NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Toronto Raptors	88		Excitement	8.7 [177]		MVP	Eddie Jones (MEM): +18.5%
Memphis Grizzlies	94		Comeback	3.8 [682]		LVP	Bobby Jackson (MEM): -20.4%

Toronto Raptors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jose Calderon	0.17	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.12,0.12,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17	0.10	0.07	0.00	3	100%	0.23	1	-0.06	5	100%	0.04
Matt Bonner	0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.05	0.04	0.00	4	75%	0.09	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Loren Woods	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	1	100%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Joey Graham	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.01	-0.01	0.00	4	50%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Antonio Davis	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Pape Sow	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Charlie Villanueva	-0.04	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.07,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.11,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.05	-0.00	-0.01	17	37%	-0.04	0	0.00	4	50%	-0.02
Morris Peterson	-0.05	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.09,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.14,-0.14,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.05,-0.05	-0.08	0.04	0.00	11	36%	0.02	2	-0.07	3	67%	0.04
Mike James	-0.07	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.03,0.03,0,0.03,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.05,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.07	-0.02	-0.07	-0.02	11	62%	0.06	5	-0.14	4	50%	-0.07
Chris Bosh	-0.14	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.01,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.13,0.13,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.06,-0.14,-0.14	0.02	-0.15	0.01	21	53%	-0.00	3	-0.14	7	86%	0.02

Memphis Grizzlies
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Eddie Jones	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.14,0.18	0.18	-0.01	0.19	-0.00	8	39%	0.18	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Hakim Warrick	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.13,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.14	0.09	0.06	0.00	7	71%	0.17	1	-0.03	7	71%	0.00
Mike Miller	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.17,0.15,0.15,0.14,0.14,0.11,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.05	-0.00	-0.01	13	57%	0.11	1	-0.05	2	50%	-0.01
Jake Tsakalidis	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	1	100%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Lorenzen Wright	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.03	-0.01	0.01	8	62%	0.04	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Brian Cardinal	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Antonio Burks	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Pau Gasol	0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.01	-0.03	0.00	17	50%	0.01	1	-0.03	8	62%	-0.03
Shane Battier	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.00	-0.05	0.00	7	44%	-0.06	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.03
Chucky Atkins	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.11	-0.02	-0.01	9	11%	-0.11	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Bobby Jackson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,-0.04,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,0.07,-0.08,-0.2	-0.20	-0.03	-0.18	-0.00	16	41%	-0.13	1	-0.07	2	100%	0.04

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.0	3.8	28.2	17.8	26.1	2.4	31.6	132.8
league avg	33.9	2.4	29.5	14.7	26.7	2.4	34.0	144.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

TOR -0.1%

TOR -10.8%

MEM +48.4%

MEM +15.5%

TOR -3.1%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	TOR	MEM	NBA	TOR	MEM	NBA
this game	16.0	17.3	15.6	102.3	108.0	104.4
season	15.6	17.1		107.3	103.5
opponent	15.7	15.4		100.0	110.5

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
TOR	17.8	16.0	15.7	14.7	16.0
MEM	20.1	18.3	15.6	15.9	17.3

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Toronto Raptors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Joey Graham	36	36	0.52	-1.02	1.54	0.11	14	-20	34	15.7	16.2	-0.44	17.0	17.5	-0.58
Loren Woods	13	14	0.08	-0.58	0.66	0.02	2	-8	10	16.1	16.0	0.12	16.9	17.4	-0.54
Pape Sow	6	5	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.03	1	-7	8	18.5	15.8	2.71	15.0	17.5	-2.45
Matt Bonner	21	22	-0.03	-0.47	0.43	-0.03	0	-6	6	17.1	15.6	1.54	15.7	17.8	-2.12
Jose Calderon	52	53	-0.11	-0.39	0.28	-0.32	7	-13	20	15.0	17.4	-2.42	16.6	18.4	-1.76
Antonio Davis	22	22	-0.20	-0.30	0.09	0.03	-8	2	-10	17.7	15.4	2.35	19.6	16.5	3.05
Chris Bosh	77	79	-0.52	0.02	-0.55	-0.32	-7	1	-8	15.8	17.7	-1.89	17.5	15.6	1.86
Mike James	70	69	-0.60	0.10	-0.70	-0.37	-8	2	-10	15.9	16.3	-0.41	17.6	16.1	1.58
Charlie Villanueva	67	68	-0.74	0.24	-0.97	-0.35	-13	7	-20	15.9	16.2	-0.23	17.6	16.1	1.54
Morris Peterson	66	67	-0.89	0.39	-1.27	-0.36	-18	12	-30	16.0	15.8	0.23	17.2	17.7	-0.51

