inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)
Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Los Angeles Lakers 103 Excitement9.0 [76] MVPKobe Bryant (LAL): +26.6%
Denver Nuggets 98 Comeback2.1 [553] LVPNick Van Exel (DEN): -53.4%


Los Angeles Lakers
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Kobe Bryant0.270,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.16,0.270.010.26-0.001560%0.363-0.09580%0.03
Eddie Jones0.240,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.240.080.16-0.001462%0.2400.00667%-0.04
Robert Horry0.210,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.13,0.13,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.210.110.120.02783%0.2100.00475%-0.02
Elden Campbell0.060,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.060.040.020.00287%0.0600.00475%0.01
Corie Blount0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.020.000.001100%0.0200.0000%0.00
Sean Rooks0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.000.000.001100%0.031-0.0300%0.00
Travis Knight-0.050,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.05-0.00-0.0020%-0.031-0.0200%0.00
Derek Fisher-0.060,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.04-0.020.00250%-0.002-0.0600%0.00
Shaquille O'Neal-0.080,0,0,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.03,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.02,0.01,-0.04,-0.02,0.01,0.04,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.080.01-0.070.022059%0.043-0.11956%-0.06
Derek Harper-0.080,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08-0.08-0.02-0.02617%-0.081-0.0000%0.00
Rick Fox-0.130,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.12,-0.12,-0.06,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13-0.09-0.040.00520%-0.042-0.0900%0.00

Denver Nuggets
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Raef LaFrentz0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.1,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.29,0.31,0.31,0.17,0.250.250.140.120.001865%0.2500.001100%0.02
Bryant Stith0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.04,0.02,0.020.010.010.010.01564%0.041-0.034100%0.07
Loren Meyer0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.010.040.000.03383%0.0100.0000%0.00
Eric Williams0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.05-0.05-0.01-0.01737%-0.031-0.022100%0.01
Chauncey Billups0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06-0.06-0.07-0.01-0.011152%0.034-0.103100%0.04
Antonio McDyess0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.09-0.09-0.03-0.050.011758%0.125-0.21250%-0.02
Cory Alexander0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1-0.10-0.06-0.040.00625%-0.071-0.0300%0.00
Danny Fortson0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1-0.10-0.06-0.04-0.00742%-0.061-0.04540%-0.06
Nick Van Exel0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.09,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.12,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.15,-0.18,-0.18,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.27,-0.27,-0.27,-0.5,-0.5,-0.53-0.53-0.27-0.29-0.031922%-0.395-0.142100%0.01
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game25.82.527.415.821.62.742.2137.8
league avg26.93.042.016.026.32.245.7163.5
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)
victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
LAL +105.6%
DEN -9.2%
DEN -63.1%
LAL +15.1%
LAL +1.6%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsLALDENNBALALDENNBA
this game15.116.115.8112.0105.499.6
season14.915.5104.7100.7
opponent15.615.8107.6102.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
LAL14.215.816.214.115.1
DEN15.814.815.818.016.1

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Los Angeles Lakers
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Eddie Jones77780.60-0.100.700.378-31115.314.01.2915.917.1-1.21
Robert Horry51520.56-0.060.610.328-31114.615.7-1.0517.014.92.15
Shaquille O'Neal72710.450.050.410.3923-114.915.5-0.6116.414.91.50
Kobe Bryant73720.420.080.340.3332114.915.8-0.9017.012.74.31
Corie Blount27280.060.44-0.380.0023-115.714.80.9414.916.5-1.61
Elden Campbell20210.040.46-0.420.0114-315.514.90.6115.616.2-0.62
Derek Fisher43430.030.47-0.44-0.0632115.814.41.3416.016.1-0.06
Travis Knight77-0.020.52-0.540.01-16-712.415.3-2.8713.016.3-3.30
Rick Fox3436-0.020.52-0.540.01-16-715.015.1-0.1214.517.0-2.49
Sean Rooks77-0.090.59-0.68-0.03-27-918.614.83.7814.416.2-1.76
Derek Harper2628-0.110.61-0.720.04-510-1514.715.2-0.4814.616.7-2.07

Denver Nuggets
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Cory Alexander4039-0.03-0.470.440.00-1-4315.216.7-1.4115.514.70.80
Loren Meyer89-0.06-0.450.39-0.060-5514.116.2-2.1111.815.4-3.66
Danny Fortson3937-0.09-0.410.320.00-3-2-115.916.2-0.3114.515.4-0.90
Bryant Stith5858-0.23-0.270.04-0.20-1-4315.916.3-0.3315.414.50.91
Eric Williams3534-0.27-0.23-0.04-0.15-4-1-316.315.90.3314.515.4-0.91
Nick Van Exel7674-0.40-0.10-0.29-0.31-3-2-115.717.7-2.0214.816.1-1.29
Raef LaFrentz5354-0.41-0.09-0.32-0.32-3-2-116.515.50.9715.714.21.52
Antonio McDyess8684-0.45-0.05-0.39-0.33-4-1-316.116.00.0615.313.12.14
Chauncey Billups7071-0.570.07-0.65-0.40-61-716.913.43.4815.115.00.04


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.49,0.46,0.49,0.48,0.52,0.47,0.47,0.51,0.51,0.53,0.49,0.46,0.49,0.45,0.47,0.46,0.42,0.39,0.39,0.34,0.42,0.49,0.51,0.5,0.51,0.57,0.58,0.58,0.64,0.67,0.45,0.34,0.44,0.44,0.52,0.58,0.48,0.43,0.29,0.42,0.47,0.41,0.28,0.19,0.29,0.32,0.09,0
GameSimilarity Score
UTA 105, GSW 990.5,0.51,0.46,0.42,0.45,0.44,0.44,0.43,0.43,0.45,0.51,0.47,0.51,0.52,0.45,0.42,0.36,0.31,0.3,0.3,0.36,0.44,0.46,0.46,0.56,0.51,0.65,0.55,0.52,0.52,0.48,0.45,0.35,0.31,0.41,0.48,0.59,0.5,0.62,0.52,0.33,0.42,0.47,0.35,0.33,0.11,0.21,0.23,0,092.3%
DEN 100, DAL 950.5,0.51,0.54,0.48,0.43,0.43,0.46,0.43,0.47,0.49,0.47,0.49,0.46,0.46,0.47,0.51,0.44,0.4,0.42,0.44,0.46,0.44,0.46,0.49,0.49,0.5,0.54,0.58,0.58,0.61,0.55,0.52,0.59,0.48,0.48,0.56,0.48,0.62,0.57,0.53,0.33,0.32,0.41,0.29,0.33,0.32,0.22,0.03,0.02,092.3%
IND 106, POR 970.5,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.52,0.5,0.49,0.47,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.58,0.55,0.5,0.44,0.49,0.51,0.44,0.46,0.51,0.46,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.67,0.65,0.69,0.7,0.61,0.64,0.62,0.62,0.52,0.41,0.37,0.52,0.58,0.48,0.52,0.43,0.47,0.47,0.41,0.1,0.14,0.21,0.43,0.09,092.2%