NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Philadelphia 76ers	80		Excitement	7.8 [282]		MVP	Ray Allen (BOS): +22.2%
Boston Celtics	84		Comeback	3.5 [582]		LVP	Andre Iguodala (PHI): -43.2%

Philadelphia 76ers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Elton Brand	0.19	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.09,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.19,0.19	0.10	0.10	0.01	8	67%	0.19	0	0.00	8	75%	-0.00
Tony Battie	0.18	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.12,0.12,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18	0.05	0.13	-0.00	8	59%	0.18	0	0.00	1	0%	-0.04
Jrue Holiday	0.13	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.06	0.08	0.01	13	52%	0.13	0	0.00	3	67%	-0.01
Andres Nocioni	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0	-0.01	-0.00	-0.01	4	37%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Thaddeus Young	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.01	-0.02	0.00	3	50%	-0.01	0	0.00	6	67%	-0.02
Lou Williams	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.04,0.06,0.01,0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.11,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	8	63%	0.11	4	-0.15	3	67%	-0.01
Spencer Hawes	-0.08	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.15,-0.12,-0.12,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.10	0.02	-0.01	8	37%	0.01	4	-0.09	0	0%	0.00
Jodie Meeks	-0.14	0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.09	-0.05	0.00	2	37%	-0.04	3	-0.09	4	75%	-0.01
Andre Iguodala	-0.43	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.19,-0.43	-0.11	-0.33	-0.01	11	32%	-0.28	2	-0.16	6	83%	0.01

Boston Celtics
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Ray Allen	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.14,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.21,0.21,0.22	0.22	0.08	0.12	-0.02	17	55%	0.22	0	0.00	6	83%	0.07
Nate Robinson	0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.03	0.01	-0.01	6	75%	0.08	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Kevin Garnett	0,0,0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.00	0.02	-0.01	10	50%	0.06	1	-0.03	4	100%	0.05
Avery Bradley	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.00	0.00	0.00	2	50%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Paul Pierce	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.05,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.18,-0.22,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.08,0,0	0.00	-0.09	0.09	-0.01	15	34%	0.06	2	-0.06	2	100%	0.04
Von Wafer	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.01	0.01	-0.00	5	50%	0.03	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Semih Erden	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Glen Davis	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.05	0.00	-0.00	9	30%	-0.05	0	0.00	2	100%	0.02
Shaquille O'Neal	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.03,0.03,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	0.01	-0.05	0.02	8	57%	-0.01	2	-0.04	7	43%	-0.16
Marquis Daniels	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.13	-0.08	-0.06	-0.00	7	29%	-0.05	2	-0.08	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.8	2.6	31.4	15.5	29.3	2.5	37.5	143.6
league avg	26.2	2.4	30.3	16.4	27.2	2.4	33.9	140.0

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

PHI -8.5%

BOS +14.0%

BOS +27.6%

BOS +22.2%

PHI -5.3%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	PHI	BOS	NBA	PHI	BOS	NBA
this game	16.1	16.3	15.5	93.0	91.3	105.7
season	15.5	15.7		104.6	104.8
opponent	15.8	15.5		99.6	103.4

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
PHI	14.7	14.9	17.3	17.8	16.1
BOS	13.6	19.4	16.2	16.6	16.3

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Philadelphia 76ers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Thaddeus Young	38	38	0.09	-0.59	0.69	-0.14	8	-12	20	14.2	17.6	-3.37	19.1	14.3	4.80
Andres Nocioni	17	16	0.02	-0.52	0.54	-0.01	1	-5	6	12.9	16.9	-3.93	19.2	15.6	3.54
Jodie Meeks	56	62	-0.07	-0.43	0.37	0.14	-7	3	-10	16.6	15.2	1.42	15.1	18.6	-3.47
Spencer Hawes	36	41	-0.14	-0.36	0.21	0.06	-7	3	-10	17.5	15.1	2.47	13.9	18.2	-4.25
Lou Williams	38	41	-0.18	-0.32	0.15	-0.44	9	-13	22	15.4	16.6	-1.25	18.3	14.6	3.67
Andre Iguodala	69	74	-0.38	-0.12	-0.26	-0.41	1	-5	6	16.7	13.5	3.20	15.4	19.8	-4.37
Tony Battie	45	47	-0.39	-0.11	-0.29	-0.39	0	-4	4	15.2	17.0	-1.83	18.0	14.4	3.64
Elton Brand	58	64	-0.56	0.06	-0.61	-0.29	-9	5	-14	17.1	14.0	3.16	15.4	18.2	-2.86
Jrue Holiday	73	77	-0.89	0.39	-1.29	-0.43	-16	12	-28	16.2	15.5	0.74	15.8	18.6	-2.79