Memphis Grizzlies
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Pau Gasol	72	71	0.73	-0.23	0.96	0.26	16	-10	26	17.1	18.5	-1.48	16.1	15.6	0.46
Shane Battier	77	75	0.63	-0.13	0.76	0.31	11	-5	16	17.3	17.5	-0.21	15.9	16.2	-0.24
Bobby Jackson	57	57	0.61	-0.11	0.72	0.40	7	-1	8	16.4	19.0	-2.53	15.8	16.4	-0.61
Lorenzen Wright	37	37	0.36	0.14	0.22	0.04	11	-5	16	18.1	16.7	1.44	16.9	15.2	1.70
Eddie Jones	58	57	0.29	0.21	0.09	0.32	-1	7	-8	18.3	15.3	2.95	15.7	16.5	-0.76
Hakim Warrick	41	39	0.16	0.34	-0.17	0.34	-6	12	-18	16.7	17.8	-1.09	14.9	16.9	-1.93
Mike Miller	40	41	0.06	0.44	-0.39	-0.00	2	4	-2	15.8	18.6	-2.70	16.4	15.6	0.88
Antonio Burks	0	1	0.01	0.49	-0.47	0.01	0	6	-6	0.0	17.3	-17.31	5.0	16.1	-11.11
Jake Tsakalidis	6	6	-0.06	0.56	-0.61	0.00	-2	8	-10	16.2	17.4	-1.23	16.2	16.0	0.20
Brian Cardinal	10	11	-0.13	0.63	-0.76	0.02	-5	11	-16	17.5	17.3	0.21	16.2	15.9	0.24
Chucky Atkins	37	35	-0.17	0.67	-0.84	-0.08	-3	9	-12	19.2	15.9	3.27	16.5	15.6	0.81

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.46,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.57,0.55,0.6,0.55,0.58,0.57,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.54,0.52,0.42,0.34,0.39,0.39,0.36,0.3,0.29,0.31,0.25,0.24,0.36,0.45,0.35,0.41,0.48,0.63,0.6,0.54,0.57,0.52,0.52,0.42,0.47,0.53,0.46,0.55,0.46,0.76,0.59,1
Game		Similarity Score
ATL 91, MIA 93	0.5,0.51,0.53,0.57,0.57,0.61,0.58,0.57,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.5,0.5,0.51,0.49,0.56,0.49,0.53,0.46,0.39,0.39,0.42,0.39,0.3,0.32,0.37,0.3,0.24,0.27,0.38,0.35,0.34,0.41,0.48,0.6,0.5,0.62,0.54,0.52,0.54,0.53,0.47,0.39,0.68,0.71,0.77,0.74,1	92.7%
HOU 89, POR 90	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.55,0.54,0.54,0.47,0.51,0.49,0.47,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.5,0.53,0.53,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.41,0.48,0.34,0.26,0.23,0.3,0.46,0.34,0.26,0.2,0.24,0.3,0.29,0.35,0.41,0.48,0.4,0.44,0.46,0.52,0.57,0.57,0.53,0.53,0.53,0.47,0.53,0.54,0.76,0.42,1	92.0%
SAC 78, MEM 84	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.54,0.51,0.54,0.49,0.53,0.59,0.53,0.53,0.53,0.62,0.6,0.58,0.6,0.55,0.49,0.42,0.44,0.47,0.46,0.44,0.41,0.44,0.37,0.37,0.28,0.32,0.39,0.36,0.48,0.44,0.38,0.48,0.48,0.36,0.54,0.57,0.47,0.53,0.47,0.47,0.35,0.47,0.69,0.63,0.78,0.73,1	92.0%