NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Houston Rockets	85		Excitement	7.2 [368]		MVP	Wayne Ellington (MEM): +14.4%
Memphis Grizzlies	93		Comeback	2.5 [790]		LVP	James Harden (HOU): -19.7%

Houston Rockets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Chandler Parsons	0.12	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.18,0.18,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.12,0.12	0.08	0.05	0.00	13	73%	0.23	3	-0.11	0	0%	0.00
Jeremy Lin	0.02	0,0,0,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.13,-0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.03	0.03	10	65%	0.14	4	-0.12	3	100%	0.02
Marcus Morris	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.00	0.00	-0.01	6	42%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Cole Aldrich	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.00	3	33%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Daequan Cook	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Carlos Delfino	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.04	-0.03	-0.02	9	44%	0.01	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Patrick Patterson	-0.06	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.04	-0.02	-0.00	10	40%	-0.01	1	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Omer Asik	-0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.04	-0.06	0.00	6	71%	0.09	5	-0.19	2	100%	0.01
James Harden	-0.20	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.1,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.22,-0.12,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.14,-0.19,-0.19,-0.2	-0.15	-0.07	-0.02	18	39%	-0.05	5	-0.15	10	90%	0.01

Memphis Grizzlies
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Wayne Ellington	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.15,0.15,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.14	0.03	0.10	-0.02	4	62%	0.14	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jerryd Bayless	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.06	0.04	0.01	8	67%	0.11	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.02
Mike Conley	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.05,0.07,0.07	0.07	-0.04	0.09	-0.02	13	45%	0.13	2	-0.06	5	60%	-0.01
Zach Randolph	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.03	0.02	-0.02	13	47%	0.04	2	-0.03	6	83%	0.01
Rudy Gay	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,0.03,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0,0,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.00	0.03	0.02	19	50%	0.07	2	-0.06	4	50%	-0.02
Tony Allen	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	0.01	0.01	9	40%	-0.01	0	0.00	2	100%	0.02
Quincy Pondexter	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.04	-0.00	-0.01	7	36%	-0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Marreese Speights	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.12,-0.12,-0.08,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.05	-0.02	-0.00	9	32%	-0.07	0	0.00	4	75%	-0.01
Marc Gasol	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.13	-0.10	-0.04	-0.02	12	25%	-0.10	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.8	1.8	29.2	14.7	26.4	1.8	34.0	131.7
league avg	24.8	2.3	29.5	14.0	26.8	2.3	33.1	134.3

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

HOU -15.2%

MEM +6.1%

MEM +13.6%

MEM +44.5%

MEM +1.0%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	HOU	MEM	NBA	HOU	MEM	NBA
this game	15.0	16.8	15.4	93.4	103.3	104.1
season	14.2	16.5		107.9	102.9
opponent	15.5	15.4		99.1	105.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
HOU	15.2	14.1	15.1	15.6	15.0
MEM	20.0	15.9	14.9	17.1	16.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Houston Rockets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Daequan Cook	14	15	-0.06	-0.44	0.38	-0.00	-2	-6	4	12.2	15.5	-3.28	16.4	16.9	-0.53
Cole Aldrich	11	11	-0.10	-0.40	0.31	0.08	-6	-2	-4	11.5	15.5	-3.92	15.4	17.1	-1.69
Carlos Delfino	53	53	-0.24	-0.26	0.01	-0.21	-1	-7	6	13.6	17.0	-3.41	17.2	16.4	0.75
Omer Asik	75	74	-0.27	-0.23	-0.05	-0.30	1	-9	10	15.3	13.7	1.50	17.2	15.1	2.09
Chandler Parsons	70	69	-0.29	-0.21	-0.08	-0.26	-1	-7	6	15.2	14.4	0.73	17.2	15.7	1.54
Patrick Patterson	58	57	-0.30	-0.20	-0.10	-0.21	-3	-5	2	15.9	13.4	2.55	17.1	16.4	0.66
James Harden	74	73	-0.31	-0.19	-0.12	-0.25	-2	-6	4	15.1	14.5	0.64	17.6	13.8	3.80
Marcus Morris	30	29	-0.31	-0.19	-0.12	0.04	-12	4	-16	14.6	15.2	-0.63	14.9	17.8	-2.87
Jeremy Lin	70	69	-0.61	0.11	-0.72	-0.20	-14	6	-20	16.0	11.6	4.38	16.0	19.5	-3.43

