inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Toronto Raptors 105 Excitement6.6 [525] MVPKyle Lowry (TOR): +28.2%
Detroit Pistons 102 Comeback28.8 [52] LVPKentavious Caldwell-Pope (DET): -16.1%


Toronto Raptors
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Kyle Lowry0.280,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0,0,0,0.03,0.02,0.04,0.03,0,0.03,0.03,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.11,0.11,0.13,0.17,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.280.170.150.041669%0.332-0.047100%0.05
Jonas Valanciunas0.240,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.27,0.240.120.140.021179%0.261-0.02250%-0.02
Serge Ibaka0.140,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,0.14,0.14-0.050.19-0.01935%0.171-0.032100%0.01
PJ Tucker0.040,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.08-0.030.024112%0.071-0.0300%0.00
Patrick Patterson0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.07-0.020.02683%0.061-0.0300%0.00
Delon Wright0.0000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Jakob Poeltl-0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.010.01-0.010.01450%-0.0100.0000%0.00
DeMar DeRozan-0.010,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.05,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.16,-0.16,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.26,-0.09,-0.09,-0.01-0.130.09-0.021732%0.073-0.08367%-0.01
DeMarre Carroll-0.060,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.06-0.01-0.01617%-0.0600.0000%0.00
Cory Joseph-0.060,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0,0,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.060.01-0.020.051452%-0.022-0.041100%0.00

Detroit Pistons
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Marcus Morris0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.25,0.250.250.100.14-0.011168%0.2500.0000%0.00
Andre Drummond0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,0.04,0.04,0.040.04-0.030.06-0.01746%0.051-0.011030%-0.08
Aron Baynes0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.040.05-0.000.015100%0.113-0.072100%0.01
Tobias Harris0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.030.030.04-0.01-0.001650%0.0300.0000%0.00
Darrun Hilliard0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.030.040.000.012100%0.041-0.022100%0.01
Jon Leuer0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.010.01-0.00-0.00560%0.021-0.0100%0.00
Beno Udrih0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.01-0.000.00-0.01750%0.031-0.022100%0.01
Reggie Bullock0,0,0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.010.03-0.010.01570%0.041-0.0400%0.00
Stanley Johnson0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.03-0.090.00-0.05530%0.003-0.0300%0.00
Ish Smith0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.12-0.120.04-0.150.011262%-0.072-0.062100%0.01
Kentavious Caldwell-Pope0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.17,-0.17,-0.16-0.16-0.09-0.080.00520%-0.102-0.0600%0.00
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game22.42.530.416.728.12.432.1134.6
league avg24.82.329.615.726.82.333.5136.4
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
TOR +24.9%
TOR +21.0%
DET -3.1%
TOR +2.8%
TOR +4.4%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsTORDETNBATORDETNBA
this game15.515.014.8111.7107.4107.7
season15.215.0110.0105.0
opponent15.114.9106.4106.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
TOR19.013.815.414.415.5
DET15.314.414.615.615.0

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Toronto Raptors
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Serge Ibaka64650.74-0.240.980.489-61514.817.0-2.1515.014.90.12
PJ Tucker54520.62-0.120.730.504-1516.114.71.3115.314.60.64
Jonas Valanciunas49510.60-0.100.700.5421116.414.51.9415.914.01.91
Kyle Lowry84850.59-0.090.680.445-2714.821.6-6.8315.114.30.76
DeMar DeRozan66670.54-0.040.580.60-25-715.715.10.5614.915.3-0.43
Delon Wright1718-0.020.52-0.54-0.175-2715.815.40.3213.915.2-1.28
Jakob Poeltl2828-0.090.59-0.67-0.0903-314.016.1-2.0913.615.5-1.89
DeMarre Carroll2426-0.110.61-0.720.07-69-1516.315.21.1215.314.90.45
Patrick Patterson3030-0.180.68-0.85-0.09-36-916.515.01.4214.715.1-0.41
Cory Joseph5453-0.190.69-0.88-0.2212-115.615.30.2614.915.1-0.21

Detroit Pistons
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Stanley Johnson61590.39-0.891.280.216-91513.916.9-2.9215.215.9-0.71
Reggie Bullock43430.23-0.730.95-0.018-111915.214.80.3416.514.71.82
Beno Udrih35340.10-0.600.710.22-41-515.214.90.3016.614.81.80
Jon Leuer31290.10-0.600.69-0.024-71114.415.3-0.8815.415.5-0.12
Darrun Hilliard18180.04-0.540.570.12-30-314.315.1-0.8014.115.8-1.72
Aron Baynes36370.02-0.520.550.20-63-914.415.3-0.8616.814.62.16
Andre Drummond5957-0.520.02-0.55-0.613-6915.314.40.8614.616.8-2.16
Tobias Harris6465-0.600.10-0.69-0.39-74-1115.314.40.8815.515.40.12
Ish Smith6060-0.600.10-0.71-0.631-4514.915.2-0.3014.816.6-1.80
Kentavious Caldwell-Pope3433-0.760.26-1.03-0.53-85-1315.114.90.1715.015.8-0.82
Marcus Morris3435-0.890.39-1.28-0.63-96-1516.913.92.9215.915.20.71


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.52,0.57,0.6,0.61,0.6,0.66,0.67,0.69,0.78,0.79,0.82,0.82,0.83,0.83,0.9,0.89,0.89,0.89,0.88,0.91,0.81,0.81,0.82,0.78,0.69,0.63,0.7,0.67,0.67,0.74,0.74,0.84,0.87,0.9,0.94,0.92,0.87,0.91,0.86,0.92,0.94,0.94,0.91,0.86,0.69,0.57,0.27,0
GameSimilarity Score
MIA 98, TOR 940.5,0.51,0.49,0.52,0.52,0.59,0.62,0.63,0.67,0.68,0.73,0.71,0.76,0.74,0.74,0.74,0.75,0.73,0.78,0.8,0.79,0.78,0.82,0.79,0.73,0.9,0.86,0.82,0.89,0.87,0.86,0.83,0.8,0.78,0.91,0.91,0.9,0.85,0.9,0.91,0.83,0.81,0.82,0.8,0.83,0.75,0.54,0.65,0.27,090.4%
BOS 77, HOU 720.5,0.49,0.51,0.57,0.58,0.62,0.56,0.61,0.59,0.55,0.57,0.62,0.66,0.66,0.72,0.74,0.77,0.77,0.74,0.8,0.79,0.76,0.7,0.64,0.67,0.67,0.63,0.66,0.73,0.72,0.7,0.79,0.71,0.82,0.77,0.7,0.78,0.85,0.89,0.92,0.9,0.96,0.9,0.86,0.87,0.92,0.79,0.56,0.16,090.2%
MIN 100, CLE 940.5,0.51,0.55,0.57,0.63,0.65,0.68,0.66,0.71,0.69,0.76,0.81,0.8,0.77,0.72,0.74,0.74,0.79,0.76,0.78,0.82,0.78,0.82,0.83,0.87,0.8,0.79,0.77,0.73,0.78,0.73,0.74,0.78,0.69,0.69,0.67,0.72,0.7,0.78,0.82,0.71,0.81,0.83,0.88,0.78,0.68,0.72,0.68,0.28,089.9%