NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Orlando Magic	116		Excitement	10.1 [61]		MVP	Evan Fournier (ORL): +30.1%
Boston Celtics	117		Comeback	5.3 [616]		LVP	Elfrid Payton (ORL): -30.7%

Orlando Magic
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Evan Fournier	0.30	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.07,0.3,0.3	0.09	0.23	0.02	13	62%	0.32	1	-0.02	6	100%	0.03
Jodie Meeks	0.20	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.08,0.15,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2	0.06	0.13	-0.00	9	65%	0.26	1	-0.06	2	100%	0.01
Aaron Gordon	0.09	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.08,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.18,0.22,0.29,0.29,0.2,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.19,0.09,0.09	0.16	-0.04	0.02	24	57%	0.09	0	0.00	8	87%	0.05
Bismack Biyombo	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.06	0.01	0.01	3	80%	0.07	0	0.00	4	100%	0.02
Mario Hezonja	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.00	0.00	4	50%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
C.J. Watson	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.08	-0.01	-0.00	6	17%	-0.05	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Nikola Vucevic	-0.14	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.09,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.06	-0.07	0.00	13	31%	-0.14	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Terrence Ross	-0.26	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.05,0.09,0.08,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,-0.01,-0.01,-0.12,-0.26	0.01	-0.28	-0.01	13	59%	-0.10	4	-0.16	3	100%	0.02
Elfrid Payton	-0.31	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.02,0.04,0.09,0.06,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.31	-0.05	-0.27	-0.01	13	43%	-0.27	2	-0.04	2	100%	0.02

Boston Celtics
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Isaiah Thomas	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.01,-0.02,0.02,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.09,0.15,0.15,0.14,0.14,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.21,0.17,0.17,0.23,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.4,0.29,0.12	0.12	0.14	-0.03	-0.01	23	59%	0.22	3	-0.10	13	85%	0.04
Marcus Smart	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.02,-0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	-0.02	0.08	-0.00	6	44%	0.09	1	-0.02	4	100%	0.07
Kelly Olynyk	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.04	0.03	0.00	7	56%	0.06	0	0.00	2	100%	0.02
Gerald Green	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.04	0.02	0.00	4	75%	0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Amir Johnson	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.06	0.00	0.01	1	100%	0.05	0	0.00	3	67%	-0.00
Jae Crowder	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.09,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.21,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.16,0.16,0.04	0.04	0.10	-0.05	0.01	11	64%	0.04	0	0.00	6	67%	-0.01
Jonas Jerebko	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.01	0.03	0.00	4	50%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Terry Rozier	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.04,0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.02	-0.03	0.00	8	56%	0.03	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Al Horford	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.08,-0.1,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.16,-0.16,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.10	0.07	-0.01	11	46%	0.17	5	-0.19	4	100%	0.08
Jaylen Brown	0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	0.04	-0.06	0.01	9	60%	0.04	1	-0.07	2	100%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	27.1	2.4	30.5	15.4	26.3	2.4	31.6	135.8
league avg	24.8	2.3	29.6	15.7	26.8	2.3	33.5	136.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

BOS +33.3%

BOS +28.9%

BOS +0.1%

ORL -11.4%

ORL -0.9%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	ORL	BOS	NBA	ORL	BOS	NBA
this game	13.4	14.3	14.8	111.5	112.5	107.7
season	14.6	14.7		103.0	110.1
opponent	14.9	14.9		108.3	109.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
ORL	12.9	12.2	15.0	13.8	13.4
BOS	15.4	13.5	13.8	14.4	14.3

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Orlando Magic
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jodie Meeks	39	40	0.48	-0.98	1.47	0.13	12	-13	25	13.1	13.6	-0.51	13.8	14.5	-0.68
Bismack Biyombo	44	42	0.05	-0.55	0.60	0.02	1	-2	3	13.9	13.1	0.76	14.9	13.8	1.07
C.J. Watson	31	31	-0.16	-0.34	0.18	-0.04	-4	3	-7	14.0	13.2	0.78	13.2	14.7	-1.58
Mario Hezonja	39	38	-0.30	-0.20	-0.10	0.02	-11	10	-21	14.0	13.1	0.92	13.3	14.8	-1.54
Elfrid Payton	73	73	-0.34	-0.16	-0.18	-0.43	3	-4	7	13.2	14.0	-0.78	14.7	13.2	1.58
Terrence Ross	82	82	-0.39	-0.11	-0.29	-0.57	6	-7	13	13.1	14.5	-1.42	14.6	13.0	1.61
Aaron Gordon	78	78	-0.48	-0.02	-0.45	-0.48	0	-1	1	13.4	13.5	-0.15	14.4	13.8	0.56
Nikola Vucevic	60	62	-0.55	0.05	-0.60	-0.49	-2	1	-3	13.1	13.9	-0.76	13.8	14.9	-1.07
Evan Fournier	74	74	-0.81	0.31	-1.12	-0.52	-10	9	-19	13.7	12.8	0.83	14.5	13.8	0.71

