NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Utah Jazz	105		Excitement	7.8 [298]		MVP	Stephen Curry (GSW): +22.8%
Golden State Warriors	99		Comeback	2.0 [200]		LVP	Ian Clark (GSW): -19.8%

Utah Jazz
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
George Hill	0.21	0,0,0,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.13,0.13,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.2,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21	0.21	0.01	0.02	9	105%	0.21	0	0.00	1	100%	0.01
Joe Johnson	0.20	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.02,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,0.04,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.19,0.2	0.12	0.09	0.01	14	66%	0.20	0	0.00	1	0%	-0.02
Rudy Gobert	0.18	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,-0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.18,0.18	0.06	0.13	0.01	12	59%	0.21	1	-0.03	5	60%	-0.03
Shelvin Mack	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.09,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,0.04,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04	-0.01	0.05	0.00	15	48%	0.09	2	-0.05	3	33%	-0.04
Boris Diaw	0.01	0,0,0.03,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.02	0.03	0.03	7	56%	0.04	1	-0.02	4	100%	0.01
Joel Bolomboy	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.01	-0.02	-0.00	3	33%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Alec Burks	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.04	0.01	-0.00	5	27%	-0.01	1	-0.03	1	100%	0.01
Joe Ingles	-0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.03,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.09	-0.04	-0.03	13	42%	-0.02	4	-0.08	0	0%	0.00
Dante Exum	-0.13	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.13	-0.01	-0.01	14	25%	-0.08	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00

Golden State Warriors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Stephen Curry	0,0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.09,0.11,0.08,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.11,0.16,0.16,0.14,0.19,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.25,0.25,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23	0.23	0.21	0.03	0.02	16	76%	0.25	1	-0.02	5	80%	0.01
JaVale McGee	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.12,0.12,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15	0.15	0.10	0.07	0.02	5	85%	0.15	0	0.00	3	33%	-0.06
James Michael McAdoo	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.12	0.02	0.08	-0.01	2	75%	0.12	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kevin Durant	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0,-0.02,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.04	0.06	0.00	12	57%	0.12	1	-0.02	4	100%	0.04
Patrick McCaw	0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.04,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.02	0.02	0.00	9	50%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Shaun Livingston	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.01	-0.03	0.00	4	50%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Andre Iguodala	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.18,-0.18,-0.12,-0.12,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.07	0.00	0.00	5	33%	0.00	2	-0.07	2	0%	-0.07
David West	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.04,-0.07,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.04	-0.03	-0.00	9	44%	-0.00	2	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Draymond Green	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.06	-0.03	-0.00	7	36%	-0.04	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Zaza Pachulia	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.04	-0.06	0.02	5	67%	0.01	4	-0.12	2	100%	0.01
Ian Clark	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.2,-0.2	-0.20	-0.06	-0.10	0.04	6	23%	-0.18	1	-0.02	1	100%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	22.4	2.6	27.4	15.4	27.3	2.4	32.3	129.8
league avg	24.8	2.3	29.6	15.7	26.8	2.3	33.5	136.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

UTA +14.4%

UTA +1.4%

UTA +21.4%

UTA +5.7%

UTA +7.1%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	UTA	GSW	NBA	UTA	GSW	NBA
this game	17.5	13.5	14.8	114.1	105.3	107.7
season	16.1	13.5		108.0	114.9
opponent	15.1	15.0		103.3	105.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
UTA	17.9	18.2	17.9	16.0	17.5
GSW	12.4	13.9	12.1	16.0	13.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Utah Jazz
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Rudy Gobert	63	65	0.47	0.03	0.45	0.41	2	4	-2	17.6	17.2	0.36	13.4	13.7	-0.24
Joe Ingles	65	66	0.43	0.07	0.37	0.23	7	-1	8	18.3	15.6	2.63	13.4	13.7	-0.33
Boris Diaw	48	49	0.42	0.08	0.34	0.30	4	2	2	16.9	18.1	-1.15	14.0	13.0	0.96
Joe Johnson	55	55	0.36	0.14	0.22	0.24	4	2	2	17.2	17.9	-0.76	13.5	13.5	0.06
Shelvin Mack	60	58	0.31	0.19	0.11	0.54	-8	14	-22	17.9	16.8	1.09	13.5	13.6	-0.06
Alec Burks	36	36	0.17	0.33	-0.17	0.08	3	3	0	16.9	17.9	-0.99	13.9	13.3	0.69
Dante Exum	69	72	0.16	0.34	-0.18	0.04	4	2	2	17.4	17.7	-0.33	13.4	13.8	-0.39
George Hill	35	40	0.15	0.35	-0.19	-0.14	10	-4	14	17.4	17.5	-0.10	12.9	14.0	-1.08
Joel Bolomboy	29	29	0.03	0.47	-0.45	-0.09	4	2	2	17.2	17.6	-0.36	13.7	13.4	0.24

