NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Charlotte Hornets	85		Excitement	7.4 [384]		MVP	Kyle Lowry (TOR): +31.8%
Toronto Raptors	90		Comeback	50.0 [61]		LVP	Nicolas Batum (CHA): -28.1%

Charlotte Hornets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Frank Kaminsky	0.25	0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.04,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.1,0.1,0.13,0.13,0.15,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.13,0.13,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.25,0.25	0.15	0.12	0.02	18	71%	0.34	2	-0.09	2	100%	0.01
Kemba Walker	0.16	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.07,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.1,0.1,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.1,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16	0.13	0.04	0.01	15	75%	0.24	3	-0.08	2	100%	0.02
Jeremy Lamb	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	-0.00	-0.01	5	60%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Brian Roberts	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	0.00	2	50%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Mike Tobey	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.01	-0.00	0.00	3	33%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Treveon Graham	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	0.00	-0.01	2	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Marco Belinelli	-0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.08	-0.02	0.01	6	25%	-0.06	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Michael Kidd-Gilchrist	-0.15	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15	-0.08	-0.07	-0.00	7	37%	-0.04	3	-0.12	2	100%	0.01
Marvin Williams	-0.15	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.13,-0.15,-0.15	-0.07	-0.09	-0.01	9	28%	-0.12	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Nicolas Batum	-0.28	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.12,-0.2,-0.2,-0.26,-0.26,-0.35,-0.28	-0.10	-0.20	-0.02	9	48%	0.02	6	-0.30	3	67%	-0.01

Toronto Raptors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kyle Lowry	0,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.1,0.21,0.12,0.12,0.18,0.15,0.12,0.34,0.32	0.32	0.05	0.26	-0.01	20	51%	0.33	1	-0.01	1	100%	0.02
Delon Wright	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.07	0.02	0.00	5	69%	0.09	0	0.00	6	83%	0.01
Norman Powell	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.05	-0.01	0.00	12	57%	0.08	2	-0.05	6	67%	-0.01
Jonas Valanciunas	0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.01,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	0.03	-0.02	0.03	6	71%	0.03	2	-0.07	2	100%	0.01
DeMarre Carroll	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.1,-0.1,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.05	-0.05	-0.00	-0.03	0.02	13	46%	-0.03	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Lucas Nogueira	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.04	-0.01	0.00	0	0%	0.00	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Cory Joseph	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.00	-0.06	0.00	6	50%	0.01	1	-0.08	0	0%	0.00
Jakob Poeltl	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.1,-0.04,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.05	-0.07	-0.02	3	33%	-0.04	2	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
DeMar DeRozan	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.12,-0.16,-0.18,-0.2,-0.2,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.21,-0.18,-0.21,-0.21,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24	-0.24	-0.18	-0.09	-0.04	19	25%	-0.17	3	-0.07	2	0%	-0.03

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.0	1.8	26.3	15.4	24.5	2.5	33.7	128.1
league avg	24.8	2.3	29.6	15.7	26.8	2.3	33.5	136.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

CHA -16.8%

TOR +10.4%

TOR +38.4%

TOR +16.9%

TOR +1.0%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	CHA	TOR	NBA	CHA	TOR	NBA
this game	15.1	15.4	14.8	91.4	93.8	107.7
season	15.1	15.2		107.9	110.0
opponent	14.9	14.8		106.9	107.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
CHA	13.8	14.9	14.8	16.8	15.1
TOR	14.4	15.8	17.9	13.9	15.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Charlotte Hornets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jeremy Lamb	21	23	0.12	-0.62	0.75	0.15	-1	-4	3	16.7	14.6	2.08	15.7	15.3	0.42
Marco Belinelli	41	42	-0.03	-0.47	0.45	-0.03	0	-5	5	16.8	13.7	3.13	14.7	16.0	-1.25
Treveon Graham	9	9	-0.09	-0.41	0.32	-0.00	-3	-2	-1	17.9	14.7	3.14	15.4	15.4	0.03
Brian Roberts	10	10	-0.11	-0.39	0.28	0.03	-5	0	-5	17.6	14.7	2.85	14.3	15.5	-1.25
Michael Kidd-Gilchrist	70	73	-0.13	-0.37	0.24	-0.42	10	-15	25	14.0	18.1	-4.09	16.1	13.3	2.84
Mike Tobey	21	22	-0.15	-0.35	0.19	0.20	-12	7	-19	17.4	14.4	3.01	15.0	15.5	-0.48
Frank Kaminsky	72	74	-0.35	-0.15	-0.19	-0.55	7	-12	19	14.4	17.4	-3.01	15.5	15.0	0.48
Kemba Walker	83	86	-0.39	-0.11	-0.28	-0.39	0	-5	5	14.7	17.6	-2.85	15.5	14.3	1.25
Nicolas Batum	61	63	-0.64	0.14	-0.77	-0.40	-8	3	-11	14.2	16.6	-2.40	15.6	15.2	0.40
Marvin Williams	77	78	-0.74	0.24	-0.98	-0.36	-13	8	-21	14.9	15.7	-0.77	14.9	17.4	-2.50

