NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Philadelphia 76ers	98		Excitement	10.7 [34]		MVP	Elton Brand (PHI): +50.1%
Boston Celtics	97		Comeback	7.4 [29]		LVP	Paul Pierce (BOS): -37.2%

Philadelphia 76ers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Elton Brand	0.50	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.1,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.5	0.12	0.40	0.02	12	68%	0.56	2	-0.06	10	90%	0.05
Andre Iguodala	0.28	0,0,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.1,0.17,0.05,0.28,0.28	0.01	0.25	-0.02	15	51%	0.42	2	-0.15	5	80%	0.07
Royal Ivey	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	1	100%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jason Kapono	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Samuel Dalembert	-0.05	0,0,0,0.02,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.04	-0.01	0.00	7	29%	-0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Willie Green	-0.11	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.11	0.01	-0.11	0.01	13	55%	-0.05	3	-0.07	3	100%	0.01
Jrue Holiday	-0.15	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.15	-0.07	-0.08	-0.01	10	41%	0.09	3	-0.24	2	100%	0.02
Marreese Speights	-0.16	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.08,0.02,0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.16	-0.04	-0.14	-0.02	16	42%	-0.15	1	-0.01	8	62%	0.04
Thaddeus Young	-0.19	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.11,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.16,-0.16,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19	-0.11	-0.07	0.02	13	32%	-0.12	2	-0.07	2	50%	-0.01

Boston Celtics
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Ray Allen	0,0,0.03,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.1,0.1,0.2,0.09,0.23	0.23	0.00	0.22	-0.01	17	50%	0.27	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Rajon Rondo	0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.14,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	-0.01	0.08	-0.02	8	59%	0.17	4	-0.08	6	50%	-0.07
Shelden Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.02	0.04	-0.02	3	100%	0.10	2	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Tony Allen	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.04	0.01	-0.00	7	62%	0.06	0	0.00	2	100%	0.02
Eddie House	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.01	-0.01	0.00	3	50%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Rasheed Wallace	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.03	0.01	-0.00	4	50%	0.02	2	-0.04	2	50%	-0.01
Kevin Garnett	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,-0.02,-0.13,-0.04	-0.04	0.06	-0.08	0.01	14	54%	-0.02	1	-0.02	11	100%	0.16
Brian Scalabrine	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.03	-0.01	0.00	2	17%	-0.04	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.02
Kendrick Perkins	0,0,-0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.13	-0.04	-0.07	0.01	10	50%	-0.04	3	-0.09	4	50%	-0.02
Paul Pierce	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.07,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.37	-0.37	-0.09	-0.29	-0.00	12	37%	-0.30	3	-0.07	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	22.6	2.0	34.3	16.4	24.8	2.0	37.1	139.1
league avg	26.2	2.4	30.3	16.5	27.2	2.4	33.7	141.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

PHI +34.6%

PHI +18.2%

PHI +21.4%

BOS -26.2%

PHI +2.1%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	PHI	BOS	NBA	PHI	BOS	NBA
this game	15.6	15.6	15.3	105.4	105.4	106.0
season	15.1	15.5		104.2	105.7
opponent	15.7	15.8		102.1	108.4

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
PHI	13.2	15.5	16.8	17.2	15.6
BOS	15.6	13.8	16.7	16.3	15.6

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Philadelphia 76ers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Marreese Speights	43	42	0.66	-0.16	0.82	0.39	9	-8	17	15.6	15.6	0.00	16.0	15.1	0.91
Andre Iguodala	81	81	0.61	-0.11	0.72	0.46	5	-4	9	15.6	15.2	0.48	15.7	14.2	1.56
Elton Brand	52	50	0.61	-0.11	0.71	0.28	11	-10	21	15.7	15.4	0.34	15.2	15.9	-0.69
Jrue Holiday	67	68	0.58	-0.08	0.66	0.55	1	0	1	15.9	14.8	1.13	16.3	13.5	2.72
Willie Green	88	87	0.53	-0.03	0.56	0.47	2	-1	3	15.6	16.0	-0.44	15.5	17.0	-1.53
Thaddeus Young	63	61	0.09	0.41	-0.32	0.12	-1	2	-3	15.5	15.7	-0.18	15.8	15.1	0.69
Royal Ivey	18	16	-0.07	0.57	-0.65	-0.04	-1	2	-3	14.3	15.9	-1.55	14.6	15.7	-1.13
Jason Kapono	14	14	-0.14	0.64	-0.77	0.04	-6	7	-13	16.8	15.4	1.42	12.9	16.0	-3.18
Samuel Dalembert	39	41	-0.36	0.86	-1.23	0.08	-15	16	-31	15.0	16.0	-1.00	15.0	16.0	-1.00

