NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Oklahoma City Thunder	111		Excitement	6.2 [612]		MVP	Russell Westbrook (OKC): +20.6%
Phoenix Suns	118		Comeback	2.8 [234]		LVP	Jerami Grant (OKC): -10.8%

Oklahoma City Thunder
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Russell Westbrook	0.21	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0,-0.03,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.13,0.13,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.1,0.13,0.1,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.19,0.21,0.21,0.23,0.22,0.22,0.2,0.21,0.21	0.19	0.08	0.06	30	62%	0.31	4	-0.10	18	94%	0.05
Domantas Sabonis	0.10	0,0,0.01,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.11	0.01	0.01	5	92%	0.10	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Andre Roberson	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.01	0.02	0.01	5	67%	0.06	2	-0.05	2	50%	-0.01
Semaj Christon	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Steven Adams	-0.02	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02	0.00	-0.02	0.00	4	64%	0.03	2	-0.05	6	50%	-0.04
Enes Kanter	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	0.02	-0.04	0.01	9	52%	-0.00	1	-0.03	3	100%	0.01
Alex Abrines	-0.05	0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	0.05	-0.03	0.07	11	59%	-0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Taj Gibson	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.10	-0.00	-0.02	3	37%	-0.00	4	-0.08	2	50%	-0.01
Doug McDermott	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.06	-0.03	-0.00	8	33%	-0.05	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Norris Cole	-0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.01	-0.01	6	17%	-0.05	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Jerami Grant	-0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11	-0.14	-0.01	-0.04	6	0%	-0.07	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00

Phoenix Suns
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
TJ Warren	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.11	0.11	0.07	0.04	-0.00	9	65%	0.12	1	-0.00	5	60%	-0.03
Jared Dudley	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.09	0.09	0.02	0.04	-0.03	4	87%	0.11	2	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Leandro Barbosa	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07	0.07	0.08	0.02	0.03	9	67%	0.07	0	0.00	3	100%	0.01
Derrick Jones, Jr.	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.06	0.01	0.01	3	100%	0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Alex Len	0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.03	0.00	-0.00	4	60%	0.03	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Marquese Chriss	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.02	-0.00	8	44%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Alan Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.03	0.01	-0.00	15	47%	0.03	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Tyler Ulis	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	0.01	-0.03	0.00	9	70%	0.09	4	-0.12	2	100%	0.01
Devin Booker	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.05,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.07	0.02	-0.02	13	53%	0.08	6	-0.11	6	83%	0.02
Eric Bledsoe	0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.04,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.06,-0.05	-0.05	-0.05	0.01	0.01	15	42%	-0.03	2	-0.03	13	77%	-0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.4	1.7	36.0	23.8	26.3	2.5	41.5	157.2
league avg	24.8	2.3	29.6	15.7	26.8	2.3	33.5	136.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

PHX +31.6%

OKC -6.0%

PHX +0.1%

PHX +12.6%

PHX +11.7%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	OKC	PHX	NBA	OKC	PHX	NBA
this game	12.0	13.6	14.8	98.2	105.4	107.7
season	14.0	13.9		107.0	105.4
opponent	14.5	15.1		110.3	106.7

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
OKC	12.0	12.5	13.4	10.3	12.0
PHX	12.0	13.7	15.4	13.7	13.6

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Oklahoma City Thunder
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Semaj Christon	3	3	0.00	-0.50	0.50	0.00	0	-7	7	3.3	12.2	-8.87	4.7	13.9	-9.22
Steven Adams	69	69	-0.13	-0.37	0.24	-0.19	2	-9	11	12.3	11.4	0.87	13.9	13.3	0.55
Domantas Sabonis	28	28	-0.15	-0.35	0.20	-0.15	0	-7	7	13.6	11.4	2.23	14.8	13.3	1.52
Russell Westbrook	89	91	-0.16	-0.34	0.18	-0.46	10	-17	27	11.5	13.7	-2.16	13.7	13.4	0.32
Taj Gibson	34	33	-0.18	-0.32	0.13	0.08	-9	2	-11	12.7	11.6	1.06	13.0	13.9	-0.95
Andre Roberson	77	79	-0.19	-0.31	0.12	-0.25	2	-9	11	10.9	14.2	-3.35	13.2	14.6	-1.37
Jerami Grant	31	31	-0.28	-0.22	-0.06	-0.13	-5	-2	-3	10.4	12.6	-2.17	14.2	13.4	0.72
Alex Abrines	72	72	-0.29	-0.21	-0.08	-0.26	-1	-6	5	12.7	10.7	1.93	14.2	12.7	1.43
Enes Kanter	54	53	-0.30	-0.20	-0.09	-0.03	-9	2	-11	12.3	11.7	0.60	12.8	14.4	-1.65
Norris Cole	24	21	-0.34	-0.16	-0.18	0.16	-17	10	-27	13.7	11.5	2.16	13.4	13.7	-0.32
Doug McDermott	84	80	-0.48	-0.02	-0.46	-0.24	-8	1	-9	11.9	12.2	-0.28	14.0	12.8	1.21

