NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Dallas Mavericks	92		Excitement	6.2 [536]		MVP	Howard Eisley (DAL): +23.2%
Indiana Pacers	97		Comeback	1.9 [660]		LVP	Dirk Nowitzki (DAL): -16.5%

Dallas Mavericks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Howard Eisley	0.23	0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.09,0.13,0.19,0.19,0.27,0.26,0.28,0.28,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.25,0.25,0.23	0.14	0.09	-0.00	15	79%	0.32	3	-0.09	4	100%	0.02
Michael Finley	0.01	0,0,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.05,0.03,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.11,0.11,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.02	0.00	0.02	21	56%	0.11	3	-0.11	1	100%	0.01
Shawn Bradley	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01	0.01	-0.02	0.00	1	100%	0.03	1	-0.04	2	100%	0.01
Eduardo Najera	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Christian Laettner	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	0.01	-0.03	0.01	7	68%	0.04	2	-0.06	5	100%	0.02
Loy Vaught	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.03	-0.03	-0.02	5	40%	-0.04	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Hubert Davis	-0.13	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.06	-0.07	0.00	2	33%	-0.04	2	-0.09	2	100%	0.01
Steve Nash	-0.14	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.11,-0.14	-0.08	-0.06	0.00	14	45%	-0.01	4	-0.13	1	100%	0.01
Dirk Nowitzki	-0.17	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.13,-0.16,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.16,-0.16	-0.14	-0.04	-0.01	10	21%	-0.15	1	-0.02	4	75%	-0.00

Indiana Pacers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Reggie Miller	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.17,0.13,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.2,0.2,0.2	0.20	0.12	0.09	0.01	12	81%	0.30	3	-0.10	3	67%	0.01
Travis Best	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.04,-0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.13	0.01	0.11	-0.01	14	50%	0.16	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.00
Jalen Rose	0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.08,0.08,0.12,0.12,0.16,0.13,0.13,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.1	0.10	0.05	0.05	-0.00	17	62%	0.14	2	-0.04	5	60%	0.02
Austin Croshere	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.01	3	50%	-0.00	1	-0.01	2	50%	-0.01
Al Harrington	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.02	-0.03	-0.01	3	60%	0.02	1	-0.05	4	50%	-0.02
Jeff Foster	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.03	-0.01	0.00	7	37%	-0.04	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.04
Derrick McKey	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.05	-0.01	-0.00	5	40%	-0.01	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Jermaine O'Neal	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08	-0.08	-0.06	-0.03	-0.01	9	53%	-0.00	2	-0.08	12	67%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	22.1	2.6	28.3	16.6	21.8	1.8	42.2	135.5
league avg	28.8	2.2	28.9	16.6	26.2	2.2	33.1	139.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

IND +41.9%

DAL -9.1%

IND +6.6%

IND +12.4%

DAL -1.8%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	DAL	IND	NBA	DAL	IND	NBA
this game	17.0	15.2	15.5	102.2	109.0	100.9
season	15.2	15.9		104.6	99.3
opponent	15.6	15.3		99.9	101.2

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
DAL	16.7	17.5	17.6	16.0	17.0
IND	16.0	15.2	15.1	14.6	15.2

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Dallas Mavericks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Shawn Bradley	28	26	0.05	-0.55	0.60	-0.12	6	-11	17	15.9	17.4	-1.54	17.5	14.3	3.18
Christian Laettner	53	53	-0.05	-0.45	0.40	-0.02	-1	-4	3	17.2	16.7	0.48	14.5	16.3	-1.83
Eduardo Najera	10	11	-0.06	-0.44	0.38	0.06	-4	-1	-3	18.7	16.7	1.96	18.9	14.7	4.22
Howard Eisley	78	76	-0.11	-0.39	0.28	-0.08	-1	-4	3	16.9	17.1	-0.15	14.6	18.8	-4.25
Loy Vaught	31	27	-0.38	-0.12	-0.26	-0.26	-4	-1	-3	16.7	17.1	-0.38	15.7	15.0	0.70
Michael Finley	84	81	-0.41	-0.09	-0.32	-0.32	-3	-2	-1	17.2	14.2	2.99	15.3	14.5	0.78
Hubert Davis	33	32	-0.44	-0.06	-0.38	-0.20	-8	3	-11	16.2	17.4	-1.27	16.7	14.4	2.35
Steve Nash	71	73	-0.47	-0.03	-0.43	-0.44	-1	-4	3	16.9	17.1	-0.19	14.7	17.5	-2.79
Dirk Nowitzki	62	66	-0.64	0.14	-0.78	-0.38	-9	4	-13	17.3	16.1	1.23	14.6	17.1	-2.53

