NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

LA Clippers	124		Excitement	7.7 [323]		MVP	Blake Griffin (LAC): +28.9%
Phoenix Suns	118		Comeback	1.8 [1077]		LVP	TJ Warren (PHX): -13.7%

LA Clippers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Blake Griffin	0.29	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.2,0.2,0.18,0.19,0.24,0.25,0.29,0.29	0.15	0.14	-0.00	19	69%	0.37	3	-0.08	7	71%	-0.01
Chris Paul	0.27	0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.02,0.05,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.27	0.15	0.14	0.02	17	67%	0.30	1	-0.03	9	89%	0.06
Jamal Crawford	0.24	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.12,0.12,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.24,0.24,0.24	0.12	0.12	-0.00	11	63%	0.24	0	0.00	8	75%	-0.00
Luc Mbah a Moute	0.07	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.03	0.03	-0.01	5	75%	0.10	2	-0.03	2	50%	-0.01
JJ Redick	0.06	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.03	0.03	-0.00	10	58%	0.09	2	-0.03	4	75%	0.01
Marreese Speights	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.00	-0.00	2	125%	0.06	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Paul Pierce	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.00	0.00	2	75%	0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Alan Anderson	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Raymond Felton	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.03,0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.00	-0.02	0.00	7	50%	0.01	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
DeAndre Jordan	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.1,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.05	-0.04	0.01	6	44%	-0.01	2	-0.08	4	25%	-0.06

Phoenix Suns
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Devin Booker	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.13,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.14,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.18,0.18,0.27,0.24,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25	0.25	0.16	0.10	0.01	22	66%	0.36	3	-0.11	6	50%	-0.04
Derrick Jones, Jr.	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.13	0.08	0.04	0.00	5	83%	0.13	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Alex Len	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.05	0.00	0.01	4	86%	0.09	2	-0.04	6	67%	-0.02
Marquese Chriss	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.07	-0.02	0.01	13	77%	0.18	4	-0.15	0	0%	0.00
Jared Dudley	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	-0.03	-0.02	7	50%	0.03	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Tyler Ulis	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.07,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.01	-0.02	0.00	15	53%	0.05	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Alan Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.02	-0.03	-0.00	6	37%	-0.05	0	0.00	4	50%	-0.05
Ronnie Price	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.08	-0.02	-0.01	5	0%	-0.08	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
TJ Warren	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.08,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.14	-0.08	-0.05	0.01	15	39%	-0.08	2	-0.05	6	33%	-0.14

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.5	2.4	33.4	15.5	27.5	1.7	38.3	143.2
league avg	24.8	2.3	29.6	15.7	26.8	2.3	33.5	136.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

LAC +20.5%

LAC +33.1%

PHX -16.4%

LAC +7.5%

LAC +5.3%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	LAC	PHX	NBA	LAC	PHX	NBA
this game	15.4	12.9	14.8	120.4	116.8	107.7
season	15.0	13.9		110.8	105.4
opponent	14.5	14.8		110.3	106.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
LAC	14.4	15.5	16.3	15.3	15.4
PHX	11.7	13.3	13.7	12.8	12.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

LA Clippers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
DeAndre Jordan	76	74	0.68	-0.18	0.86	0.36	11	-5	16	15.1	16.0	-0.92	12.6	13.4	-0.76
Chris Paul	76	74	0.60	-0.10	0.69	0.36	8	-2	10	15.2	15.8	-0.57	12.7	13.3	-0.56
JJ Redick	66	66	0.50	0.00	0.49	0.29	7	-1	8	15.6	14.9	0.64	12.4	13.6	-1.19
Blake Griffin	84	82	0.46	0.04	0.42	0.25	7	-1	8	15.1	16.7	-1.62	12.6	13.9	-1.35
Luc Mbah a Moute	69	67	0.37	0.13	0.23	0.25	4	2	2	15.1	15.9	-0.74	13.0	12.6	0.31
Jamal Crawford	58	56	0.20	0.30	-0.10	0.08	4	2	2	15.2	15.6	-0.47	12.9	12.8	0.09
Paul Pierce	19	19	0.04	0.46	-0.42	0.07	-1	7	-8	16.7	15.1	1.62	13.9	12.6	1.35
Alan Anderson	7	8	-0.07	0.57	-0.64	0.02	-3	9	-12	16.3	15.3	0.99	16.1	12.6	3.56
Raymond Felton	34	32	-0.08	0.58	-0.66	-0.05	-1	7	-8	15.6	15.2	0.39	12.9	12.8	0.13
Marreese Speights	26	27	-0.19	0.69	-0.88	-0.01	-6	12	-18	16.4	15.0	1.42	13.4	12.6	0.76

