NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

New Orleans Pelicans	110		Excitement	7.8 [305]		MVP	Russell Westbrook (OKC): +29.7%
Oklahoma City Thunder	118		Comeback	2.1 [828]		LVP	Jrue Holiday (NOP): -20.6%

New Orleans Pelicans
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
DeMarcus Cousins	0.26	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.12,0.1,0.15,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.21,0.22,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.2,0.18,0.15,0.2,0.26,0.26,0.26	0.19	0.08	0.00	15	69%	0.30	1	-0.04	15	100%	0.14
E'Twaun Moore	0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.02	0.09	-0.01	8	56%	0.13	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Anthony Davis	0.09	0,0,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.1,0.13,0.15,0.15,0.17,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.18,0.23,0.2,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.14,0.14,0.16,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.07,0.09	0.20	-0.08	0.02	28	61%	0.14	1	-0.05	6	100%	0.03
Solomon Hill	0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.05	0.03	-0.01	3	70%	0.09	0	0.00	4	100%	0.05
Dante Cunningham	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.00	0.01	-0.00	2	75%	0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Hollis Thompson	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.03	-0.01	0.01	4	70%	0.03	1	-0.03	2	50%	-0.02
Tim Frazier	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.05	0.02	-0.00	4	20%	-0.02	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.03
Alexis Ajinca	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.02	-0.02	0.00	1	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Donatas Motiejunas	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.00	-0.00	6	33%	-0.04	0	0.00	6	33%	-0.09
Jrue Holiday	-0.21	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.21,-0.21	-0.14	-0.07	-0.01	9	33%	-0.08	5	-0.13	0	0%	0.00

Oklahoma City Thunder
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Russell Westbrook	0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.06,-0.07,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.14,-0.11,-0.13,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.15,-0.15,-0.18,-0.11,-0.16,-0.13,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.1,-0.01,0.03,-0.06,0,0.26,0.29,0.3	0.30	0.00	0.32	0.02	29	59%	0.53	9	-0.23	12	92%	0.05
Andre Roberson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.10	0.01	0.00	4	112%	0.11	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Enes Kanter	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.12,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.08	0.02	0.02	9	71%	0.13	2	-0.05	10	80%	0.04
Alex Abrines	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.13,0.13,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.04	0.02	-0.01	12	50%	0.07	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Jerami Grant	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.07,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.04	-0.01	0.00	3	78%	0.07	1	-0.04	3	100%	0.02
Domantas Sabonis	0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.03	0.01	-0.00	3	57%	0.04	0	0.00	1	0%	-0.02
Doug McDermott	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.03	0.03	-0.00	4	25%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Steven Adams	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,0	-0.00	0.04	-0.03	0.01	10	52%	-0.00	0	0.00	5	20%	-0.08
Semaj Christon	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.04	0.02	-0.01	5	25%	-0.01	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.02
Taj Gibson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.05,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.07	-0.00	-0.01	9	30%	-0.04	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.02

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.4	2.3	28.7	13.8	29.4	1.8	40.2	141.7
league avg	24.8	2.3	29.6	15.7	26.8	2.3	33.5	136.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

OKC +38.0%

NOP -4.9%

OKC +23.2%

NOP -4.7%

NOP -1.5%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	NOP	OKC	NBA	NOP	OKC	NBA
this game	14.6	14.5	14.8	111.1	119.2	107.7
season	14.1	14.0		104.1	107.0
opponent	15.1	15.0		106.7	106.2

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
NOP	13.2	16.1	14.9	14.2	14.6
OKC	14.5	12.7	15.1	15.8	14.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

