NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Phoenix Suns	92		Excitement	6.5 [471]		MVP	Steve Nash (PHX): +15.8%
Minnesota Timberwolves	77		Comeback	2.6 [200]		LVP	Kevin Garnett (MIN): -23.7%

Phoenix Suns
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Steve Nash	0.16	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.04,0.01,0.11,0.11,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16	0.04	0.11	0.00	11	57%	0.16	0	0.00	1	0%	-0.02
Antonio McDyess	0.11	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.11,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	-0.00	0.11	-0.00	15	58%	0.16	2	-0.05	8	50%	-0.02
Clifford Robinson	0.01	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.00	0.00	-0.01	10	50%	0.04	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
George McCloud	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0	0.07	-0.00	0.06	8	72%	0.03	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.02
Marko Milic	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Cedric Ceballos	-0.01	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.07,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.00	-0.02	-0.01	12	50%	0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Jason Kidd	-0.10	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.14,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.12	-0.00	-0.03	10	21%	-0.10	0	0.00	4	50%	-0.03
Mark Bryant	-0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.07	-0.03	0.00	3	33%	-0.03	3	-0.08	0	0%	0.00
Rex Chapman	-0.13	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.04,0.06,0.04,0.04,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.08	-0.08	-0.03	17	39%	-0.10	1	-0.03	4	25%	-0.04

Minnesota Timberwolves
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Sam Mitchell	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.01	0.05	0.00	7	60%	0.11	1	-0.05	1	100%	0.01
Micheal Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.03	0.00	0.00	1	100%	0.03	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Chris Carr	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.03	0.03	-0.01	4	50%	0.05	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Tom Hammonds	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.01	0.01	0.00	3	50%	-0.00	0	0.00	4	75%	0.01
Tom Gugliotta	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.04,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.08,-0.11,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.09	-0.02	-0.02	19	50%	0.03	5	-0.12	4	75%	-0.02
Stanley Roberts	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.12	-0.11	-0.02	-0.01	1	0%	-0.05	3	-0.07	2	0%	-0.04
Terry Porter	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.13,-0.13,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17	-0.17	-0.10	-0.08	-0.00	7	28%	-0.12	1	-0.05	4	75%	-0.00
Stephon Marbury	0,0,0.02,-0.01,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.14,-0.11,-0.11,-0.21,-0.21,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19	-0.19	-0.16	-0.08	-0.05	16	40%	-0.07	4	-0.12	8	75%	0.01
Kevin Garnett	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.15,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.2,-0.23,-0.23,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24	-0.24	-0.17	-0.08	-0.02	19	30%	-0.21	1	-0.02	6	50%	-0.04

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.2	1.7	25.2	15.4	23.4	1.7	27.0	117.6
league avg	29.9	2.8	36.8	15.6	26.0	2.1	43.0	157.7

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

PHX +44.5%

MIN -14.8%

MIN -4.6%

PHX +21.7%

PHX +3.2%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	PHX	MIN	NBA	PHX	MIN	NBA
this game	16.1	15.1	15.6	98.9	83.7	102.5
season	15.0	14.8		105.3	105.3
opponent	15.7	15.9		104.9	100.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
PHX	17.5	14.0	16.6	16.5	16.1
MIN	13.2	15.4	15.4	16.3	15.1

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Phoenix Suns
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jason Kidd	80	78	0.55	-0.05	0.60	-0.03	20	-5	25	16.1	15.8	0.36	15.2	14.1	1.08
Antonio McDyess	82	81	0.49	0.01	0.48	0.05	15	0	15	16.2	15.1	1.12	15.0	15.5	-0.45
George McCloud	42	42	0.44	0.06	0.38	0.00	15	0	15	15.2	16.8	-1.66	15.7	14.5	1.13
Clifford Robinson	60	58	0.41	0.09	0.33	-0.05	16	-1	17	17.7	13.1	4.58	14.5	15.9	-1.41
Steve Nash	48	48	0.37	0.13	0.24	0.31	2	13	-11	14.9	17.4	-2.52	15.9	14.2	1.72
Mark Bryant	46	46	0.16	0.34	-0.19	0.16	0	15	-15	13.7	18.4	-4.62	16.5	13.6	2.85
Rex Chapman	58	58	0.08	0.42	-0.35	-0.16	8	7	1	17.0	14.5	2.50	14.2	16.6	-2.43
Marko Milic	1	1	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.06	-2	17	-19	16.0	16.1	-0.08	12.0	15.1	-3.09
Cedric Ceballos	48	48	-0.00	0.50	-0.50	-0.03	1	14	-13	16.9	15.2	1.61	13.9	16.3	-2.34

