NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Indiana Pacers	95		Excitement	7.6 [312]		MVP	George Hill (IND): +16.1%
New Orleans Pelicans	90		Comeback	8.1 [164]		LVP	Tyreke Evans (NOP): -14.4%

Indiana Pacers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
George Hill	0.16	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,0,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.16	0.05	0.12	0.00	13	63%	0.24	3	-0.08	4	75%	-0.01
Lance Stephenson	0.13	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.06	0.07	-0.00	12	67%	0.18	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Roy Hibbert	0.06	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.03,-0.09,0.06,0.06	-0.03	0.08	-0.01	5	46%	0.12	2	-0.06	3	67%	0.01
Paul George	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.11,0.11,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.12,0.17,0.11,0.11,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.15	-0.07	0.05	19	63%	0.08	2	-0.04	13	77%	-0.02
David West	0.03	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.03,-0.04,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.12,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.02,0.03	-0.07	0.11	0.01	11	43%	0.09	3	-0.06	6	100%	0.11
Orlando Johnson	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.01	0.02	-0.00	2	33%	0.01	0	0.00	2	100%	0.02
CJ Watson	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.00	0.00	-0.00	1	50%	0.01	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Luis Scola	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.02	-0.02	0.00	4	75%	0.07	3	-0.11	0	0%	0.00
Ian Mahinmi	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.07	-0.00	-0.01	3	0%	-0.04	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00

New Orleans Pelicans
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jrue Holiday	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.16,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.13,0.1	0.10	0.06	0.02	-0.02	18	57%	0.14	2	-0.04	6	100%	0.03
Jason Smith	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.05	0.01	-0.00	6	67%	0.07	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Eric Gordon	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.01,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06	0.06	0.07	0.05	0.06	19	53%	0.08	1	-0.02	9	67%	-0.01
Anthony Morrow	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01	0.01	-0.01	0.02	-0.00	3	33%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Brian Roberts	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.00	0.00	-0.00	2	50%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Greg Stiemsma	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.04	-0.01	-0.02	2	50%	-0.00	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Arinze Onuaku	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.09,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.03	-0.02	0.00	3	33%	-0.02	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Lance Thomas	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.05	-0.03	-0.00	2	0%	-0.05	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Anthony Davis	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.05,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.03,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.08	-0.08	-0.07	-0.03	-0.02	20	45%	0.00	4	-0.09	4	100%	0.03
Al-Farouq Aminu	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.12	-0.05	-0.07	-0.00	2	17%	-0.03	1	-0.09	2	50%	-0.01
Tyreke Evans	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.11,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.14	-0.12	-0.04	-0.01	8	25%	-0.05	3	-0.09	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.3	1.7	34.2	16.7	26.9	2.0	41.2	146.8
league avg	24.7	2.3	29.6	16.0	26.9	2.3	33.4	136.7

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

IND +40.0%

IND +21.4%

NOP -3.5%

NOP -7.0%

NOP -0.9%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	IND	NOP	NBA	IND	NOP	NBA
this game	16.2	14.9	15.1	103.3	96.8	105.2
season	15.8	15.5		102.7	105.6
opponent	15.3	15.2		108.5	99.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
IND	17.2	16.3	15.3	16.0	16.2
NOP	13.3	18.0	14.8	14.0	14.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Indiana Pacers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Roy Hibbert	39	39	0.73	-0.23	0.96	0.52	7	-2	9	17.2	15.5	1.71	14.9	15.0	-0.13
Paul George	77	79	0.63	-0.13	0.77	0.37	9	-4	13	15.9	17.7	-1.76	14.4	18.3	-3.93
Lance Stephenson	81	80	0.55	-0.05	0.61	0.41	5	0	5	15.9	18.3	-2.36	15.0	14.4	0.65
George Hill	72	72	0.48	0.02	0.45	0.45	1	4	-3	16.3	15.8	0.51	13.8	18.8	-4.99
David West	67	67	0.38	0.12	0.27	0.29	3	2	1	16.0	16.7	-0.72	13.9	17.7	-3.87
Luis Scola	30	30	0.03	0.47	-0.44	-0.06	3	2	1	17.4	15.6	1.84	16.4	14.3	2.15
Orlando Johnson	21	21	-0.04	0.54	-0.57	-0.07	1	4	-3	17.9	15.7	2.21	17.9	14.1	3.82
CJ Watson	25	26	-0.13	0.63	-0.76	-0.04	-3	8	-11	16.2	16.2	0.06	17.6	13.9	3.70
Ian Mahinmi	46	48	-0.21	0.71	-0.92	-0.09	-4	9	-13	15.5	16.9	-1.35	16.0	13.8	2.13

