NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Houston Rockets	105		Excitement	7.9 [286]		MVP	Eric Gordon (HOU): +105.0%
Philadelphia 76ers	104		Comeback	148.2 [9]		LVP	Ben Simmons (PHI): -10.5%

Houston Rockets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Eric Gordon	1.05	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.05,-0.05,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.15,0.12,0.13,0.13,0.13,1.05	0.12	0.95	0.02	20	56%	1.08	1	-0.03	12	83%	0.04
Ryan Anderson	0.11	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.13,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.14,0.14,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.07	0.00	-0.04	11	64%	0.09	1	0.03	0	0%	0.00
Clint Capela	0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.11,0.11	0.08	0.03	0.01	9	80%	0.14	2	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Tarik Black	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.06	-0.01	0.01	2	89%	0.08	1	-0.04	5	80%	0.01
Isaiah Canaan	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
PJ Tucker	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.03	0.00	-0.00	4	37%	-0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Luc Mbah a Moute	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.03	-0.02	0.00	8	50%	0.02	2	-0.08	0	0%	0.00
Demetrius Jackson	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.06	-0.02	-0.00	0	0%	0.00	3	-0.08	0	0%	0.00
James Harden	-0.09	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.03,-0.05,-0.04,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.1,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.12,-0.11,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.17,-0.17,-0.11,-0.11,-0.15,-0.15,-0.13,-0.13,-0.16,-0.16,-0.09	-0.03	-0.02	0.04	20	60%	0.15	8	-0.23	5	100%	0.04

Philadelphia 76ers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
JJ Redick	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.19,0.19,0.29,0.32,0.32,0.31,0.31,0.31	0.31	0.11	0.17	-0.03	16	67%	0.36	2	-0.05	1	100%	0.01
Robert Covington	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.17,0.17,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.13	0.08	0.05	0.00	18	56%	0.13	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Joel Embiid	0,0,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.08	0.03	-0.01	13	68%	0.23	3	-0.11	5	80%	0.00
Justin Anderson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.02	0.02	-0.00	7	57%	0.07	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Jerryd Bayless	0,0,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01	0.01	-0.02	-0.01	-0.04	11	37%	0.01	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Dario Saric	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
T.J. McConnell	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.06	-0.01	0.00	8	37%	-0.02	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Amir Johnson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.07	-0.01	-0.00	6	33%	-0.02	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Ben Simmons	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.08,-0.07,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.12	-0.01	-0.03	17	39%	-0.01	4	-0.10	2	0%	-0.02

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.4	2.4	22.4	14.4	28.4	2.4	33.6	128.1
league avg	25.1	2.3	28.6	15.0	27.2	2.3	32.6	134.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

HOU +58.0%

HOU +25.6%

PHI -34.3%

PHI -4.4%

HOU +5.1%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	HOU	PHI	NBA	HOU	PHI	NBA
this game	13.1	16.2	14.7	107.1	105.1	107.5
season	14.6	13.9		112.8	108.1
opponent	14.7	14.8		103.8	105.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
HOU	12.2	13.0	12.5	14.8	13.1
PHI	15.5	17.0	14.6	17.9	16.2

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Houston Rockets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
PJ Tucker	66	66	0.89	-0.39	1.28	0.45	15	-14	29	12.6	14.0	-1.36	16.1	16.3	-0.24
James Harden	84	87	0.73	-0.23	0.95	0.46	9	-8	17	12.6	15.6	-3.02	16.2	16.2	0.01
Ryan Anderson	70	69	0.47	0.03	0.44	0.50	-1	2	-3	13.5	12.0	1.47	17.1	14.1	2.92
Luc Mbah a Moute	75	77	0.41	0.09	0.31	0.58	-6	7	-13	13.0	13.3	-0.27	15.4	19.0	-3.64
Eric Gordon	82	84	0.35	0.15	0.21	0.47	-4	5	-9	13.2	12.4	0.81	16.0	17.4	-1.45
Clint Capela	68	66	-0.03	0.53	-0.56	-0.20	6	-5	11	12.8	13.6	-0.79	17.4	13.8	3.58
Isaiah Canaan	8	8	-0.05	0.55	-0.59	-0.02	-1	2	-3	14.4	12.9	1.44	13.6	16.4	-2.77
Demetrius Jackson	14	14	-0.16	0.66	-0.82	-0.01	-5	6	-11	14.8	12.8	2.02	17.8	15.9	1.88
Tarik Black	27	27	-0.32	0.82	-1.13	0.01	-11	12	-23	13.9	12.7	1.16	13.7	17.1	-3.34