Boston Celtics
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Amir Johnson	42	41	0.85	-0.35	1.21	0.71	5	-4	9	14.5	14.1	0.35	13.6	13.3	0.27
Jae Crowder	75	74	0.63	-0.13	0.77	0.55	3	-2	5	13.8	15.4	-1.63	13.2	13.9	-0.67
Marcus Smart	69	67	0.58	-0.08	0.67	0.44	5	-4	9	13.5	15.7	-2.18	13.6	13.1	0.45
Isaiah Thomas	77	78	0.55	-0.05	0.61	0.58	-1	2	-3	15.1	11.9	3.16	13.3	13.7	-0.36
Al Horford	78	80	0.51	-0.01	0.53	0.48	1	0	1	14.4	13.8	0.56	13.0	14.7	-1.62
Jonas Jerebko	36	36	0.20	0.30	-0.11	-0.04	8	-7	15	14.7	14.0	0.65	14.6	12.8	1.86
Gerald Green	18	20	0.06	0.44	-0.39	-0.03	3	-2	5	13.6	14.4	-0.86	13.5	13.4	0.10
Jaylen Brown	48	47	-0.27	0.77	-1.05	-0.10	-6	7	-13	14.9	13.7	1.24	13.3	13.5	-0.23
Terry Rozier	41	42	-0.29	0.79	-1.07	-0.14	-5	6	-11	13.6	14.7	-1.09	13.4	13.5	-0.07
Kelly Olynyk	36	35	-0.33	0.83	-1.16	-0.10	-8	9	-17	14.1	14.4	-0.24	13.3	13.5	-0.16

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.48,0.38,0.4,0.41,0.41,0.35,0.38,0.51,0.49,0.54,0.56,0.47,0.45,0.48,0.42,0.49,0.46,0.34,0.31,0.2,0.25,0.3,0.24,0.18,0.25,0.27,0.39,0.45,0.48,0.55,0.37,0.44,0.64,0.58,0.7,0.79,0.67,0.68,0.59,0.41,0.28,0.39,0.55,0.68,0.73,1
Game		Similarity Score
PHI 80, BOS 84	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.49,0.5,0.48,0.42,0.47,0.53,0.45,0.45,0.49,0.53,0.65,0.56,0.56,0.52,0.58,0.47,0.46,0.44,0.36,0.34,0.36,0.39,0.33,0.29,0.28,0.3,0.42,0.55,0.58,0.52,0.48,0.48,0.56,0.52,0.62,0.57,0.57,0.53,0.42,0.36,0.29,0.33,0.45,0.55,0.66,0.74,1	90.1%
BOS 117, GSW 119	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.39,0.42,0.42,0.4,0.36,0.39,0.33,0.44,0.51,0.51,0.57,0.49,0.51,0.55,0.53,0.44,0.39,0.39,0.46,0.44,0.41,0.3,0.3,0.24,0.23,0.23,0.27,0.21,0.26,0.35,0.31,0.31,0.37,0.48,0.42,0.57,0.62,0.62,0.58,0.47,0.19,0.28,0.47,0.66,0.9,0.73,1	89.6%
LAL 103, ORL 106	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.48,0.48,0.44,0.49,0.53,0.49,0.48,0.43,0.45,0.46,0.48,0.42,0.38,0.34,0.33,0.33,0.32,0.34,0.31,0.31,0.3,0.27,0.25,0.35,0.4,0.39,0.36,0.3,0.35,0.35,0.38,0.37,0.52,0.56,0.54,0.52,0.57,0.58,0.63,0.64,0.6,0.46,0.45,0.54,0.55,0.73,1	89.6%