NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Los Angeles Lakers	96		Excitement	6.1 [579]		MVP	Isaiah Rider (LAL): +10.9%
Portland Trail Blazers	86		Comeback	1.4 [469]		LVP	Kobe Bryant (LAL): -23.5%

Los Angeles Lakers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Isaiah Rider	0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.09	0.04	0.02	8	81%	0.13	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Shaquille O'Neal	0.06	0,0,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.1,0.12,0.11,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.09,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.08	0.00	0.02	20	64%	0.09	1	-0.03	16	50%	-0.12
Brian Shaw	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	-0.01	0.06	0.00	3	87%	0.14	3	-0.09	2	100%	0.02
Greg Foster	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.02	0.03	0.00	1	100%	0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Mark Madsen	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tyronn Lue	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	4	50%	0.01	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Devean George	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	2	75%	0.03	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Horace Grant	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.00	0.00	5	42%	-0.02	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.02
Rick Fox	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.01	-0.03	0.00	6	43%	-0.04	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Ron Harper	-0.06	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0.04,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.05	-0.02	-0.00	3	75%	0.02	4	-0.08	2	50%	-0.02
Kobe Bryant	-0.24	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.1,-0.13,-0.17,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24	-0.15	-0.08	-0.00	11	50%	-0.04	7	-0.20	6	100%	0.01

Portland Trail Blazers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Greg Anthony	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.14,0.14,0.1,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.04	-0.01	-0.01	4	100%	0.10	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Rasheed Wallace	0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.08,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.11	0.00	0.09	17	72%	0.13	3	-0.10	2	100%	0.01
Steven Smith	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.04,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.01	0.02	0.01	18	51%	0.04	1	-0.03	7	86%	0.02
Scottie Pippen	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Will Perdue	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Antonio Harvey	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.02	0.00	-0.01	1	0%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Stacey Augmon	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.02	-0.01	8	50%	-0.01	0	0.00	4	100%	0.03
Dale Davis	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	-0.01	0.00	4	25%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Shawn Kemp	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.14	-0.09	-0.05	-0.00	9	22%	-0.12	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Damon Stoudamire	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.07,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16	-0.16	-0.13	-0.04	-0.02	13	26%	-0.13	2	-0.03	1	100%	0.00
Bonzi Wells	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.19,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16	-0.16	-0.10	-0.07	-0.00	11	29%	-0.13	1	-0.03	2	50%	-0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	34.2	2.7	32.2	19.6	29.2	2.8	34.0	154.7
league avg	28.8	2.2	28.9	16.6	26.2	2.2	33.1	139.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

LAL +71.2%

POR -5.7%

LAL +9.4%

POR -24.6%

POR -0.3%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	LAL	POR	NBA	LAL	POR	NBA
this game	15.8	17.1	15.5	110.3	97.7	100.9
season	15.6	15.8		106.8	103.9
opponent	15.8	15.2		100.3	101.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
LAL	15.2	15.5	16.3	16.0	15.8
POR	18.2	17.2	15.0	18.2	17.1

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Los Angeles Lakers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Isaiah Rider	46	47	0.56	-0.06	0.62	0.21	12	-2	14	15.6	16.0	-0.46	17.3	16.9	0.37
Tyronn Lue	19	20	0.50	-0.00	0.51	0.03	16	-6	22	16.4	15.6	0.75	18.1	16.8	1.33
Horace Grant	87	87	0.45	0.05	0.40	0.22	8	2	6	15.8	0.0	15.78	17.2	9.0	8.22
Kobe Bryant	62	62	0.44	0.06	0.38	0.21	8	2	6	16.0	15.3	0.70	17.8	15.5	2.25
Shaquille O'Neal	80	80	0.29	0.21	0.08	0.12	6	4	2	15.6	17.9	-2.26	17.1	17.5	-0.41
Brian Shaw	26	27	0.22	0.28	-0.05	0.14	3	7	-4	16.3	15.5	0.81	17.3	17.0	0.30
Greg Foster	6	7	0.18	0.32	-0.13	0.07	4	6	-2	19.0	15.5	3.46	17.1	17.1	0.02
Rick Fox	50	51	0.07	0.43	-0.37	-0.02	3	7	-4	15.6	16.0	-0.43	16.9	17.5	-0.62
Mark Madsen	1	2	0.04	0.46	-0.41	0.04	0	10	-10	11.0	15.8	-4.84	14.5	17.2	-2.69
Ron Harper	51	50	-0.06	0.56	-0.62	-0.03	-1	11	-12	15.5	16.1	-0.56	16.4	18.0	-1.59
Devean George	7	7	-0.20	0.70	-0.91	0.06	-9	19	-28	14.7	15.9	-1.16	13.1	17.5	-4.33

