NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Los Angeles Lakers	110		Excitement	7.5 [339]		MVP	Smush Parker (LAL): +23.4%
Golden State Warriors	104		Comeback	1.6 [433]		LVP	Lamar Odom (LAL): -19.0%

Los Angeles Lakers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Smush Parker	0.23	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.06,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.15,0.15,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.14,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.23	0.13	0.11	0.01	12	83%	0.35	4	-0.11	5	60%	0.00
Kobe Bryant	0.18	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.08,0.09,0.1,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.03,0.08,0.11,0.18,0.18,0.18	0.10	0.07	-0.02	28	57%	0.28	3	-0.10	11	100%	0.05
Devean George	0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.03	0.08	0.00	5	70%	0.13	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Kwame Brown	0.09	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.10	0.01	0.01	11	67%	0.12	1	-0.04	5	80%	0.03
Chris Mihm	0.05	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	-0.00	-0.00	9	67%	0.08	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Luke Walton	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	-0.03	0.05	-0.00	5	40%	0.05	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Brian Cook	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Sasha Vujacic	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.03	0.01	-0.00	4	50%	0.05	2	-0.06	2	100%	0.01
Lamar Odom	-0.19	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.15,-0.15,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.16,-0.16,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19	-0.15	-0.05	-0.01	8	11%	-0.16	2	-0.03	2	0%	-0.03

Golden State Warriors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jason Richardson	0,0,0,-0.01,0,0.01,0.05,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.11,0.09,0.12,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.16,0.14,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.14,0.14,0.11,0.13,0.1,0.08,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.04,0,0.17,0.17,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.14,0.14,0.12	0.12	0.11	0.01	0.01	27	58%	0.22	2	-0.10	10	40%	-0.07
Troy Murphy	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.08,-0.05,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	-0.00	0.03	-0.00	12	46%	0.07	1	-0.04	2	100%	0.01
Zarko Cabarkapa	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.02	0.01	0.00	1	100%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Andris Biedrins	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Derek Fisher	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0	-0.00	0.02	-0.02	0.00	8	50%	-0.00	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Adonal Foyle	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	0.01	3	33%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Mike Dunleavy	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.03,0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.03	-0.00	-0.01	14	43%	-0.00	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Baron Davis	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	0.02	-0.06	-0.00	21	55%	0.07	3	-0.11	2	50%	-0.03
Ike Diogu	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.04	-0.01	-0.00	2	50%	0.01	2	-0.06	2	50%	-0.01
Mickael Pietrus	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.08	-0.02	-0.02	6	17%	-0.07	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.2	2.7	28.4	16.7	28.0	2.4	28.5	131.0
league avg	33.9	2.4	29.5	14.7	26.7	2.4	34.0	144.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

LAL +36.2%

LAL +22.8%

LAL +8.8%

GSW -18.3%

LAL +0.5%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	LAL	GSW	NBA	LAL	GSW	NBA
this game	15.5	14.0	15.6	113.4	106.1	104.4
season	15.6	14.8		106.2	102.9
opponent	15.5	15.5		104.0	104.3

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
LAL	13.7	16.6	15.1	16.9	15.5
GSW	16.3	12.2	12.6	15.2	14.0

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Los Angeles Lakers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Devean George	41	42	0.60	-0.10	0.71	0.37	8	-2	10	16.0	15.1	0.88	13.4	14.5	-1.05
Lamar Odom	64	64	0.56	-0.06	0.62	0.26	10	-4	14	15.3	15.9	-0.55	15.5	11.2	4.28
Kwame Brown	76	76	0.56	-0.06	0.61	0.35	7	-1	8	15.9	14.0	1.87	14.3	13.0	1.27
Smush Parker	88	89	0.48	0.02	0.47	0.25	8	-2	10	15.3	18.0	-2.74	13.9	15.4	-1.56
Kobe Bryant	85	87	0.42	0.08	0.34	0.30	4	2	2	15.1	18.7	-3.60	13.7	16.9	-3.24
Chris Mihm	62	63	0.06	0.44	-0.37	-0.05	4	2	2	14.6	17.2	-2.64	13.9	14.3	-0.40
Brian Cook	10	10	0.06	0.44	-0.38	-0.00	2	4	-2	14.1	15.7	-1.58	11.6	14.3	-2.71
Luke Walton	30	29	0.01	0.49	-0.48	0.04	-1	7	-8	16.3	15.2	1.09	14.6	13.8	0.84
Sasha Vujacic	29	30	-0.25	0.75	-1.01	0.10	-12	18	-30	18.0	14.5	3.49	13.0	14.5	-1.49

