NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Detroit Pistons	111		Excitement	7.7 [332]		MVP	John Wall (WAS): +45.6%
Washington Wizards	115		Comeback	3.4 [631]		LVP	Reggie Jackson (DET): -15.6%

Detroit Pistons
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Stanley Johnson	0.27	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.27	0.09	0.19	0.01	3	100%	0.27	0	0.00	4	75%	0.18
Jon Leuer	0.17	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17	0.04	0.13	-0.00	8	56%	0.17	0	0.00	2	100%	0.09
Avery Bradley	0.15	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,0,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.23,0.15	-0.02	0.16	-0.00	13	60%	0.33	5	-0.18	4	75%	0.00
Tobias Harris	0.09	0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.10	0.02	0.03	10	60%	0.09	0	0.00	5	80%	0.00
Langston Galloway	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.04	0.00	0.00	3	83%	0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ish Smith	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.01,0.04,0.03,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.06	0.03	-0.03	12	46%	0.08	4	-0.08	2	0%	-0.05
Luke Kennard	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.03	-0.04	0.00	8	69%	0.04	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Andre Drummond	-0.01	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.00	-0.03	-0.01	9	47%	-0.01	1	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Eric Moreland	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.00	-0.00	0	0%	0.00	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Reggie Jackson	-0.16	0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.16	-0.02	-0.08	0.06	21	48%	-0.03	5	-0.12	2	100%	0.01

Washington Wizards
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
John Wall	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.09,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.37,0.43,0.43,0.46	0.46	0.06	0.42	0.02	12	74%	0.63	8	-0.17	11	82%	0.39
Otto Porter Jr.	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.09,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.18,0.23,0.21,0.21,0.19,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.3,0.3,0.3,0.3,0.3	0.30	0.14	0.16	0.00	19	67%	0.31	1	-0.01	4	100%	0.18
Bradley Beal	0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.13,0.13,0.09,0.07,0.11,0.14,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.17,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.26,0.26,0.21	0.21	0.09	0.15	0.03	18	58%	0.26	2	-0.06	7	86%	0.03
Jodie Meeks	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.1,0.1,0.14,0.14,0.13,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.12	0.05	0.04	-0.02	5	69%	0.13	1	-0.01	3	100%	0.02
Mike Scott	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.06	0.01	-0.00	4	80%	0.07	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Marcin Gortat	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.05	-0.02	0.01	6	62%	0.01	0	0.00	4	50%	-0.03
Ian Mahinmi	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.03	-0.00	0.01	3	62%	0.01	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Kelly Oubre Jr.	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.04	-0.02	-0.01	5	33%	-0.02	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Tim Frazier	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.11	-0.01	-0.01	3	0%	-0.03	3	-0.07	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.9	0.3	26.2	14.8	29.5	1.8	58.0	156.4
league avg	25.1	2.3	28.6	15.0	27.2	2.3	32.6	134.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

WAS +2.2%

WAS +36.9%

DET -2.5%

WAS +8.8%

WAS +4.6%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	DET	WAS	NBA	DET	WAS	NBA
this game	15.5	13.6	14.7	113.3	115.0	107.5
season	14.9	14.8		106.4	108.2
opponent	14.7	14.7		107.9	106.3

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
DET	14.3	16.2	18.2	13.2	15.5
WAS	12.8	13.2	11.8	16.7	13.6

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Detroit Pistons
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Langston Galloway	27	26	-0.01	-0.49	0.47	-0.07	2	-6	8	14.6	15.8	-1.16	14.3	13.4	0.85
Luke Kennard	39	40	-0.08	-0.42	0.33	-0.08	0	-4	4	15.5	15.4	0.11	13.1	14.0	-0.82
Jon Leuer	67	67	-0.16	-0.34	0.17	-0.43	9	-13	22	13.7	19.3	-5.64	14.8	11.2	3.58
Reggie Jackson	64	67	-0.18	-0.32	0.14	-0.35	6	-10	16	15.0	16.4	-1.44	14.7	11.5	3.17
Andre Drummond	52	55	-0.21	-0.29	0.08	-0.01	-7	3	-10	16.4	14.4	2.07	13.1	14.3	-1.22
Eric Moreland	28	26	-0.27	-0.23	-0.04	-0.03	-8	4	-12	16.3	15.1	1.14	11.8	14.3	-2.53
Tobias Harris	68	70	-0.30	-0.20	-0.10	-0.36	2	-6	8	15.7	15.0	0.68	13.6	13.7	-0.04
Ish Smith	55	56	-0.37	-0.13	-0.25	-0.34	-1	-3	2	14.9	16.2	-1.28	13.6	13.7	-0.07
Stanley Johnson	46	49	-0.40	-0.10	-0.31	-0.32	-3	-1	-2	15.8	15.2	0.63	13.9	13.4	0.55
Avery Bradley	65	67	-0.56	0.06	-0.62	-0.24	-11	7	-18	16.0	14.4	1.67	13.5	13.9	-0.45

