0.78,0.68,0.79,0.77,0.41,1	91.5%