Golden State Warriors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Adonal Foyle	53	52	0.08	-0.58	0.66	-0.15	8	-14	22	13.2	15.0	-1.71	16.0	15.0	1.04
Andris Biedrins	7	7	-0.10	-0.40	0.30	-0.07	-1	-5	4	15.7	13.9	1.81	18.9	15.3	3.60
Zarko Cabarkapa	8	8	-0.15	-0.35	0.20	-0.06	-3	-3	0	15.4	13.9	1.46	15.5	15.5	-0.02
Ike Diogu	32	32	-0.17	-0.33	0.17	0.04	-7	1	-8	14.7	13.7	1.07	14.1	16.2	-2.08
Derek Fisher	58	56	-0.23	-0.27	0.04	-0.38	5	-11	16	13.2	15.2	-1.98	16.9	13.6	3.34
Baron Davis	83	82	-0.28	-0.22	-0.06	-0.25	-1	-5	4	13.6	16.5	-2.96	15.2	17.3	-2.15
Troy Murphy	63	63	-0.33	-0.17	-0.17	-0.13	-7	1	-8	13.9	14.2	-0.31	15.1	16.2	-1.06
Mike Dunleavy	70	71	-0.41	-0.09	-0.32	-0.26	-5	-1	-4	14.4	13.1	1.34	14.8	17.4	-2.55
Jason Richardson	89	87	-0.43	-0.07	-0.36	-0.17	-9	3	-12	14.1	13.3	0.77	15.6	15.1	0.46
Mickael Pietrus	27	27	-0.48	-0.02	-0.46	-0.19	-10	4	-14	16.0	13.3	2.77	16.0	15.3	0.62

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.46,0.42,0.47,0.43,0.47,0.41,0.49,0.4,0.39,0.38,0.34,0.35,0.42,0.42,0.36,0.38,0.42,0.47,0.49,0.54,0.54,0.54,0.56,0.5,0.57,0.57,0.61,0.58,0.59,0.47,0.35,0.41,0.31,0.52,0.56,0.54,0.52,0.43,0.48,0.32,0.47,0.29,0.28,0.14,0.06,0.03,0.01,0
Game		Similarity Score
DAL 103, OKC 93	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.51,0.54,0.5,0.45,0.36,0.34,0.34,0.35,0.31,0.33,0.37,0.36,0.34,0.38,0.4,0.42,0.46,0.46,0.41,0.37,0.46,0.42,0.5,0.51,0.45,0.58,0.61,0.61,0.42,0.48,0.41,0.48,0.48,0.64,0.58,0.48,0.38,0.52,0.37,0.41,0.24,0.09,0.11,0.04,0.01,0,0	92.6%
SAC 102, MIL 89	0.5,0.51,0.46,0.49,0.5,0.46,0.45,0.39,0.39,0.32,0.37,0.4,0.44,0.46,0.4,0.36,0.4,0.4,0.35,0.41,0.44,0.49,0.49,0.54,0.54,0.5,0.51,0.51,0.42,0.42,0.39,0.38,0.29,0.41,0.37,0.4,0.52,0.5,0.52,0.57,0.52,0.42,0.41,0.35,0.4,0.32,0.05,0.01,0,0	92.3%
PHX 92, MIN 77	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.54,0.56,0.54,0.45,0.38,0.34,0.38,0.36,0.42,0.46,0.42,0.42,0.51,0.51,0.44,0.37,0.44,0.48,0.44,0.51,0.46,0.5,0.55,0.63,0.58,0.64,0.61,0.55,0.48,0.41,0.37,0.48,0.52,0.5,0.62,0.48,0.52,0.42,0.26,0.19,0.1,0.1,0.02,0,0,0	92.1%