Boston Celtics
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Rasheed Wallace	18	19	0.09	-0.59	0.69	0.07	1	-2	3	14.3	15.9	-1.52	14.8	15.8	-0.99
Eddie House	29	29	-0.02	-0.48	0.46	-0.05	1	-2	3	15.2	15.7	-0.46	14.9	15.9	-0.99
Brian Scalabrine	15	16	-0.02	-0.48	0.46	0.04	-2	1	-3	16.4	15.4	1.01	16.9	15.3	1.56
Shelden Williams	24	24	-0.02	-0.48	0.46	0.04	-2	1	-3	15.7	15.5	0.26	15.0	15.8	-0.73
Tony Allen	38	40	-0.12	-0.38	0.26	-0.03	-3	2	-5	14.6	16.3	-1.71	16.2	15.1	1.17
Ray Allen	72	73	-0.24	-0.26	0.02	-0.44	7	-8	15	15.3	16.5	-1.27	15.5	15.7	-0.22
Kendrick Perkins	61	61	-0.41	-0.09	-0.31	-0.38	-1	0	-1	15.7	15.2	0.50	15.7	15.3	0.36
Kevin Garnett	65	65	-0.55	0.05	-0.61	-0.55	0	-1	1	15.6	15.4	0.21	15.8	15.0	0.78
Rajon Rondo	72	73	-0.60	0.10	-0.70	-0.54	-2	1	-3	15.7	14.9	0.77	15.9	14.3	1.57
Paul Pierce	66	65	-0.62	0.12	-0.74	-0.50	-4	3	-7	16.2	13.8	2.43	14.9	17.1	-2.24

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.52,0.49,0.52,0.47,0.53,0.53,0.59,0.6,0.67,0.69,0.62,0.65,0.6,0.64,0.68,0.75,0.71,0.74,0.79,0.83,0.82,0.82,0.78,0.8,0.81,0.88,0.78,0.73,0.73,0.77,0.71,0.66,0.73,0.56,0.72,0.66,0.66,0.79,0.67,0.68,0.59,0.41,0.47,0.69,0.55,0.67,0.28,0
Game		Similarity Score
IND 95, NOP 90	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.52,0.54,0.54,0.54,0.57,0.66,0.63,0.65,0.71,0.71,0.7,0.66,0.64,0.64,0.67,0.69,0.8,0.81,0.82,0.8,0.77,0.84,0.86,0.86,0.8,0.72,0.67,0.73,0.77,0.8,0.69,0.72,0.67,0.79,0.78,0.74,0.79,0.8,0.81,0.79,0.65,0.53,0.55,0.63,0.77,0.42,0	92.2%
SAC 92, PHI 88	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.49,0.45,0.41,0.44,0.41,0.53,0.53,0.55,0.6,0.64,0.65,0.69,0.7,0.74,0.71,0.76,0.68,0.77,0.79,0.84,0.79,0.74,0.7,0.76,0.8,0.78,0.73,0.79,0.82,0.71,0.69,0.76,0.81,0.72,0.7,0.74,0.79,0.71,0.68,0.64,0.53,0.54,0.47,0.54,0.45,0.09,0	91.7%
IND 86, MEM 85	0.5,0.51,0.57,0.54,0.55,0.54,0.58,0.61,0.59,0.67,0.67,0.68,0.64,0.65,0.64,0.64,0.64,0.67,0.67,0.63,0.61,0.69,0.69,0.61,0.7,0.75,0.76,0.72,0.8,0.78,0.71,0.65,0.68,0.69,0.66,0.63,0.68,0.74,0.74,0.79,0.71,0.72,0.64,0.41,0.55,0.68,0.46,0.32,0.42,0	91.0%