NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Minnesota Timberwolves	100		Excitement	7.5 [327]		MVP	Wesley Person (CLE): +5.0%
Cleveland Cavaliers	94		Comeback	12.1 [50]		LVP	Shawn Kemp (CLE): -44.8%

Minnesota Timberwolves
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
William Avery	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.02	0.02	0.00	1	100%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Rasho Nesterovic	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.01	0.01	6	57%	0.02	0	0.00	2	100%	0.02
Sam Mitchell	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	-0.00	0.02	0.00	3	58%	0.02	0	0.00	6	83%	0.03
Malik Sealy	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.02	0.02	-0.01	8	50%	0.03	1	-0.01	4	100%	0.02
Joe Smith	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.00	0.01	-0.00	6	61%	0.03	1	-0.02	6	83%	-0.00
Tom Hammonds	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Anthony Peeler	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.00	-0.00	0.00	1	100%	0.02	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Bobby Jackson	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.01	-0.03	0.01	9	52%	-0.00	1	-0.04	5	80%	-0.00
Wally Szczerbiak	-0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.02,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.13,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.01	-0.01	6	35%	-0.08	1	-0.02	8	62%	-0.02
Kevin Garnett	-0.20	0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.01,0,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.11,-0.17,-0.17,-0.21,-0.2,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.21,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.24,-0.34,-0.34,-0.34,-0.2	-0.13	-0.05	0.02	21	50%	0.07	7	-0.27	6	67%	-0.01
Terrell Brandon	-0.31	0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.22,-0.45,-0.33,-0.31	-0.17	-0.17	-0.02	16	44%	0.06	6	-0.37	7	100%	0.02

Cleveland Cavaliers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Wesley Person	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	-0.02	0.04	-0.03	5	70%	0.10	3	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Cedric Henderson	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Andre Miller	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	5	43%	-0.01	0	0.00	4	100%	0.01
Mark Bryant	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	-0.01	3	33%	0.01	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Bob Sura	0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.03	-0.03	0.04	-0.04	0.04	15	61%	0.01	2	-0.04	3	67%	-0.01
Andrew DeClercq	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.04	-0.04	-0.00	9	50%	-0.06	1	-0.02	8	62%	-0.05
Lamond Murray	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.08	-0.04	-0.00	14	50%	0.04	5	-0.15	0	0%	0.00
Brevin Knight	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.07,-0.1,-0.18,-0.18,-0.19	-0.19	-0.04	-0.12	0.03	10	62%	-0.08	4	-0.11	6	67%	-0.02
Shawn Kemp	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.12,-0.21,-0.45,-0.45	-0.45	-0.14	-0.32	-0.02	15	40%	-0.17	3	-0.27	10	80%	-0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.0	1.7	28.4	16.3	26.5	2.4	44.2	143.5
league avg	26.0	2.2	28.8	16.5	26.3	2.2	33.7	137.0

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

MIN +22.7%

MIN +18.5%

MIN +20.5%

CLE -8.0%

CLE -3.7%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	MIN	CLE	NBA	MIN	CLE	NBA
this game	15.1	13.4	15.2	99.0	93.1	101.7
season	15.1	14.1		103.5	98.0
opponent	15.3	15.7		101.5	101.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
MIN	18.2	14.7	14.1	14.0	15.1
CLE	14.5	12.5	13.6	13.1	13.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Minnesota Timberwolves
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Joe Smith	67	63	0.81	-0.31	1.13	0.23	20	-14	34	15.0	15.3	-0.29	12.8	14.4	-1.57
Terrell Brandon	92	90	0.71	-0.21	0.92	0.30	14	-8	22	14.6	20.6	-5.96	13.2	15.3	-2.12
Sam Mitchell	34	37	0.61	-0.11	0.71	0.28	11	-5	16	14.0	15.7	-1.70	13.4	13.4	0.03
Kevin Garnett	98	99	0.57	-0.07	0.63	0.27	10	-4	14	15.1	16.0	-0.90	13.5	10.0	3.45
Malik Sealy	44	45	0.56	-0.06	0.62	0.47	3	3	0	15.8	14.6	1.26	13.6	13.2	0.39
Bobby Jackson	49	48	0.01	0.49	-0.49	-0.14	5	1	4	14.8	15.4	-0.57	14.1	12.7	1.45
Tom Hammonds	4	5	-0.00	0.50	-0.51	-0.00	0	6	-6	13.7	15.2	-1.44	14.2	13.3	0.86
William Avery	8	10	-0.10	0.60	-0.70	-0.04	-2	8	-10	14.1	15.2	-1.09	13.9	13.3	0.57
Wally Szczerbiak	56	54	-0.13	0.63	-0.76	0.04	-6	12	-18	16.1	14.0	2.08	13.2	13.6	-0.43
Anthony Peeler	22	22	-0.15	0.65	-0.80	0.06	-7	13	-20	15.0	15.2	-0.11	11.4	13.9	-2.53
Rasho Nesterovic	31	32	-0.38	0.88	-1.26	0.15	-18	24	-42	16.5	14.5	2.00	14.9	12.7	2.27

