NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

New York Knicks	90		Excitement	5.9 [497]		MVP	Willie Green (ATL): +31.7%
Atlanta Hawks	100		Comeback	1.2 [693]		LVP	Baron Davis (NYK): -15.4%

New York Knicks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Iman Shumpert	0.14	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0.01,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.11,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.14	0.02	0.02	14	69%	0.20	2	-0.05	8	50%	-0.06
Carmelo Anthony	0.05	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.19,0.11,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.04	0.04	0.03	24	58%	0.18	5	-0.13	14	93%	0.07
Steve Novak	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.02	0.03	0.00	2	75%	0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Josh Harrellson	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.03	0.01	-0.00	3	60%	0.04	0	0.00	4	100%	0.02
Landry Fields	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.00	-0.01	-0.00	4	70%	0.05	2	-0.05	2	50%	-0.02
Mike Bibby	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
J.R. Smith	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.16,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.13	0.02	-0.05	10	23%	-0.03	2	-0.02	2	0%	-0.06
Tyson Chandler	-0.12	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.11,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.07	-0.05	-0.01	4	36%	-0.03	3	-0.09	3	0%	-0.03
Baron Davis	-0.15	0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.04,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15	-0.14	-0.03	-0.02	8	25%	-0.08	4	-0.07	0	0%	0.00

Atlanta Hawks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Willie Green	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.14,0.14,0.19,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.26,0.31,0.32,0.32,0.32	0.32	0.20	0.14	0.02	9	100%	0.32	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Joe Johnson	0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.01,0.01,0,0.02,0,0,0.01,0.04,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.14,0.14,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18	0.18	0.09	0.09	0.01	20	60%	0.22	2	-0.04	7	86%	0.01
Marvin Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.13	0.09	0.03	-0.01	7	68%	0.13	0	0.00	5	100%	0.03
Jason Collins	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jerry Stackhouse	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ivan Johnson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Zaza Pachulia	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.02	-0.00	-0.00	6	38%	0.00	1	-0.03	1	100%	0.01
Jeff Teague	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.07	0.02	-0.03	9	55%	0.08	5	-0.11	2	50%	-0.01
Kirk Hinrich	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.05	-0.00	-0.01	2	0%	-0.02	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Josh Smith	0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.03,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.06,0.06,0,-0.04,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15	-0.15	-0.09	-0.07	-0.02	19	49%	0.06	7	-0.21	9	78%	-0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	28.0	2.0	30.2	16.4	30.4	2.5	34.2	143.8
league avg	25.5	2.3	29.8	14.2	26.9	2.3	33.6	136.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

ATL +32.9%

ATL +7.2%

ATL +10.3%

NYK -0.5%

ATL +0.1%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	NYK	ATL	NBA	NYK	ATL	NBA
this game	15.0	16.9	15.6	100.0	109.9	102.8
season	14.9	15.7		102.3	102.5
opponent	15.9	15.7		99.5	100.2

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
NYK	16.2	15.4	13.4	14.9	15.0
ATL	16.5	14.6	17.9	18.5	16.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

New York Knicks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Josh Harrellson	16	17	0.02	-0.52	0.54	0.02	0	-10	10	13.6	15.2	-1.62	17.5	16.7	0.83
Mike Bibby	13	11	-0.07	-0.43	0.36	0.02	-3	-7	4	15.3	14.9	0.41	16.7	16.9	-0.15
Steve Novak	38	39	-0.08	-0.42	0.34	-0.02	-2	-8	6	14.4	15.3	-0.88	17.1	16.7	0.47
Landry Fields	47	50	-0.12	-0.38	0.26	-0.18	2	-12	14	15.3	14.6	0.63	18.4	15.0	3.38
Baron Davis	45	44	-0.30	-0.20	-0.11	0.02	-11	1	-12	16.6	13.3	3.24	15.6	18.0	-2.45
Carmelo Anthony	78	78	-0.45	-0.05	-0.39	-0.24	-7	-3	-4	15.0	14.9	0.04	16.4	19.7	-3.31
Iman Shumpert	76	80	-0.46	-0.04	-0.41	-0.22	-8	-2	-6	14.2	19.0	-4.79	16.9	16.2	0.77
Tyson Chandler	74	74	-0.52	0.02	-0.54	-0.23	-10	0	-10	15.2	13.6	1.62	16.7	17.5	-0.83
J.R. Smith	63	62	-0.53	0.03	-0.55	-0.20	-11	1	-12	14.7	15.6	-0.86	16.9	16.9	-0.01