New Orleans Pelicans
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
DeMarcus Cousins	43	44	-0.02	-0.48	0.46	-0.08	2	-10	12	15.9	13.6	2.24	13.8	15.1	-1.26
Alexis Ajinca	10	9	-0.02	-0.48	0.45	-0.05	1	-9	10	12.9	14.8	-1.89	18.4	14.1	4.34
Tim Frazier	30	31	-0.14	-0.36	0.22	-0.05	-3	-5	2	14.3	14.7	-0.38	14.3	14.6	-0.34
Solomon Hill	65	63	-0.15	-0.35	0.20	-0.21	2	-10	12	15.0	13.7	1.31	14.6	14.4	0.17
Hollis Thompson	64	63	-0.18	-0.32	0.14	-0.09	-3	-5	2	14.0	15.6	-1.55	14.6	14.3	0.25
Dante Cunningham	44	45	-0.27	-0.23	-0.04	-0.04	-8	0	-8	14.5	14.7	-0.17	14.6	14.4	0.15
Donatas Motiejunas	49	49	-0.32	-0.18	-0.14	-0.17	-5	-3	-2	14.0	15.2	-1.14	14.1	14.8	-0.70
Anthony Davis	66	67	-0.35	-0.15	-0.21	-0.18	-6	-2	-4	14.5	14.8	-0.29	14.4	14.6	-0.19
Jrue Holiday	69	68	-0.36	-0.14	-0.22	-0.21	-5	-3	-2	14.7	14.3	0.38	14.6	14.3	0.34
E'Twaun Moore	55	56	-0.68	0.18	-0.86	-0.24	-15	7	-22	14.7	14.4	0.30	14.6	14.4	0.13

Oklahoma City Thunder
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Enes Kanter	50	50	0.74	-0.24	0.97	0.12	21	-13	34	14.7	14.2	0.50	14.9	14.3	0.53
Jerami Grant	44	45	0.52	-0.02	0.54	0.37	5	3	2	14.0	14.9	-0.81	14.2	14.9	-0.64
Alex Abrines	72	72	0.43	0.07	0.36	0.20	8	0	8	14.6	14.2	0.38	14.6	14.7	-0.10
Russell Westbrook	76	76	0.33	0.17	0.17	0.25	3	5	-2	14.4	14.7	-0.20	14.7	14.4	0.27
Doug McDermott	47	48	0.29	0.21	0.08	-0.00	10	-2	12	14.1	14.8	-0.74	14.8	14.4	0.34
Andre Roberson	61	60	0.19	0.31	-0.12	0.10	3	5	-2	14.5	14.4	0.08	15.4	13.4	2.04
Semaj Christon	23	23	0.17	0.33	-0.17	0.02	5	3	2	14.7	14.4	0.20	14.4	14.7	-0.27
Taj Gibson	43	42	-0.01	0.51	-0.53	-0.07	2	6	-4	14.8	14.2	0.56	14.9	14.4	0.45
Steven Adams	62	61	-0.02	0.52	-0.54	0.21	-8	16	-24	14.3	14.8	-0.50	14.0	15.6	-1.64
Domantas Sabonis	17	18	-0.13	0.63	-0.76	0.13	-9	17	-26	15.4	14.3	1.04	13.2	14.9	-1.68

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.45,0.42,0.42,0.36,0.36,0.37,0.4,0.42,0.42,0.43,0.45,0.51,0.47,0.42,0.37,0.34,0.46,0.44,0.46,0.46,0.51,0.5,0.46,0.49,0.55,0.61,0.55,0.55,0.59,0.41,0.52,0.52,0.56,0.62,0.57,0.48,0.62,0.63,0.73,0.89,0.9,0.86,0.72,0.85,0.99,1
Game		Similarity Score
HOU 85, MEM 93	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.48,0.48,0.5,0.46,0.41,0.36,0.37,0.43,0.38,0.34,0.35,0.38,0.49,0.38,0.42,0.44,0.42,0.34,0.39,0.39,0.44,0.46,0.42,0.51,0.49,0.58,0.64,0.57,0.49,0.48,0.62,0.56,0.48,0.6,0.54,0.52,0.53,0.67,0.72,0.79,0.92,0.97,0.95,0.79,0.76,0.99,1	93.6%
MEM 128, WAS 135	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.46,0.49,0.47,0.42,0.4,0.37,0.4,0.38,0.38,0.38,0.46,0.4,0.34,0.29,0.38,0.33,0.39,0.44,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.54,0.52,0.61,0.58,0.61,0.52,0.45,0.45,0.56,0.56,0.52,0.58,0.52,0.57,0.53,0.68,0.63,0.76,0.87,0.86,0.85,0.97,0.91,1	93.4%
BOS 77, MIL 86	0.5,0.49,0.45,0.45,0.48,0.47,0.44,0.43,0.47,0.49,0.43,0.4,0.45,0.43,0.42,0.46,0.42,0.38,0.42,0.44,0.44,0.44,0.42,0.51,0.46,0.5,0.54,0.55,0.55,0.55,0.61,0.62,0.68,0.69,0.66,0.56,0.55,0.58,0.66,0.57,0.67,0.68,0.79,0.81,0.9,0.93,0.79,0.77,0.95,1	92.9%