NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Indiana Pacers	86		Excitement	5.6 [720]		MVP	Carmelo Anthony (NYK): +20.8%
New York Knicks	92		Comeback	1.1 [693]		LVP	Paul George (IND): -18.4%

Indiana Pacers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Roy Hibbert	0.20	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.13,0.16,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.16,0.16,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2	0.17	0.04	0.01	10	83%	0.20	0	0.00	4	100%	0.03
Lance Stephenson	0.06	0,0,0,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06	0.01	0.06	0.01	16	55%	0.13	3	-0.07	6	50%	-0.03
Ian Mahinmi	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	-0.01	0.00	-0.03	3	37%	0.02	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Lavoy Allen	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	50%	-0.00	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Luis Scola	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.04	0.03	-0.00	2	50%	0.03	2	-0.04	4	50%	-0.02
Donald Sloan	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Chris Copeland	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.01	-0.01	0.00	3	33%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
David West	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05	-0.04	-0.02	-0.01	9	44%	-0.02	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Evan Turner	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.04	-0.02	0.00	5	27%	-0.06	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
George Hill	-0.08	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.03	-0.05	0.01	7	50%	-0.03	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Paul George	-0.18	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.13,-0.13,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.16,-0.19,-0.19,-0.17,-0.17,-0.15,-0.15,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.18	-0.10	-0.03	0.05	17	40%	-0.11	4	-0.08	8	87%	-0.01

New York Knicks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Carmelo Anthony	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.04,0.07,0.14,0.14,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.14,0.14,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.2,0.21,0.21,0.21	0.21	0.08	0.11	-0.01	23	59%	0.31	4	-0.10	12	83%	0.05
Amar'e Stoudemire	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.13	0.07	0.04	-0.02	15	58%	0.14	1	-0.02	6	83%	-0.00
Pablo Prigioni	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.04,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.01	0.07	-0.00	5	50%	0.08	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Iman Shumpert	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	-0.02	0.05	-0.01	5	30%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Raymond Felton	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03	0.03	-0.01	0.02	-0.02	11	44%	0.05	1	-0.02	3	67%	0.00
Shannon Brown	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Cole Aldrich	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.03	0.01	-0.00	2	33%	-0.01	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
J.R. Smith	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.04	-0.01	0.00	9	39%	-0.02	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Tyson Chandler	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.03	-0.02	0.00	5	50%	-0.00	2	-0.05	4	75%	-0.00
Tim Hardaway Jr.	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.09	-0.01	-0.00	7	12%	-0.10	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	28.0	3.5	36.5	17.6	29.6	1.7	43.5	160.5
league avg	24.7	2.3	29.6	16.0	26.9	2.3	33.4	136.7

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

NYK +19.9%

NYK +17.2%

NYK +13.8%

IND -0.5%

IND -0.6%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	IND	NYK	NBA	IND	NYK	NBA
this game	15.3	15.8	15.1	93.5	98.9	105.2
season	15.8	16.0		102.7	106.4
opponent	15.4	15.2		107.6	99.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
IND	15.2	15.1	16.3	14.4	15.3
NYK	14.8	16.2	15.0	17.5	15.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Indiana Pacers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Chris Copeland	15	15	0.09	-0.59	0.68	-0.18	9	-15	24	15.3	15.3	-0.02	11.9	16.6	-4.67
Lavoy Allen	9	9	-0.04	-0.46	0.42	-0.04	0	-6	6	11.7	15.7	-4.01	14.0	16.0	-2.05
Roy Hibbert	54	55	-0.18	-0.32	0.14	-0.18	0	-6	6	16.0	14.2	1.78	16.7	14.6	2.10
Donald Sloan	13	11	-0.18	-0.32	0.14	0.14	-11	5	-16	16.2	15.1	1.01	15.5	15.9	-0.45
David West	72	73	-0.20	-0.30	0.10	-0.29	3	-9	12	14.6	17.8	-3.22	15.2	18.1	-2.93
Lance Stephenson	73	73	-0.23	-0.27	0.05	-0.26	1	-7	8	14.8	17.2	-2.43	15.6	16.7	-1.15
Ian Mahinmi	27	26	-0.28	-0.22	-0.06	-0.01	-9	3	-12	15.5	15.2	0.28	16.4	15.6	0.80
George Hill	76	79	-0.29	-0.21	-0.08	-0.41	4	-10	14	15.1	15.9	-0.79	15.9	15.6	0.24
Luis Scola	20	20	-0.30	-0.20	-0.10	-0.03	-9	3	-12	17.8	14.6	3.22	18.1	15.2	2.93
Evan Turner	32	32	-0.40	-0.10	-0.31	-0.02	-13	7	-20	16.7	14.5	2.11	16.5	15.5	0.94
Paul George	69	72	-0.48	-0.02	-0.47	-0.34	-5	-1	-4	15.0	16.2	-1.19	16.0	15.2	0.79