Philadelphia 76ers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Amir Johnson	35	34	0.14	-0.64	0.77	0.05	3	-4	7	15.3	16.7	-1.37	12.6	13.3	-0.75
JJ Redick	70	70	0.09	-0.59	0.68	-0.59	23	-24	47	15.8	17.1	-1.32	13.8	11.3	2.47
Dario Saric	33	36	-0.11	-0.39	0.27	0.00	-4	3	-7	17.2	15.6	1.61	13.3	12.9	0.40
Robert Covington	78	75	-0.20	-0.30	0.09	-0.47	9	-10	19	15.6	18.4	-2.80	13.1	13.0	0.12
Jerryd Bayless	64	62	-0.54	0.04	-0.57	-0.45	-3	2	-5	16.1	16.3	-0.22	12.5	13.9	-1.37
Joel Embiid	49	48	-0.59	0.09	-0.68	-0.56	-1	0	-1	17.1	15.2	1.88	13.8	12.4	1.41
T.J. McConnell	71	69	-0.62	0.12	-0.73	-0.32	-10	9	-19	15.7	17.2	-1.50	12.6	14.2	-1.64
Justin Anderson	45	47	-1.05	0.55	-1.60	-0.55	-17	16	-33	17.6	15.0	2.54	13.1	13.0	0.02
Ben Simmons	70	69	-1.06	0.56	-1.62	-0.68	-13	12	-25	16.5	15.3	1.17	12.8	13.6	-0.76

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.54,0.57,0.59,0.54,0.61,0.61,0.59,0.57,0.62,0.64,0.62,0.54,0.62,0.68,0.64,0.69,0.71,0.66,0.71,0.71,0.58,0.56,0.59,0.49,0.41,0.43,0.39,0.36,0.42,0.52,0.68,0.62,0.66,0.56,0.64,0.54,0.74,0.88,0.86,0.68,0.83,0.88,0.83,0.9,0.96,0.99,0.98,0
Game		Similarity Score
MIA 95, WAS 94	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.55,0.55,0.55,0.52,0.47,0.51,0.53,0.62,0.68,0.64,0.65,0.68,0.64,0.62,0.58,0.63,0.59,0.64,0.59,0.54,0.51,0.54,0.5,0.43,0.45,0.51,0.48,0.61,0.62,0.55,0.62,0.66,0.74,0.64,0.58,0.7,0.78,0.8,0.81,0.86,0.81,0.91,0.86,0.9,0.93,0.83,0	92.1%
BOS 86, MIA 84	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.48,0.5,0.5,0.51,0.55,0.53,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.6,0.63,0.58,0.62,0.64,0.65,0.67,0.72,0.75,0.69,0.67,0.61,0.64,0.5,0.55,0.48,0.58,0.52,0.52,0.48,0.48,0.48,0.52,0.52,0.56,0.62,0.78,0.75,0.79,0.77,0.79,0.8,0.83,0.75,0.79,0.76,0.73,0	89.9%
CHI 88, LAL 87	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.52,0.49,0.54,0.56,0.59,0.63,0.66,0.63,0.55,0.55,0.46,0.47,0.58,0.56,0.53,0.51,0.46,0.44,0.46,0.46,0.49,0.44,0.3,0.32,0.31,0.3,0.42,0.42,0.42,0.52,0.56,0.52,0.48,0.48,0.54,0.66,0.75,0.83,0.77,0.86,0.92,0.95,0.97,0.96,0.98,0.96,0	89.2%