NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Chicago Bulls	92		Excitement	7.5 [324]		MVP	Ray Allen (MIL): +30.7%
Milwaukee Bucks	96		Comeback	3.5 [931]		LVP	Brad Miller (CHI): -32.6%

Chicago Bulls
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Trenton Hassell	0.17	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,0,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.17,0.17,0.17	0.07	0.10	-0.00	13	67%	0.20	1	-0.03	7	43%	-0.07
Fred Hoiberg	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.00	0.00	-0.02	2	50%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tyson Chandler	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	1	100%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Eddy Curry	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	-0.00	4	50%	0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Kevin Ollie	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	-0.01	4	60%	0.02	2	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Marcus Fizer	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	4	50%	-0.00	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.02
Greg Anthony	-0.10	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.04,-0.04,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.06	-0.04	-0.00	7	29%	-0.06	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Ron Mercer	-0.13	0,0,0.02,0,0,0.04,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.13,0.14,0.14,0.11,0.11,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,-0.11,-0.09,-0.13	0.02	-0.15	0.00	27	52%	-0.11	1	-0.01	6	17%	-0.13
Charles Oakley	-0.13	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13	-0.09	-0.06	-0.02	5	30%	0.09	3	-0.22	0	0%	0.00
Brad Miller	-0.33	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.17,-0.26,-0.26,-0.33,-0.33	-0.14	-0.19	0.00	14	39%	-0.16	4	-0.17	5	60%	-0.01

Milwaukee Bucks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Ray Allen	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.35,0.35,0.31	0.31	0.15	0.16	0.00	10	83%	0.31	0	0.00	4	75%	-0.04
Sam Cassell	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.06,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.07,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.12,0.08	0.08	0.06	0.01	-0.00	15	65%	0.17	2	-0.10	4	100%	0.02
Michael Redd	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.1,0.12,0.11,0.11,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.04	0.03	0.00	10	55%	0.07	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Glenn Robinson	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.03,-0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,-0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.01	0.05	-0.00	14	59%	0.15	2	-0.09	9	89%	0.02
Ervin Johnson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.01	0.02	0.00	3	57%	0.03	0	0.00	1	0%	-0.01
Mark Pope	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.05	0.00	-0.01	2	33%	-0.02	1	-0.01	2	0%	-0.03
Anthony Mason	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.02	-0.03	0.00	9	55%	0.05	2	-0.10	2	50%	-0.02
Tim Thomas	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.09	-0.02	-0.00	5	20%	-0.05	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Rafer Alston	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.14	-0.10	-0.04	-0.00	6	14%	-0.11	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.5	1.6	27.0	15.8	23.2	1.8	31.0	125.0
league avg	46.4	2.2	28.5	14.6	24.5	2.3	30.0	149.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

MIL +40.0%

MIL +14.7%

CHI -17.7%

MIL +17.0%

CHI -4.0%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	CHI	MIL	NBA	CHI	MIL	NBA
this game	17.1	14.4	15.6	100.0	105.5	102.3
season	15.6	15.3		96.3	104.7
opponent	16.0	15.6		105.1	105.5

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
CHI	16.4	16.1	20.4	15.7	17.1
MIL	12.9	15.2	13.9	15.6	14.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Chicago Bulls
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Fred Hoiberg	20	17	0.19	-0.69	0.87	-0.14	11	-15	26	14.5	17.8	-3.23	16.4	13.9	2.42
Tyson Chandler	8	8	0.12	-0.62	0.74	-0.06	6	-10	16	15.2	17.2	-2.00	18.2	14.0	4.24
Greg Anthony	43	44	0.01	-0.51	0.53	-0.22	8	-12	20	16.8	17.3	-0.49	15.4	13.4	2.03
Eddy Curry	17	18	-0.08	-0.42	0.34	-0.08	0	-4	4	15.8	17.4	-1.54	16.0	14.0	2.01
Marcus Fizer	28	30	-0.21	-0.29	0.09	-0.09	-4	0	-4	16.2	17.4	-1.19	16.4	13.4	3.06
Kevin Ollie	47	46	-0.32	-0.18	-0.15	-0.03	-10	6	-16	17.8	16.3	1.45	13.7	15.1	-1.48
Charles Oakley	70	68	-0.39	-0.11	-0.28	-0.33	-2	-2	0	17.5	15.8	1.65	13.9	15.8	-1.93
Brad Miller	75	73	-0.42	-0.08	-0.34	-0.30	-4	0	-4	17.4	15.8	1.54	14.0	16.0	-2.01
Trenton Hassell	75	73	-0.52	0.02	-0.54	-0.29	-8	4	-12	17.4	15.6	1.83	13.5	18.1	-4.65
Ron Mercer	77	78	-0.88	0.38	-1.26	-0.38	-17	13	-30	17.2	16.2	1.05	13.9	17.3	-3.41