New York Knicks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Carmelo Anthony	83	82	0.72	-0.22	0.93	0.33	13	-7	20	15.6	18.0	-2.41	15.2	16.3	-1.14
Tyson Chandler	76	75	0.53	-0.03	0.57	0.39	5	1	4	16.0	15.2	0.82	15.1	15.9	-0.81
Amar'e Stoudemire	51	52	0.34	0.16	0.18	0.10	8	-2	10	18.0	13.2	4.76	16.5	13.6	2.89
J.R. Smith	57	56	0.34	0.16	0.17	0.13	7	-1	8	15.4	16.6	-1.29	14.9	15.8	-0.86
Raymond Felton	54	53	0.31	0.19	0.13	0.17	5	1	4	16.2	15.4	0.84	15.2	15.3	-0.09
Iman Shumpert	59	55	0.26	0.24	0.03	0.38	-4	10	-14	15.1	17.2	-2.14	14.7	16.1	-1.43
Pablo Prigioni	39	39	0.19	0.31	-0.13	0.16	1	5	-4	15.4	16.2	-0.84	15.3	15.2	0.09
Shannon Brown	1	0	0.01	0.49	-0.48	0.01	0	6	-6	1.0	16.0	-15.01	0.0	15.3	-15.28
Cole Aldrich	16	17	-0.03	0.53	-0.56	0.03	-2	8	-10	16.1	15.8	0.26	16.2	15.1	1.17
Tim Hardaway Jr.	29	31	-0.17	0.67	-0.84	-0.08	-3	9	-12	15.4	16.1	-0.68	15.0	15.4	-0.47

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.52,0.5,0.5,0.53,0.57,0.57,0.57,0.55,0.55,0.65,0.62,0.58,0.62,0.67,0.78,0.84,0.81,0.76,0.77,0.81,0.82,0.82,0.86,0.88,0.85,0.81,0.79,0.71,0.82,0.72,0.66,0.7,0.72,0.7,0.62,0.57,0.76,0.84,0.86,0.85,0.78,0.81,0.96,0.99,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
UTA 88, NYK 99	0.5,0.51,0.46,0.51,0.5,0.5,0.56,0.62,0.63,0.63,0.6,0.53,0.55,0.57,0.58,0.62,0.67,0.71,0.78,0.82,0.75,0.78,0.79,0.79,0.8,0.84,0.83,0.8,0.8,0.64,0.7,0.71,0.75,0.72,0.73,0.7,0.68,0.58,0.57,0.71,0.72,0.81,0.83,0.8,0.91,0.99,0.98,0.95,1,1	93.8%
ATL 93, MIA 104	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.45,0.48,0.52,0.6,0.61,0.63,0.65,0.6,0.55,0.56,0.57,0.58,0.64,0.71,0.69,0.76,0.79,0.79,0.74,0.86,0.79,0.9,0.93,0.96,0.95,0.89,0.85,0.86,0.87,0.88,0.76,0.73,0.74,0.68,0.66,0.57,0.65,0.79,0.73,0.79,0.92,0.88,0.9,0.99,1,1,1	93.7%
NYK 90, ATL 100	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.51,0.55,0.54,0.58,0.55,0.47,0.51,0.57,0.6,0.56,0.66,0.68,0.68,0.6,0.69,0.76,0.7,0.79,0.82,0.79,0.77,0.8,0.82,0.84,0.74,0.82,0.76,0.81,0.74,0.72,0.78,0.77,0.84,0.79,0.7,0.66,0.66,0.71,0.68,0.89,0.85,0.83,0.94,0.99,1,1,1	93.6%