Phoenix Suns
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jared Dudley	60	61	0.66	-0.16	0.82	0.13	18	-11	29	13.9	13.3	0.63	12.0	11.9	0.08
Tyler Ulis	49	49	0.52	-0.02	0.54	0.02	17	-10	27	13.2	14.0	-0.74	12.9	11.2	1.72
Leandro Barbosa	45	46	0.42	0.08	0.35	0.19	8	-1	9	14.1	13.3	0.78	11.8	12.1	-0.34
Alan Williams	70	73	0.35	0.15	0.20	0.26	3	4	-1	13.6	13.7	-0.11	11.3	13.1	-1.83
Derrick Jones, Jr.	31	32	0.34	0.16	0.17	0.10	8	-1	9	14.6	13.3	1.34	14.0	11.2	2.80
Devin Booker	83	83	0.14	0.36	-0.22	0.20	-2	9	-11	13.1	15.1	-1.97	11.1	14.4	-3.36
TJ Warren	66	68	0.08	0.42	-0.35	0.11	-1	8	-9	12.5	15.3	-2.86	11.7	12.3	-0.54
Alex Len	26	26	0.04	0.47	-0.43	0.06	-1	8	-9	14.9	13.3	1.67	13.7	11.4	2.29
Marquese Chriss	60	58	0.00	0.50	-0.49	0.12	-4	11	-15	13.9	13.4	0.52	12.7	11.2	1.42
Eric Bledsoe	70	69	-0.04	0.54	-0.59	0.28	-11	18	-29	14.0	13.0	1.03	11.2	13.2	-2.03

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.45,0.48,0.42,0.38,0.37,0.41,0.41,0.37,0.31,0.31,0.32,0.37,0.42,0.45,0.44,0.49,0.44,0.51,0.64,0.64,0.61,0.59,0.64,0.54,0.71,0.77,0.75,0.67,0.7,0.82,0.85,0.81,0.66,0.67,0.75,0.81,0.87,0.91,0.95,0.97,0.94,0.96,0.94,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.99,1
Game		Similarity Score
BOS 85, MIL 92	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.45,0.5,0.46,0.44,0.47,0.39,0.41,0.35,0.31,0.32,0.34,0.37,0.38,0.36,0.4,0.49,0.58,0.64,0.64,0.61,0.51,0.59,0.67,0.69,0.75,0.67,0.61,0.64,0.71,0.68,0.71,0.66,0.7,0.75,0.78,0.87,0.93,0.95,0.98,0.99,0.98,0.96,0.97,1,1,1,1	94.4%
DEN 95, DAL 115	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.46,0.45,0.39,0.44,0.47,0.47,0.51,0.43,0.38,0.38,0.4,0.47,0.45,0.49,0.53,0.54,0.56,0.61,0.69,0.67,0.61,0.67,0.58,0.71,0.72,0.75,0.75,0.73,0.82,0.85,0.89,0.83,0.74,0.82,0.85,0.93,0.93,0.95,0.91,0.96,0.96,0.98,1,1,1,1,1	94.4%
POR 111, GSW 136	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.45,0.43,0.52,0.51,0.51,0.47,0.4,0.37,0.33,0.3,0.35,0.38,0.47,0.53,0.53,0.44,0.44,0.56,0.54,0.58,0.56,0.56,0.7,0.74,0.77,0.73,0.67,0.73,0.79,0.77,0.76,0.72,0.74,0.79,0.92,0.95,0.97,0.95,0.93,0.97,0.98,0.98,1,1,1,1,1	94.0%