NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

San Antonio Spurs	100		Excitement	7.7 [322]		MVP	LaMarcus Aldridge (SAS): +23.5%
Oklahoma City Thunder	95		Comeback	35.4 [64]		LVP	Tony Parker (SAS): -14.8%

San Antonio Spurs
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
LaMarcus Aldridge	0.23	0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.04,-0.15,-0.15,0.23	-0.07	0.29	-0.02	14	41%	0.39	2	-0.15	6	67%	0.07
Pau Gasol	0.20	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.12,0.2,0.2	0.08	0.14	0.02	10	65%	0.22	1	-0.02	6	83%	0.05
Patty Mills	0.18	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18	0.05	0.13	0.00	6	71%	0.20	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Kawhi Leonard	0.08	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.06,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08	0.11	-0.03	0.00	22	54%	0.08	0	0.00	8	75%	0.00
Kyle Anderson	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.04	0.01	0.00	2	100%	0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jonathon Simmons	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
David Lee	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.03	0.02	-0.01	7	57%	0.07	3	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Dewayne Dedmon	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	0	50%	-0.00	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Manu Ginobili	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	0.02	-0.02	0.02	7	53%	0.05	1	-0.07	1	0%	-0.04
Danny Green	-0.06	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.08	-0.01	-0.03	6	17%	-0.05	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Tony Parker	-0.15	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.11,-0.11,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15	-0.11	-0.05	-0.01	11	33%	-0.06	3	-0.08	2	0%	-0.02

Oklahoma City Thunder
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Steven Adams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.19	0.19	0.03	0.17	0.01	8	65%	0.23	2	-0.04	4	75%	-0.00
Domantas Sabonis	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.00	0.05	-0.03	5	64%	0.11	2	-0.02	4	75%	-0.01
Jerami Grant	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.02	0.04	-0.01	2	75%	0.07	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Doug McDermott	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	1	100%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Alex Abrines	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	5	50%	0.00	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Enes Kanter	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.11,-0.11,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.06	0.01	-0.03	14	37%	-0.01	1	-0.01	2	50%	-0.01
Andre Roberson	0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.02	0.00	0.01	5	33%	-0.03	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Russell Westbrook	0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,0,0.04,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.08,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0,-0.04,0.02,-0.05,0.04,0.15,-0.05	-0.05	-0.05	-0.06	-0.06	22	54%	0.09	8	-0.13	15	93%	0.09
Semaj Christon	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.05	-0.02	-0.00	2	0%	-0.05	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Victor Oladipo	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.05,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,-0.13,-0.13	-0.13	-0.04	-0.12	-0.03	17	47%	0.07	3	-0.21	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.3	2.8	29.2	16.3	33.8	2.6	33.0	142.0
league avg	24.8	2.3	29.6	15.7	26.8	2.3	33.5	136.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

SAS +35.4%

SAS +7.3%

SAS +13.9%

OKC -5.6%

OKC -1.0%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	SAS	OKC	NBA	SAS	OKC	NBA
this game	16.4	13.5	14.8	104.2	97.9	107.7
season	15.4	14.0		110.1	107.0
opponent	15.1	14.8		106.7	103.7

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
SAS	17.7	16.2	14.8	16.8	16.4
OKC	13.6	13.2	13.4	13.7	13.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

San Antonio Spurs
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Manu Ginobili	57	59	0.98	-0.48	1.46	0.22	26	-21	47	14.6	18.9	-4.27	13.1	14.1	-1.05
Patty Mills	52	53	0.82	-0.32	1.15	0.21	21	-16	37	14.4	18.7	-4.24	13.8	13.2	0.61
Kawhi Leonard	77	78	0.76	-0.26	1.02	0.38	13	-8	21	15.7	19.2	-3.55	13.5	13.5	-0.04
Pau Gasol	55	58	0.72	-0.22	0.93	0.31	14	-9	23	15.8	17.1	-1.28	13.8	13.0	0.78
LaMarcus Aldridge	73	73	0.49	0.01	0.49	0.44	2	3	-1	16.7	15.4	1.22	13.2	14.5	-1.34
David Lee	44	43	0.06	0.44	-0.38	-0.17	8	-3	11	15.9	16.7	-0.84	13.3	13.6	-0.26
Jonathon Simmons	5	5	-0.06	0.56	-0.61	0.00	-2	7	-9	25.4	15.9	9.53	17.0	13.3	3.70
Kyle Anderson	19	19	-0.26	0.76	-1.02	-0.03	-8	13	-21	19.2	15.7	3.55	13.5	13.5	0.04
Dewayne Dedmon	20	20	-0.27	0.77	-1.04	0.14	-14	19	-33	17.8	16.0	1.81	14.1	13.3	0.76
Tony Parker	44	44	-0.32	0.82	-1.15	0.15	-16	21	-37	18.7	14.4	4.24	13.2	13.8	-0.61
Danny Green	34	33	-0.42	0.92	-1.35	0.13	-19	24	-43	17.9	15.5	2.44	13.7	13.4	0.31