Boston Celtics
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Ray Allen	75	69	0.92	-0.42	1.33	0.42	17	-13	30	15.3	20.7	-5.45	16.4	14.8	1.66
Kevin Garnett	64	59	0.81	-0.31	1.13	0.37	15	-11	26	13.9	21.6	-7.74	17.0	14.1	2.94
Shaquille O'Neal	54	50	0.73	-0.23	0.96	0.50	8	-4	12	15.0	18.0	-3.01	17.1	14.6	2.50
Paul Pierce	66	63	0.47	0.03	0.44	0.47	0	4	-4	15.5	18.1	-2.59	16.5	15.1	1.37
Nate Robinson	61	57	0.42	0.08	0.33	0.45	-1	5	-6	14.7	19.4	-4.76	16.3	15.7	0.56
Avery Bradley	11	11	0.09	0.41	-0.32	0.00	3	1	2	19.9	15.8	4.14	12.3	16.7	-4.38
Von Wafer	17	15	-0.03	0.53	-0.56	-0.06	1	3	-2	19.3	15.6	3.72	17.2	15.9	1.34
Glen Davis	46	43	-0.23	0.73	-0.96	-0.11	-4	8	-12	18.8	13.7	5.04	14.8	17.4	-2.60
Semih Erden	20	20	-0.31	0.81	-1.13	0.01	-11	15	-26	21.3	14.8	6.50	13.5	16.9	-3.31
Marquis Daniels	46	43	-0.36	0.86	-1.22	-0.13	-8	12	-20	19.1	13.4	5.65	15.4	16.8	-1.44

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.52,0.49,0.5,0.48,0.42,0.47,0.53,0.45,0.45,0.49,0.53,0.65,0.56,0.56,0.52,0.58,0.47,0.46,0.44,0.36,0.34,0.36,0.39,0.33,0.29,0.28,0.3,0.42,0.55,0.58,0.52,0.48,0.48,0.56,0.52,0.62,0.57,0.57,0.53,0.42,0.36,0.29,0.33,0.45,0.55,0.66,0.74,1
Game		Similarity Score
UTA 99, PHX 107	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.49,0.47,0.52,0.46,0.49,0.55,0.49,0.47,0.47,0.52,0.55,0.55,0.51,0.51,0.42,0.44,0.37,0.46,0.39,0.41,0.39,0.37,0.38,0.34,0.39,0.42,0.36,0.38,0.48,0.41,0.52,0.56,0.44,0.5,0.57,0.53,0.53,0.53,0.41,0.35,0.33,0.61,0.55,0.68,0.99,1	92.1%
SAC 78, MEM 84	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.54,0.51,0.54,0.49,0.53,0.59,0.53,0.53,0.53,0.62,0.6,0.58,0.6,0.55,0.49,0.42,0.44,0.47,0.46,0.44,0.41,0.44,0.37,0.37,0.28,0.32,0.39,0.36,0.48,0.44,0.38,0.48,0.48,0.36,0.54,0.57,0.47,0.53,0.47,0.47,0.35,0.47,0.69,0.63,0.78,0.73,1	92.0%
TOR 88, MEM 94	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.46,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.57,0.55,0.6,0.55,0.58,0.57,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.54,0.52,0.42,0.34,0.39,0.39,0.36,0.3,0.29,0.31,0.25,0.24,0.36,0.45,0.35,0.41,0.48,0.63,0.6,0.54,0.57,0.52,0.52,0.42,0.47,0.53,0.46,0.55,0.46,0.76,0.59,1	91.5%