Atlanta Hawks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jeff Teague	74	72	0.62	-0.12	0.73	0.21	14	-4	18	16.6	18.0	-1.41	14.4	17.1	-2.62
Josh Smith	79	78	0.58	-0.08	0.66	0.23	12	-2	14	16.9	16.8	0.03	15.0	14.5	0.53
Zaza Pachulia	64	63	0.57	-0.07	0.64	0.10	16	-6	22	16.7	17.3	-0.62	15.7	13.3	2.42
Joe Johnson	76	74	0.54	-0.04	0.58	0.16	13	-3	16	16.7	17.9	-1.21	14.8	15.6	-0.81
Willie Green	34	34	0.26	0.24	0.03	0.09	6	4	2	17.9	16.2	1.68	15.2	14.8	0.45
Marvin Williams	63	63	0.17	0.33	-0.16	0.08	3	7	-4	16.9	16.7	0.15	14.1	16.9	-2.76
Jason Collins	4	3	0.07	0.43	-0.35	0.01	2	8	-6	9.5	17.2	-7.70	14.7	15.0	-0.30
Jerry Stackhouse	6	6	-0.06	0.56	-0.62	0.06	-4	14	-18	19.5	16.7	2.83	13.0	15.1	-2.10
Kirk Hinrich	38	39	-0.10	0.60	-0.71	0.07	-6	16	-22	17.4	16.5	0.97	16.6	13.7	2.97
Ivan Johnson	17	18	-0.15	0.65	-0.80	0.03	-6	16	-22	16.8	16.9	-0.04	14.2	15.1	-0.92

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.52,0.51,0.55,0.54,0.58,0.55,0.47,0.51,0.57,0.6,0.56,0.66,0.68,0.68,0.6,0.69,0.76,0.7,0.79,0.82,0.79,0.77,0.8,0.82,0.84,0.74,0.82,0.76,0.81,0.74,0.72,0.78,0.77,0.84,0.79,0.7,0.66,0.66,0.71,0.68,0.89,0.85,0.83,0.94,0.99,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
MEM 90, SAS 97	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.55,0.58,0.57,0.62,0.63,0.57,0.59,0.6,0.53,0.55,0.63,0.62,0.56,0.62,0.73,0.8,0.82,0.77,0.78,0.79,0.79,0.8,0.75,0.79,0.72,0.78,0.76,0.84,0.79,0.74,0.76,0.79,0.74,0.71,0.7,0.7,0.62,0.57,0.68,0.78,0.88,0.96,0.95,0.99,0.99,1,1	94.4%
SAS 86, MEM 96	0.5,0.49,0.54,0.53,0.52,0.56,0.58,0.62,0.59,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.54,0.6,0.66,0.71,0.63,0.71,0.75,0.72,0.73,0.72,0.69,0.77,0.78,0.8,0.86,0.77,0.78,0.77,0.84,0.71,0.78,0.78,0.77,0.86,0.75,0.81,0.74,0.79,0.71,0.81,0.86,0.94,0.98,1,1,1,1,1	94.2%
MIA 88, NYK 101	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.57,0.57,0.59,0.56,0.53,0.53,0.55,0.57,0.55,0.6,0.6,0.58,0.62,0.68,0.67,0.63,0.68,0.73,0.76,0.81,0.77,0.82,0.73,0.71,0.72,0.75,0.77,0.79,0.79,0.77,0.75,0.76,0.7,0.64,0.62,0.62,0.57,0.67,0.68,0.79,0.81,0.87,0.86,0.95,0.98,1,1	93.9%