Indiana Pacers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Derrick McKey	58	57	0.71	-0.21	0.92	0.39	11	-6	17	15.4	14.9	0.43	17.1	16.6	0.50
Reggie Miller	84	86	0.57	-0.07	0.64	0.37	7	-2	9	14.8	21.6	-6.77	17.0	16.2	0.74
Jalen Rose	84	85	0.49	0.01	0.47	0.40	3	2	1	14.9	20.0	-5.07	16.9	18.4	-1.53
Jermaine O'Neal	56	57	0.46	0.04	0.42	0.22	8	-3	11	14.2	16.9	-2.69	17.6	15.8	1.84
Travis Best	84	85	0.43	0.07	0.36	0.34	3	2	1	15.2	16.2	-1.05	16.8	19.0	-2.16
Jeff Foster	45	45	0.07	0.43	-0.37	0.07	0	5	-5	17.2	13.2	3.97	17.0	16.9	0.04
Austin Croshere	10	11	-0.10	0.60	-0.70	0.08	-6	11	-17	13.9	15.4	-1.48	17.0	16.9	0.05
Al Harrington	24	24	-0.12	0.62	-0.75	-0.09	-1	6	-7	16.6	14.7	1.88	15.5	17.5	-2.04

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.49,0.43,0.43,0.39,0.44,0.41,0.47,0.49,0.45,0.42,0.36,0.35,0.4,0.44,0.42,0.4,0.39,0.44,0.41,0.44,0.49,0.39,0.44,0.49,0.54,0.48,0.58,0.61,0.64,0.48,0.59,0.59,0.59,0.63,0.52,0.62,0.62,0.47,0.58,0.63,0.79,0.81,0.9,0.97,0.95,0.98,0.96,1
Game		Similarity Score
MIL 77, CHI 85	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.52,0.51,0.52,0.49,0.47,0.49,0.55,0.51,0.42,0.42,0.35,0.4,0.35,0.4,0.38,0.46,0.47,0.44,0.41,0.44,0.49,0.46,0.5,0.51,0.6,0.58,0.61,0.52,0.45,0.59,0.62,0.52,0.52,0.56,0.58,0.52,0.43,0.57,0.73,0.86,0.96,0.98,1,1,1,1,1	93.8%
BOS 77, MIL 86	0.5,0.49,0.45,0.45,0.48,0.47,0.44,0.43,0.47,0.49,0.43,0.4,0.45,0.43,0.42,0.46,0.42,0.38,0.42,0.44,0.44,0.44,0.42,0.51,0.46,0.5,0.54,0.55,0.55,0.55,0.61,0.62,0.68,0.69,0.66,0.56,0.55,0.58,0.66,0.57,0.67,0.68,0.79,0.81,0.9,0.93,0.79,0.77,0.95,1	93.6%
POR 105, SAS 116	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.45,0.47,0.48,0.45,0.45,0.45,0.47,0.49,0.4,0.48,0.51,0.51,0.4,0.44,0.44,0.41,0.39,0.44,0.44,0.44,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.54,0.64,0.55,0.64,0.52,0.48,0.58,0.59,0.52,0.64,0.66,0.74,0.62,0.53,0.58,0.74,0.97,0.97,0.96,1,1,1,1	93.6%