Golden State Warriors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Kevin Durant	64	62	0.21	-0.71	0.92	-0.03	8	-14	22	12.6	15.5	-2.91	18.7	14.9	3.79
Stephen Curry	59	57	0.19	-0.69	0.89	-0.07	9	-15	24	12.0	16.1	-4.04	18.5	15.8	2.73
JaVale McGee	30	30	-0.04	-0.46	0.41	-0.22	6	-12	18	13.3	13.6	-0.28	16.5	18.0	-1.52
Zaza Pachulia	50	48	-0.16	-0.34	0.19	-0.19	1	-7	8	13.1	14.0	-0.94	17.6	17.4	0.24
Andre Iguodala	45	44	-0.17	-0.33	0.16	-0.11	-2	-4	2	13.4	13.6	-0.19	17.8	17.2	0.67
Shaun Livingston	38	38	-0.21	-0.29	0.09	-0.00	-7	1	-8	14.9	12.6	2.35	17.1	17.8	-0.70
James Michael McAdoo	10	11	-0.28	-0.22	-0.06	-0.22	-2	-4	2	15.9	13.2	2.66	13.5	18.0	-4.48
Draymond Green	52	48	-0.34	-0.16	-0.18	0.04	-13	7	-20	12.2	15.1	-2.93	17.8	17.1	0.72
David West	31	32	-0.43	-0.07	-0.35	-0.19	-8	2	-10	16.0	12.3	3.75	17.4	17.5	-0.08
Patrick McCaw	52	52	-0.63	0.13	-0.77	-0.37	-9	3	-12	13.6	13.4	0.17	16.9	18.2	-1.30
Ian Clark	39	38	-0.64	0.14	-0.79	-0.26	-13	7	-20	15.8	11.9	3.93	16.1	18.5	-2.36

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.46,0.42,0.45,0.44,0.44,0.43,0.43,0.45,0.51,0.47,0.51,0.52,0.45,0.42,0.36,0.31,0.3,0.3,0.36,0.44,0.46,0.46,0.56,0.51,0.65,0.55,0.52,0.52,0.48,0.45,0.35,0.31,0.41,0.48,0.59,0.5,0.62,0.52,0.33,0.42,0.47,0.35,0.33,0.11,0.21,0.23,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
LAL 103, DEN 98	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.46,0.49,0.48,0.52,0.47,0.47,0.51,0.51,0.53,0.49,0.46,0.49,0.45,0.47,0.46,0.42,0.39,0.39,0.34,0.42,0.49,0.51,0.5,0.51,0.57,0.58,0.58,0.64,0.67,0.45,0.34,0.44,0.44,0.52,0.58,0.48,0.43,0.29,0.42,0.47,0.41,0.28,0.19,0.29,0.32,0.09,0	92.3%
MEM 103, DEN 96	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.46,0.46,0.46,0.46,0.47,0.51,0.47,0.49,0.38,0.42,0.43,0.45,0.45,0.45,0.47,0.44,0.35,0.38,0.44,0.42,0.39,0.46,0.5,0.45,0.45,0.52,0.48,0.45,0.45,0.38,0.38,0.34,0.44,0.44,0.5,0.48,0.47,0.58,0.42,0.59,0.47,0.39,0.19,0.21,0.11,0.02,0	91.8%
LAL 110, GSW 104	0.5,0.51,0.46,0.42,0.47,0.43,0.47,0.41,0.49,0.4,0.39,0.38,0.34,0.35,0.42,0.42,0.36,0.38,0.42,0.47,0.49,0.54,0.54,0.54,0.56,0.5,0.57,0.57,0.61,0.58,0.59,0.47,0.35,0.41,0.31,0.52,0.56,0.54,0.52,0.43,0.48,0.32,0.47,0.29,0.28,0.14,0.06,0.03,0.01,0	91.6%