Minnesota Timberwolves
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Stanley Roberts	27	26	-0.06	-0.44	0.37	0.02	-3	-12	9	14.3	15.4	-1.02	18.8	15.0	3.79
Terry Porter	42	42	-0.14	-0.36	0.22	-0.14	0	-15	15	15.5	14.7	0.86	13.6	18.1	-4.57
Kevin Garnett	76	78	-0.18	-0.32	0.14	0.03	-7	-8	1	14.4	18.0	-3.57	16.5	13.7	2.79
Micheal Williams	16	15	-0.22	-0.28	0.05	-0.08	-5	-10	5	17.2	14.6	2.58	11.5	16.9	-5.42
Stephon Marbury	76	78	-0.28	-0.22	-0.05	0.02	-10	-5	-5	14.6	17.2	-2.58	16.9	11.5	5.42
Tom Hammonds	59	60	-0.31	-0.19	-0.12	0.01	-11	-4	-7	15.4	14.4	1.08	14.2	19.4	-5.19
Chris Carr	50	51	-0.36	-0.14	-0.22	0.08	-15	0	-15	14.7	15.5	-0.86	18.1	13.6	4.57
Sam Mitchell	37	38	-0.40	-0.10	-0.30	-0.22	-6	-9	3	16.8	13.9	2.94	15.1	16.7	-1.64
Tom Gugliotta	77	77	-0.55	0.05	-0.60	-0.02	-18	3	-21	14.8	16.5	-1.69	16.6	13.5	3.11

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.54,0.56,0.54,0.45,0.38,0.34,0.38,0.36,0.42,0.46,0.42,0.42,0.51,0.51,0.44,0.37,0.44,0.48,0.44,0.51,0.46,0.5,0.55,0.63,0.58,0.64,0.61,0.55,0.48,0.41,0.37,0.48,0.52,0.5,0.62,0.48,0.52,0.42,0.26,0.19,0.1,0.1,0.02,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
DAL 103, OKC 93	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.51,0.54,0.5,0.45,0.36,0.34,0.34,0.35,0.31,0.33,0.37,0.36,0.34,0.38,0.4,0.42,0.46,0.46,0.41,0.37,0.46,0.42,0.5,0.51,0.45,0.58,0.61,0.61,0.42,0.48,0.41,0.48,0.48,0.64,0.58,0.48,0.38,0.52,0.37,0.41,0.24,0.09,0.11,0.04,0.01,0,0	93.0%
ATL 106, WAS 102	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.46,0.46,0.37,0.37,0.41,0.41,0.37,0.31,0.29,0.36,0.43,0.49,0.44,0.42,0.49,0.42,0.41,0.46,0.38,0.42,0.41,0.49,0.49,0.52,0.52,0.55,0.45,0.52,0.48,0.41,0.48,0.37,0.37,0.48,0.46,0.48,0.52,0.57,0.32,0.14,0.15,0.03,0,0.01,0,0,0	92.5%
OKC 111, SAS 105	0.5,0.49,0.45,0.42,0.48,0.44,0.4,0.39,0.34,0.33,0.35,0.35,0.4,0.35,0.4,0.38,0.47,0.44,0.46,0.44,0.44,0.49,0.54,0.41,0.39,0.49,0.54,0.58,0.64,0.61,0.52,0.62,0.48,0.45,0.52,0.56,0.56,0.46,0.48,0.38,0.28,0.32,0.26,0.15,0.13,0.19,0.11,0.09,0,0	92.4%