Oklahoma City Thunder
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Domantas Sabonis	65	63	0.22	-0.72	0.94	-0.10	11	-16	27	13.5	13.6	-0.10	17.5	14.1	3.42
Semaj Christon	26	26	-0.07	-0.43	0.35	-0.13	2	-7	9	13.9	13.4	0.53	18.3	15.6	2.72
Andre Roberson	60	60	-0.11	-0.39	0.28	-0.32	7	-12	19	14.1	12.5	1.63	17.1	15.2	1.92
Victor Oladipo	67	67	-0.13	-0.37	0.23	-0.51	13	-18	31	13.0	14.5	-1.46	16.7	15.7	1.02
Doug McDermott	16	16	-0.14	-0.36	0.22	-0.23	3	-8	11	13.6	13.5	0.16	18.0	16.0	1.96
Alex Abrines	29	29	-0.21	-0.29	0.09	0.26	-16	11	-27	13.8	13.4	0.38	14.8	17.0	-2.25
Jerami Grant	17	16	-0.25	-0.25	0.01	0.16	-14	9	-23	11.8	13.8	-2.03	13.1	17.0	-3.96
Steven Adams	69	69	-0.44	-0.06	-0.38	-0.38	-2	-3	1	13.6	13.3	0.24	16.0	17.2	-1.19
Russell Westbrook	76	74	-0.59	0.09	-0.68	-0.30	-10	5	-15	13.5	13.4	0.08	15.8	18.3	-2.53
Enes Kanter	60	60	-0.78	0.28	-1.06	-0.22	-19	14	-33	13.4	13.6	-0.12	15.5	17.8	-2.26

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.55,0.54,0.63,0.68,0.67,0.63,0.67,0.66,0.7,0.68,0.64,0.72,0.79,0.77,0.78,0.82,0.88,0.9,0.89,0.85,0.86,0.84,0.89,0.88,0.89,0.95,0.96,0.97,0.95,0.86,0.86,0.74,0.64,0.7,0.78,0.75,0.76,0.81,0.86,0.76,0.66,0.61,0.55,0.69,0.58,0
Game		Similarity Score
CHI 98, SAS 93	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.53,0.55,0.56,0.62,0.64,0.64,0.57,0.53,0.64,0.65,0.78,0.8,0.84,0.86,0.88,0.87,0.83,0.82,0.84,0.85,0.88,0.94,0.93,0.93,0.92,0.95,0.95,0.87,0.85,0.82,0.73,0.71,0.65,0.66,0.78,0.79,0.86,0.93,0.94,0.82,0.78,0.75,0.54,0.57,0.42,0	92.7%
DAL 99, MIL 93	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.54,0.58,0.58,0.62,0.57,0.59,0.55,0.53,0.62,0.66,0.64,0.69,0.75,0.73,0.72,0.72,0.77,0.76,0.84,0.85,0.86,0.84,0.88,0.82,0.82,0.9,0.88,0.89,0.85,0.81,0.83,0.78,0.79,0.9,0.91,0.88,0.71,0.85,0.83,0.76,0.73,0.69,0.64,0.55,0.42,0	92.1%
UTA 96, CHA 95	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.55,0.62,0.64,0.65,0.62,0.7,0.72,0.76,0.77,0.83,0.78,0.78,0.76,0.82,0.75,0.79,0.84,0.84,0.88,0.87,0.85,0.85,0.9,0.91,0.86,0.85,0.88,0.86,0.89,0.92,0.89,0.92,0.9,0.87,0.87,0.87,0.85,0.86,0.81,0.87,0.81,0.78,0.69,0.72,0.65,0.72,0	91.7%