Phoenix Suns
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Alan Williams	40	39	0.06	-0.56	0.63	-0.14	7	-13	20	12.9	12.8	0.08	15.5	15.3	0.16
Devin Booker	76	80	-0.17	-0.33	0.16	-0.11	-2	-4	2	12.9	12.6	0.39	15.7	14.2	1.53
Alex Len	39	40	-0.22	-0.28	0.05	-0.05	-6	0	-6	12.9	12.8	0.07	14.8	15.7	-0.87
Ronnie Price	21	21	-0.29	-0.21	-0.08	-0.08	-7	1	-8	13.8	12.6	1.15	14.2	15.7	-1.47
Derrick Jones, Jr.	41	41	-0.34	-0.16	-0.18	-0.31	-1	-5	4	12.9	12.8	0.09	16.1	14.9	1.19
Jared Dudley	52	53	-0.34	-0.16	-0.18	-0.25	-3	-3	0	13.1	12.6	0.50	15.5	15.3	0.19
Tyler Ulis	83	85	-0.35	-0.15	-0.20	-0.26	-3	-3	0	12.6	14.1	-1.53	15.5	14.8	0.70
TJ Warren	82	82	-0.35	-0.15	-0.20	-0.21	-5	-1	-4	12.8	13.2	-0.38	14.8	17.4	-2.54
Marquese Chriss	71	74	-0.50	0.00	-0.50	-0.21	-10	4	-14	12.6	13.4	-0.78	15.5	14.9	0.60

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.52,0.54,0.49,0.47,0.51,0.55,0.53,0.53,0.49,0.6,0.58,0.62,0.53,0.51,0.42,0.51,0.58,0.56,0.42,0.39,0.3,0.27,0.29,0.25,0.22,0.22,0.29,0.23,0.29,0.16,0.2,0.19,0.25,0.46,0.34,0.47,0.28,0.4,0.26,0.15,0.17,0.19,0.15,0.06,0.01,0
Game		Similarity Score
CHI 89, DET 82	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.43,0.43,0.44,0.45,0.45,0.49,0.57,0.62,0.6,0.49,0.5,0.42,0.42,0.49,0.4,0.46,0.49,0.48,0.48,0.46,0.4,0.36,0.27,0.29,0.23,0.28,0.19,0.19,0.2,0.2,0.21,0.24,0.37,0.36,0.42,0.38,0.34,0.25,0.42,0.36,0.19,0.13,0.14,0.07,0,0,0	92.6%
LAL 96, POR 86	0.5,0.51,0.5,0.51,0.53,0.51,0.53,0.48,0.51,0.49,0.45,0.45,0.44,0.37,0.49,0.56,0.54,0.56,0.53,0.54,0.53,0.49,0.42,0.34,0.25,0.25,0.23,0.23,0.22,0.24,0.24,0.23,0.2,0.24,0.3,0.29,0.48,0.5,0.43,0.43,0.42,0.37,0.17,0.19,0.17,0.1,0.04,0,0,0	92.6%
GSW 96, BOS 95	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.49,0.5,0.51,0.5,0.43,0.47,0.47,0.45,0.49,0.49,0.5,0.6,0.58,0.56,0.6,0.49,0.53,0.49,0.41,0.34,0.25,0.24,0.22,0.16,0.2,0.15,0.22,0.21,0.26,0.23,0.28,0.21,0.22,0.32,0.3,0.38,0.33,0.24,0.32,0.21,0.24,0.28,0.19,0.05,0.15,0.16,0	92.5%