inpredictable
Powered by Blogger.
NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Atlanta Hawks 93 Excitement5.8 [700] MVPWayne Ellington (MIA): +18.6%
Miami Heat 104 Comeback1.3 [1200] LVPTyler Johnson (MIA): -17.5%


Atlanta Hawks
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
John Collins0.100,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.10.060.03-0.001158%0.1000.002100%0.01
Luke Babbitt0.070,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.070.060.010.01590%0.091-0.0200%0.00
Isaiah Taylor0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.020.010.001100%0.051-0.022100%0.01
Kent Bazemore0.000,0,0.03,0.04,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0-0.000.010.011745%0.001-0.001070%0.00
Marco Belinelli-0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.03,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02-0.01-0.010.00961%0.043-0.0600%0.00
Tyler Dorsey-0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.020.00-0.0000%0.001-0.0200%0.00
Taurean Prince-0.080,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.02,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08-0.01-0.030.041471%0.067-0.1500%0.00
Dewayne Dedmon-0.080,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08-0.08-0.01-0.0150%-0.0800.0000%0.00
Malcolm Delaney-0.090,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09-0.06-0.030.01945%-0.043-0.05475%-0.01
Mike Muscala-0.100,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1-0.05-0.05-0.01550%0.013-0.1100%0.00

Miami Heat
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Wayne Ellington0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.1,0.12,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.190.190.180.010.019100%0.211-0.022100%0.03
Josh Richardson0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.12,0.12,0.09,0.06,0.08,0.05,0.08,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.120.120.080.03-0.011757%0.141-0.02367%-0.00
Justise Winslow0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.070.070.020.04-0.01850%0.0700.0000%0.00
Goran Dragic0,0,-0.01,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.050.05-0.000.02-0.031650%0.082-0.03650%-0.01
Dion Waiters0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.02-0.010.01-0.02862%0.083-0.0600%0.00
James Johnson0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.00-0.040.01-0.03667%0.044-0.0300%0.00
Kelly Olynyk0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.01-0.070.04-0.01853%0.115-0.12333%-0.02
Jordan Mickey0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.04-0.050.00-0.01425%-0.021-0.0200%0.00
Tyler Johnson0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.04,-0.1,-0.12,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18-0.18-0.11-0.050.01927%-0.122-0.054100%0.02
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game23.52.024.214.832.11.835.0133.3
league avg25.12.328.615.027.22.332.6134.4
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
MIA +28.4%
MIA +5.5%
MIA +1.9%
MIA +10.2%
MIA +4.1%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsATLMIANBAATLMIANBA
this game14.814.214.793.0105.1107.5
season14.615.1104.2105.4
opponent14.614.4105.8109.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
ATL15.817.611.514.814.8
MIA13.613.013.816.514.2

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Atlanta Hawks
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
John Collins40360.07-0.570.650.070-111114.814.70.1213.814.4-0.60
Marco Belinelli5856-0.03-0.470.44-0.123-141713.816.1-2.2714.214.10.08
Isaiah Taylor2927-0.12-0.380.25-0.01-4-7315.414.50.8914.014.2-0.17
Tyler Dorsey99-0.19-0.310.120.05-8-3-519.114.44.7613.414.2-0.79
Mike Muscala4547-0.21-0.290.07-0.210-111114.015.4-1.4614.713.61.11
Luke Babbitt5148-0.23-0.270.040.01-8-3-515.613.91.6513.714.6-0.88
Taurean Prince7575-0.31-0.19-0.12-0.19-4-7314.216.6-2.3714.513.11.42
Kent Bazemore6565-0.33-0.17-0.15-0.12-7-4-315.114.30.8013.914.7-0.78
Dewayne Dedmon6063-0.570.07-0.65-0.25-110-1114.714.8-0.1214.413.80.60
Malcolm Delaney6869-0.580.08-0.65-0.11-165-2115.114.20.8714.114.4-0.29

Miami Heat
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Wayne Ellington48500.54-0.040.590.1015-41914.114.2-0.1115.913.72.20
Josh Richardson76770.470.030.430.17101913.915.0-1.0414.615.4-0.79
Justise Winslow52520.370.130.250.1774315.213.02.1714.415.2-0.74
Kelly Olynyk58590.310.190.110.1365114.713.31.4014.714.9-0.21
James Johnson57580.200.30-0.09-0.0074313.415.2-1.8314.515.2-0.75
Tyler Johnson54540.200.30-0.100.0847-314.813.41.4015.214.30.92
Dion Waiters49480.150.35-0.200.12110-914.314.00.2514.814.8-0.02
Goran Dragic70710.140.36-0.220.0538-513.914.8-0.9413.917.0-3.08
Jordan Mickey31310.120.38-0.270.0629-712.814.8-2.0216.114.21.96


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.46,0.45,0.48,0.52,0.6,0.61,0.63,0.65,0.6,0.55,0.56,0.57,0.58,0.64,0.71,0.69,0.76,0.79,0.79,0.74,0.86,0.79,0.9,0.93,0.96,0.95,0.89,0.85,0.86,0.87,0.88,0.76,0.73,0.74,0.68,0.66,0.57,0.65,0.79,0.73,0.79,0.92,0.88,0.9,0.99,1,1,1
GameSimilarity Score
MEM 92, DEN 1040.5,0.49,0.48,0.46,0.48,0.51,0.56,0.57,0.51,0.59,0.57,0.62,0.68,0.68,0.7,0.69,0.75,0.69,0.8,0.78,0.79,0.74,0.83,0.88,0.86,0.9,0.92,0.95,0.92,0.93,0.9,0.89,0.91,0.91,0.85,0.78,0.75,0.58,0.66,0.71,0.71,0.81,0.83,0.88,0.99,0.98,0.99,1,1,193.8%
IND 86, NYK 920.5,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.52,0.5,0.5,0.53,0.57,0.57,0.57,0.55,0.55,0.65,0.62,0.58,0.62,0.67,0.78,0.84,0.81,0.76,0.77,0.81,0.82,0.82,0.86,0.88,0.85,0.81,0.79,0.71,0.82,0.72,0.66,0.7,0.72,0.7,0.62,0.57,0.76,0.84,0.86,0.85,0.78,0.81,0.96,0.99,1,193.7%
SAS 104, PHX 1160.5,0.49,0.48,0.48,0.52,0.56,0.56,0.62,0.69,0.69,0.71,0.66,0.7,0.72,0.76,0.74,0.77,0.77,0.8,0.76,0.75,0.78,0.78,0.86,0.89,0.88,0.86,0.9,0.9,0.94,0.92,0.89,0.88,0.84,0.82,0.78,0.75,0.7,0.62,0.66,0.76,0.77,0.79,0.94,0.97,0.97,0.99,1,1,193.4%