Memphis Grizzlies
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Zach Randolph	79	79	0.77	-0.27	1.04	0.24	18	-10	28	16.6	18.4	-1.73	15.2	13.3	1.91
Quincy Pondexter	54	55	0.56	-0.06	0.61	0.20	12	-4	16	16.9	16.7	0.16	14.5	15.7	-1.12
Wayne Ellington	35	34	0.55	-0.05	0.60	0.20	12	-4	16	16.7	17.0	-0.31	14.2	15.5	-1.25
Marreese Speights	38	39	0.44	0.06	0.37	0.17	9	-1	10	17.0	16.7	0.27	14.7	15.2	-0.47
Jerryd Bayless	35	35	0.40	0.10	0.30	0.14	9	-1	10	16.1	17.3	-1.19	14.5	15.3	-0.77
Marc Gasol	60	61	-0.03	0.53	-0.56	0.09	-4	12	-16	17.0	16.6	0.42	15.2	14.6	0.58
Mike Conley	56	58	-0.04	0.54	-0.58	0.08	-4	12	-16	17.5	15.8	1.64	15.2	14.6	0.60
Rudy Gay	55	57	-0.05	0.55	-0.60	0.13	-6	14	-20	16.8	17.0	-0.21	15.4	14.4	0.97
Tony Allen	38	37	-0.10	0.60	-0.69	0.08	-6	14	-20	16.9	16.8	0.04	15.4	14.7	0.61

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.49,0.48,0.48,0.5,0.46,0.41,0.36,0.37,0.43,0.38,0.34,0.35,0.38,0.49,0.38,0.42,0.44,0.42,0.34,0.39,0.39,0.44,0.46,0.42,0.51,0.49,0.58,0.64,0.57,0.49,0.48,0.62,0.56,0.48,0.6,0.54,0.52,0.53,0.67,0.72,0.79,0.92,0.97,0.95,0.79,0.76,0.99,1
Game		Similarity Score
NOP 110, OKC 118	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.45,0.42,0.42,0.36,0.36,0.37,0.4,0.42,0.42,0.43,0.45,0.51,0.47,0.42,0.37,0.34,0.46,0.44,0.46,0.46,0.51,0.5,0.46,0.49,0.55,0.61,0.55,0.55,0.59,0.41,0.52,0.52,0.56,0.62,0.57,0.48,0.62,0.63,0.73,0.89,0.9,0.86,0.72,0.85,0.99,1	93.6%
BOS 77, MIL 86	0.5,0.49,0.45,0.45,0.48,0.47,0.44,0.43,0.47,0.49,0.43,0.4,0.45,0.43,0.42,0.46,0.42,0.38,0.42,0.44,0.44,0.44,0.42,0.51,0.46,0.5,0.54,0.55,0.55,0.55,0.61,0.62,0.68,0.69,0.66,0.56,0.55,0.58,0.66,0.57,0.67,0.68,0.79,0.81,0.9,0.93,0.79,0.77,0.95,1	93.4%
DAL 92, IND 97	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.43,0.43,0.39,0.44,0.41,0.47,0.49,0.45,0.42,0.36,0.35,0.4,0.44,0.42,0.4,0.39,0.44,0.41,0.44,0.49,0.39,0.44,0.49,0.54,0.48,0.58,0.61,0.64,0.48,0.59,0.59,0.59,0.63,0.52,0.62,0.62,0.47,0.58,0.63,0.79,0.81,0.9,0.97,0.95,0.98,0.96,1	92.8%