Washington Wizards
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Bradley Beal	71	70	0.73	-0.23	0.95	0.29	15	-11	26	13.5	14.1	-0.60	15.8	14.7	1.06
Kelly Oubre Jr.	74	71	0.59	-0.09	0.67	0.29	10	-6	16	13.6	13.7	-0.02	16.0	14.0	1.98
Otto Porter Jr.	79	76	0.43	0.07	0.36	0.26	6	-2	8	13.4	14.6	-1.18	16.1	13.4	2.66
John Wall	69	66	0.38	0.12	0.27	0.27	4	0	4	13.9	13.0	0.97	15.7	15.0	0.65
Marcin Gortat	69	68	0.23	0.27	-0.04	0.14	3	1	2	14.3	12.1	2.19	15.9	14.4	1.54
Tim Frazier	31	32	0.12	0.38	-0.27	0.12	0	4	-4	13.0	13.9	-0.97	15.0	15.7	-0.65
Ian Mahinmi	28	29	0.07	0.43	-0.36	0.10	-1	5	-6	13.2	13.8	-0.64	14.9	15.7	-0.81
Mike Scott	46	45	0.02	0.48	-0.47	0.31	-10	14	-24	13.4	13.9	-0.46	13.6	17.1	-3.46
Jodie Meeks	33	33	-0.06	0.56	-0.62	0.15	-7	11	-18	13.9	13.5	0.45	14.4	16.0	-1.67

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.53,0.56,0.57,0.53,0.61,0.49,0.45,0.49,0.46,0.44,0.38,0.36,0.35,0.29,0.34,0.27,0.27,0.33,0.27,0.27,0.3,0.4,0.45,0.51,0.55,0.42,0.48,0.55,0.62,0.63,0.66,0.85,0.87,0.95,0.98,0.97,0.88,0.64,0.79,0.54,0.39,0.69,0.95,0.84,1
Game		Similarity Score
CHI 92, MIL 96	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.51,0.46,0.41,0.45,0.45,0.42,0.43,0.4,0.47,0.49,0.4,0.36,0.38,0.29,0.25,0.22,0.25,0.27,0.34,0.23,0.3,0.27,0.33,0.37,0.43,0.45,0.39,0.48,0.58,0.62,0.56,0.59,0.67,0.68,0.81,0.84,0.9,0.89,0.91,0.79,0.65,0.66,0.68,0.78,0.9,0.96,1	90.7%
MIA 108, BOS 112	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.45,0.46,0.4,0.41,0.41,0.4,0.38,0.37,0.39,0.37,0.36,0.36,0.29,0.27,0.18,0.26,0.27,0.34,0.26,0.28,0.36,0.37,0.48,0.48,0.51,0.54,0.55,0.52,0.52,0.62,0.76,0.77,0.82,0.87,0.74,0.82,0.71,0.81,0.64,0.53,0.4,0.39,0.64,0.86,0.85,1	89.9%
IND 89, DET 95	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.49,0.48,0.44,0.42,0.46,0.51,0.57,0.57,0.58,0.58,0.48,0.47,0.45,0.42,0.38,0.35,0.39,0.39,0.44,0.36,0.31,0.28,0.42,0.48,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.39,0.45,0.52,0.59,0.66,0.7,0.79,0.85,0.81,0.79,0.67,0.77,0.59,0.59,0.28,0.64,0.72,0.9,0.74,1	89.8%