Milwaukee Bucks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Ray Allen	71	73	0.99	-0.49	1.49	0.38	21	-17	38	13.7	16.6	-2.90	18.1	13.2	4.87
Anthony Mason	75	77	0.94	-0.44	1.38	0.38	19	-15	34	13.9	16.6	-2.72	17.9	12.6	5.35
Sam Cassell	62	64	0.82	-0.32	1.13	0.32	17	-13	30	13.3	16.8	-3.54	17.8	15.4	2.47
Glenn Robinson	73	75	0.50	0.00	0.50	0.32	6	-2	8	13.9	16.2	-2.29	17.3	16.3	0.96
Ervin Johnson	50	48	0.22	0.28	-0.06	0.43	-7	11	-18	15.6	12.9	2.70	15.5	18.8	-3.34
Mark Pope	19	20	-0.03	0.53	-0.57	-0.00	-1	5	-6	12.8	14.8	-1.95	17.1	17.1	0.09
Tim Thomas	42	43	-0.18	0.68	-0.86	-0.04	-5	9	-14	14.7	14.1	0.61	17.1	17.0	0.08
Rafer Alston	29	28	-0.32	0.82	-1.13	0.06	-13	17	-30	16.8	13.3	3.54	15.4	17.8	-2.47
Michael Redd	34	32	-0.44	0.94	-1.38	0.06	-17	21	-38	16.4	13.2	3.24	14.6	18.4	-3.85

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.48,0.51,0.46,0.41,0.45,0.45,0.42,0.43,0.4,0.47,0.49,0.4,0.36,0.38,0.29,0.25,0.22,0.25,0.27,0.34,0.23,0.3,0.27,0.33,0.37,0.43,0.45,0.39,0.48,0.58,0.62,0.56,0.59,0.67,0.68,0.81,0.84,0.9,0.89,0.91,0.79,0.65,0.66,0.68,0.78,0.9,0.96,1
Game		Similarity Score
PHX 116, NOP 125	0.5,0.49,0.55,0.49,0.45,0.44,0.42,0.45,0.39,0.35,0.38,0.31,0.32,0.3,0.26,0.2,0.25,0.25,0.15,0.16,0.2,0.2,0.24,0.3,0.25,0.3,0.32,0.34,0.42,0.45,0.48,0.54,0.52,0.59,0.69,0.81,0.79,0.78,0.78,0.79,0.83,0.88,0.83,0.65,0.67,0.69,0.79,0.77,1,1	92.6%
CHA 92, IND 98	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.48,0.52,0.49,0.48,0.47,0.47,0.49,0.38,0.31,0.34,0.34,0.34,0.3,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.3,0.34,0.36,0.42,0.46,0.44,0.42,0.39,0.37,0.45,0.36,0.42,0.52,0.59,0.56,0.63,0.71,0.72,0.81,0.9,0.86,0.8,0.81,0.74,0.76,0.72,0.86,0.93,0.94,0.96,1	92.2%
DEN 89, PHX 96	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.46,0.38,0.41,0.39,0.38,0.39,0.39,0.37,0.44,0.38,0.37,0.32,0.24,0.18,0.15,0.2,0.22,0.23,0.17,0.23,0.27,0.33,0.3,0.34,0.4,0.55,0.52,0.52,0.58,0.55,0.55,0.48,0.56,0.63,0.7,0.78,0.9,0.86,0.77,0.87,0.88,0.87,0.68,0.78,0.91,1,1	92.0%