New Orleans Pelicans
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jason Smith	36	40	0.29	-0.79	1.08	0.06	8	-13	21	14.2	15.4	-1.18	17.7	15.1	2.62
Brian Roberts	26	26	0.15	-0.65	0.79	0.03	4	-9	13	17.0	14.1	2.85	16.7	16.0	0.69
Arinze Onuaku	31	30	0.05	-0.55	0.59	0.05	0	-5	5	15.1	14.9	0.18	15.8	16.4	-0.64
Greg Stiemsma	25	25	0.01	-0.51	0.51	0.15	-5	0	-5	17.6	14.0	3.63	16.9	15.9	0.99
Al-Farouq Aminu	48	47	-0.03	-0.47	0.43	0.08	-4	-1	-3	13.0	17.0	-4.07	16.7	15.6	1.12
Tyreke Evans	43	40	-0.25	-0.25	-0.01	0.01	-9	4	-13	17.1	13.1	3.95	16.0	16.4	-0.39
Anthony Morrow	27	27	-0.29	-0.21	-0.08	-0.26	-1	-4	3	16.1	14.5	1.69	15.3	16.6	-1.22
Anthony Davis	80	76	-0.46	-0.04	-0.42	-0.40	-2	-3	1	13.9	21.5	-7.57	16.0	17.3	-1.35
Eric Gordon	66	67	-0.51	0.01	-0.52	-0.45	-2	-3	1	14.1	17.1	-3.00	15.9	17.1	-1.27
Jrue Holiday	72	71	-0.63	0.13	-0.77	-0.46	-6	1	-7	14.2	17.5	-3.33	16.0	16.9	-0.92
Lance Thomas	11	11	-0.80	0.30	-1.11	-0.57	-8	3	-11	21.3	14.1	7.18	14.8	16.4	-1.56

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.49,0.52,0.54,0.54,0.54,0.57,0.66,0.63,0.65,0.71,0.71,0.7,0.66,0.64,0.64,0.67,0.69,0.8,0.81,0.82,0.8,0.77,0.84,0.86,0.86,0.8,0.72,0.67,0.73,0.77,0.8,0.69,0.72,0.67,0.79,0.78,0.74,0.79,0.8,0.81,0.79,0.65,0.53,0.55,0.63,0.77,0.42,0
Game		Similarity Score
PHI 98, BOS 97	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.49,0.52,0.47,0.53,0.53,0.59,0.6,0.67,0.69,0.62,0.65,0.6,0.64,0.68,0.75,0.71,0.74,0.79,0.83,0.82,0.82,0.78,0.8,0.81,0.88,0.78,0.73,0.73,0.77,0.71,0.66,0.73,0.56,0.72,0.66,0.66,0.79,0.67,0.68,0.59,0.41,0.47,0.69,0.55,0.67,0.28,0	92.2%
MIN 100, CLE 94	0.5,0.51,0.55,0.57,0.63,0.65,0.68,0.66,0.71,0.69,0.76,0.81,0.8,0.77,0.72,0.74,0.74,0.79,0.76,0.78,0.82,0.78,0.82,0.83,0.87,0.8,0.79,0.77,0.73,0.78,0.73,0.74,0.78,0.69,0.69,0.67,0.72,0.7,0.78,0.82,0.71,0.81,0.83,0.88,0.78,0.68,0.72,0.68,0.28,0	91.5%
NYK 103, CHI 101	0.5,0.49,0.55,0.49,0.52,0.64,0.63,0.65,0.63,0.7,0.62,0.55,0.56,0.54,0.68,0.64,0.58,0.62,0.64,0.68,0.77,0.8,0.79,0.8,0.79,0.78,0.81,0.82,0.82,0.83,0.76,0.74,0.65,0.69,0.62,0.71,0.72,0.78,0.81,0.85,0.9,0.77,0.59,0.59,0.39,0.45,0.71,0.55,0.31,0	91.2%