Cleveland Cavaliers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Mark Bryant	37	37	0.33	-0.83	1.17	0.13	7	-13	20	14.4	12.8	1.57	16.6	14.3	2.31
Lamond Murray	67	68	0.20	-0.70	0.91	-0.00	7	-13	20	14.3	11.6	2.67	15.8	13.7	2.13
Cedric Henderson	2	1	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.00	0	-6	6	4.0	13.6	-9.58	1.0	15.3	-14.27
Andre Miller	26	27	-0.05	-0.45	0.40	0.16	-7	1	-8	14.4	13.0	1.40	15.0	15.2	-0.18
Brevin Knight	76	75	-0.45	-0.05	-0.41	-0.48	1	-7	8	13.0	14.6	-1.67	15.0	15.5	-0.55
Shawn Kemp	81	80	-0.53	0.03	-0.57	-0.45	-3	-3	0	12.6	16.4	-3.76	14.7	16.6	-1.88
Bob Sura	78	77	-0.54	0.04	-0.58	-0.45	-3	-3	0	13.2	14.1	-0.96	15.5	14.1	1.37
Wesley Person	57	58	-0.68	0.18	-0.85	-0.18	-17	11	-28	12.6	14.4	-1.73	13.7	17.0	-3.34
Andrew DeClercq	81	82	-0.78	0.28	-1.07	-0.34	-15	9	-24	14.0	11.0	2.91	15.3	14.3	1.00

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.55,0.57,0.63,0.65,0.68,0.66,0.71,0.69,0.76,0.81,0.8,0.77,0.72,0.74,0.74,0.79,0.76,0.78,0.82,0.78,0.82,0.83,0.87,0.8,0.79,0.77,0.73,0.78,0.73,0.74,0.78,0.69,0.69,0.67,0.72,0.7,0.78,0.82,0.71,0.81,0.83,0.88,0.78,0.68,0.72,0.68,0.28,0
Game		Similarity Score
IND 95, NOP 90	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.52,0.54,0.54,0.54,0.57,0.66,0.63,0.65,0.71,0.71,0.7,0.66,0.64,0.64,0.67,0.69,0.8,0.81,0.82,0.8,0.77,0.84,0.86,0.86,0.8,0.72,0.67,0.73,0.77,0.8,0.69,0.72,0.67,0.79,0.78,0.74,0.79,0.8,0.81,0.79,0.65,0.53,0.55,0.63,0.77,0.42,0	91.5%
PHX 91, LAC 87	0.5,0.49,0.45,0.48,0.5,0.54,0.61,0.61,0.66,0.69,0.73,0.71,0.71,0.74,0.72,0.74,0.77,0.75,0.72,0.68,0.71,0.78,0.84,0.87,0.82,0.73,0.69,0.74,0.78,0.73,0.73,0.74,0.8,0.78,0.73,0.8,0.75,0.9,0.93,0.93,0.87,0.88,0.7,0.76,0.67,0.62,0.63,0.43,0.16,0	91.1%
MIA 98, TOR 94	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.52,0.52,0.59,0.62,0.63,0.67,0.68,0.73,0.71,0.76,0.74,0.74,0.74,0.75,0.73,0.78,0.8,0.79,0.78,0.82,0.79,0.73,0.9,0.86,0.82,0.89,0.87,0.86,0.83,0.8,0.78,0.91,0.91,0.9,0.85,0.9,0.91,0.83,0.81,0.82,0.8,0.83,0.75,0.54,0.65,0.27,0	91.1%