Toronto Raptors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jakob Poeltl	24	23	0.98	-0.48	1.45	0.33	22	-17	39	13.9	15.9	-2.06	16.8	14.5	2.35
DeMarre Carroll	80	78	0.80	-0.30	1.10	0.33	16	-11	27	14.9	17.7	-2.80	15.0	15.5	-0.57
Cory Joseph	48	47	0.80	-0.30	1.09	0.36	15	-10	25	14.5	16.3	-1.79	16.9	13.1	3.81
Delon Wright	54	52	0.72	-0.22	0.94	0.40	11	-6	17	15.5	15.3	0.15	16.4	13.4	2.98
Kyle Lowry	83	81	0.66	-0.16	0.82	0.36	10	-5	15	15.6	14.2	1.46	14.5	18.8	-4.34
Jonas Valanciunas	44	42	-0.21	0.71	-0.92	-0.06	-5	10	-15	15.1	15.7	-0.56	13.2	16.6	-3.35
Lucas Nogueira	28	28	-0.27	0.77	-1.03	0.08	-12	17	-29	17.2	14.7	2.54	16.4	14.5	1.86
DeMar DeRozan	62	60	-0.47	0.97	-1.45	-0.03	-15	20	-35	15.8	14.7	1.15	14.3	16.4	-2.12
Norman Powell	57	54	-0.50	1.00	-1.50	0.00	-17	22	-39	16.0	14.5	1.52	14.0	16.6	-2.60

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.58,0.58,0.52,0.54,0.48,0.53,0.64,0.63,0.7,0.67,0.7,0.72,0.72,0.78,0.75,0.75,0.72,0.7,0.75,0.76,0.77,0.58,0.59,0.54,0.49,0.43,0.39,0.33,0.33,0.39,0.22,0.19,0.15,0.11,0.11,0.02,0.03,0.09,0.24,0.37,0.53,0.53,0.61,0.68,0.79,0.77,0.98,1
Game		Similarity Score
LAC 106, CLE 111	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.57,0.52,0.55,0.59,0.6,0.67,0.69,0.71,0.68,0.68,0.71,0.66,0.65,0.58,0.63,0.62,0.62,0.69,0.67,0.54,0.51,0.54,0.52,0.51,0.42,0.42,0.29,0.22,0.19,0.17,0.16,0.15,0.19,0.22,0.26,0.38,0.53,0.53,0.71,0.67,0.61,0.71,0.84,0.85,1	91.2%
UTA 97, DAL 100	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.52,0.54,0.54,0.52,0.55,0.61,0.65,0.65,0.69,0.71,0.74,0.68,0.74,0.65,0.67,0.65,0.56,0.66,0.59,0.61,0.54,0.54,0.58,0.58,0.57,0.58,0.42,0.39,0.38,0.38,0.38,0.28,0.22,0.11,0.1,0.22,0.24,0.24,0.28,0.41,0.54,0.54,0.69,0.89,0.95,0.92,1	90.7%
BOS 100, LAC 103	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.54,0.56,0.56,0.53,0.57,0.61,0.6,0.66,0.75,0.75,0.74,0.72,0.76,0.81,0.76,0.72,0.7,0.69,0.69,0.64,0.59,0.67,0.6,0.52,0.55,0.42,0.3,0.29,0.25,0.35,0.27,0.29,0.29,0.19,0.22,0.25,0.38,0.37,0.59,0.71,0.67,0.74,0.84,0.94,0.98,1	90.7%