Portland Trail Blazers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Scottie Pippen	13	12	0.01	-0.51	0.52	-0.02	1	-11	12	19.6	16.7	2.92	13.6	16.1	-2.55
Stacey Augmon	50	49	-0.00	-0.50	0.49	-0.06	2	-12	14	16.0	18.6	-2.51	16.0	15.6	0.41
Greg Anthony	38	39	-0.03	-0.47	0.44	-0.18	5	-15	20	14.4	19.2	-4.85	16.1	15.5	0.54
Will Perdue	3	4	-0.05	-0.45	0.39	0.00	-2	-8	6	17.0	17.1	-0.13	16.2	15.8	0.49
Dale Davis	54	52	-0.08	-0.42	0.34	-0.08	0	-10	10	17.9	16.0	1.88	16.7	14.3	2.41
Bonzi Wells	47	47	-0.12	-0.38	0.26	-0.18	2	-12	14	15.6	18.9	-3.24	16.8	14.5	2.28
Shawn Kemp	24	24	-0.12	-0.38	0.25	-0.12	0	-10	10	14.8	18.0	-3.21	14.2	16.4	-2.12
Antonio Harvey	7	7	-0.24	-0.26	0.02	0.02	-9	-1	-8	19.6	16.9	2.66	13.6	16.0	-2.40
Rasheed Wallace	88	87	-0.47	-0.03	-0.44	-0.27	-7	-3	-4	17.1	0.0	17.12	15.8	0.0	15.78
Damon Stoudamire	52	51	-0.50	0.00	-0.51	0.02	-18	8	-26	18.8	14.7	4.07	15.3	16.5	-1.23
Steven Smith	64	63	-0.88	0.38	-1.27	-0.18	-24	14	-38	18.9	12.5	6.36	15.5	16.5	-0.99

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.5,0.51,0.53,0.51,0.53,0.48,0.51,0.49,0.45,0.45,0.44,0.37,0.49,0.56,0.54,0.56,0.53,0.54,0.53,0.49,0.42,0.34,0.25,0.25,0.23,0.23,0.22,0.24,0.24,0.23,0.2,0.24,0.3,0.29,0.48,0.5,0.43,0.43,0.42,0.37,0.17,0.19,0.17,0.1,0.04,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
UTA 94, PHI 86	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.48,0.5,0.47,0.44,0.39,0.34,0.35,0.36,0.35,0.44,0.5,0.49,0.53,0.53,0.56,0.6,0.53,0.56,0.46,0.42,0.34,0.3,0.27,0.29,0.25,0.34,0.3,0.36,0.32,0.32,0.21,0.3,0.26,0.4,0.46,0.43,0.38,0.52,0.42,0.31,0.16,0.17,0.1,0.02,0.01,0,0	93.4%
HOU 97, MIN 84	0.5,0.51,0.46,0.48,0.47,0.47,0.5,0.47,0.43,0.45,0.47,0.47,0.51,0.46,0.51,0.55,0.62,0.56,0.58,0.61,0.56,0.41,0.39,0.39,0.33,0.33,0.38,0.37,0.39,0.27,0.3,0.29,0.29,0.21,0.29,0.4,0.56,0.46,0.43,0.47,0.29,0.27,0.22,0.16,0.09,0.03,0.01,0,0,0	93.4%
MIA 99, MIL 87	0.5,0.51,0.55,0.57,0.52,0.51,0.48,0.49,0.45,0.47,0.45,0.51,0.51,0.43,0.45,0.49,0.49,0.47,0.44,0.37,0.37,0.44,0.39,0.39,0.3,0.3,0.26,0.31,0.22,0.19,0.27,0.32,0.32,0.31,0.21,0.23,0.25,0.38,0.52,0.43,0.42,0.37,0.29,0.15,0.14,0.07,0.07,0,0,0	92.8%