NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

New Orleans Pelicans	110		Excitement	10.3 [54]		MVP	Anthony Davis (NOP): +40.4%
Phoenix Suns	108		Comeback	4.2 [210]		LVP	Tyreke Evans (NOP): -13.1%

New Orleans Pelicans
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Anthony Davis	0.40	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,0.01,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.07,0.21,0.4	0.05	0.36	0.01	16	60%	0.50	3	-0.09	8	100%	0.06
E'Twaun Moore	0.20	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.2,0.2,0.2	0.08	0.13	0.00	11	60%	0.20	0	0.00	3	100%	0.01
Langston Galloway	0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.05	0.04	0.00	6	75%	0.13	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Solomon Hill	0.07	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.01	0.01	5	67%	0.10	1	-0.03	8	87%	0.02
Alexis Ajinca	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.03	0.01	-0.00	5	42%	0.00	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.02
Buddy Hield	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	0.00	-0.04	0.01	7	47%	-0.01	1	-0.03	3	67%	-0.01
Donatas Motiejunas	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,0,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.04	-0.02	0.00	6	33%	-0.03	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Jrue Holiday	-0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,-0.02,-0.02,-0.11,-0.11	-0.01	-0.10	0.00	11	64%	0.17	5	-0.28	6	67%	-0.03
Tyreke Evans	-0.13	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.1,-0.06,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.06,0.13,0.13,0.02,-0.13	-0.00	-0.13	0.00	11	56%	-0.03	3	-0.10	5	60%	-0.04

Phoenix Suns
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Eric Bledsoe	0,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.09,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.11,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.22,0.14,0.14,0.04,0.01,0.13,0.18	0.18	0.13	0.07	0.02	22	64%	0.43	5	-0.25	14	86%	0.04
Devin Booker	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.07,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.11	-0.02	0.13	0.00	19	54%	0.24	5	-0.13	1	100%	0.02
Brandon Knight	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.09,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.04	-0.00	0.00	8	58%	0.07	1	-0.04	3	67%	-0.00
Jared Dudley	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.01	0.01	0.00	4	62%	0.06	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Tyson Chandler	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.01	0.01	-0.00	3	50%	0.02	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Leandro Barbosa	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.03	0.02	-0.00	4	25%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Marquese Chriss	0,0,-0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.06	-0.00	-0.01	9	35%	-0.03	1	-0.01	2	50%	-0.01
PJ Tucker	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.17,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,-0.07	-0.07	-0.02	-0.05	0.00	11	50%	0.05	2	-0.12	0	0%	0.00
TJ Warren	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.07	-0.03	-0.00	3	0%	-0.06	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Alex Len	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.04	-0.07	-0.00	10	45%	-0.03	2	-0.07	2	100%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	28.3	2.4	28.6	15.4	26.4	2.4	33.6	137.1
league avg	24.8	2.3	29.6	15.7	26.8	2.3	33.5	136.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

NOP +26.6%

NOP +3.5%

NOP +4.0%

NOP +9.6%

NOP +6.3%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	NOP	PHX	NBA	NOP	PHX	NBA
this game	14.1	14.4	14.8	107.8	108.0	107.7
season	14.1	13.9		104.1	105.4
opponent	14.5	15.0		110.3	106.2

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
NOP	13.9	14.0	13.4	15.2	14.1
PHX	13.3	14.8	14.3	15.4	14.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

New Orleans Pelicans
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jrue Holiday	77	76	0.65	-0.15	0.81	0.48	6	-4	10	14.5	12.8	1.68	14.0	15.6	-1.60
Langston Galloway	49	47	0.56	-0.06	0.61	0.21	12	-10	22	14.0	14.2	-0.21	14.7	14.1	0.63
Tyreke Evans	53	50	0.49	0.01	0.48	0.43	2	0	2	14.2	14.0	0.13	15.1	13.7	1.42
Anthony Davis	87	85	0.33	0.17	0.17	0.36	-1	3	-4	14.2	13.8	0.36	14.1	16.4	-2.34
E'Twaun Moore	50	49	0.15	0.35	-0.20	0.47	-11	13	-24	14.2	14.1	0.10	15.3	13.5	1.76
Alexis Ajinca	40	42	0.14	0.36	-0.21	-0.00	5	-3	8	13.3	14.6	-1.25	14.6	14.3	0.36
Donatas Motiejunas	39	36	0.10	0.40	-0.30	-0.08	6	-4	10	13.7	14.3	-0.63	13.3	15.0	-1.77
Buddy Hield	48	48	0.04	0.46	-0.41	0.10	-2	4	-6	14.6	13.6	1.02	14.4	14.4	0.05
Solomon Hill	67	67	0.03	0.47	-0.44	0.23	-7	9	-16	13.9	14.6	-0.75	14.3	14.6	-0.25

Phoenix Suns
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Brandon Knight	37	39	0.15	-0.65	0.81	0.04	4	-6	10	15.4	13.9	1.49	13.9	14.2	-0.26
Alex Len	39	40	0.08	-0.58	0.65	0.05	1	-3	4	15.3	13.9	1.39	14.0	14.2	-0.22
Leandro Barbosa	22	23	-0.08	-0.42	0.35	-0.08	0	-2	2	16.7	13.8	2.97	14.6	14.0	0.65
Marquese Chriss	34	36	-0.10	-0.40	0.29	0.04	-5	3	-8	13.0	15.2	-2.18	14.3	14.0	0.31
Jared Dudley	26	26	-0.12	-0.38	0.27	0.00	-4	2	-6	15.5	14.0	1.52	13.5	14.3	-0.87
PJ Tucker	68	69	-0.20	-0.30	0.10	-0.52	11	-13	24	14.5	14.2	0.28	14.3	13.8	0.52
Devin Booker	77	77	-0.39	-0.11	-0.28	-0.45	2	-4	6	14.0	15.7	-1.61	13.9	14.6	-0.70
Eric Bledsoe	81	83	-0.55	0.05	-0.61	-0.38	-6	4	-10	14.0	16.1	-2.03	14.2	13.8	0.39
Tyson Chandler	60	61	-0.57	0.07	-0.64	-0.48	-3	1	-4	13.8	15.3	-1.57	14.4	13.7	0.71
TJ Warren	56	56	-0.72	0.22	-0.93	-0.42	-10	8	-18	14.3	14.6	-0.32	13.9	14.4	-0.48

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.48,0.45,0.4,0.41,0.42,0.45,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.47,0.48,0.53,0.54,0.53,0.47,0.47,0.56,0.61,0.66,0.79,0.79,0.73,0.63,0.62,0.54,0.42,0.52,0.42,0.35,0.45,0.41,0.44,0.44,0.56,0.62,0.57,0.67,0.72,0.77,0.53,0.59,0.53,0.32,0.45,0.22,0.28,0
Game		Similarity Score
ORL 90, CHA 86	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.49,0.52,0.46,0.44,0.38,0.45,0.53,0.45,0.42,0.53,0.46,0.47,0.52,0.51,0.6,0.58,0.63,0.68,0.64,0.58,0.55,0.59,0.63,0.74,0.63,0.52,0.42,0.48,0.52,0.48,0.41,0.34,0.48,0.52,0.5,0.43,0.57,0.63,0.63,0.59,0.71,0.53,0.39,0.39,0.2,0.16,0	91.0%
DEN 103, LAC 101	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.54,0.51,0.47,0.48,0.43,0.41,0.49,0.49,0.45,0.49,0.57,0.58,0.69,0.69,0.62,0.65,0.65,0.71,0.69,0.69,0.64,0.7,0.58,0.57,0.6,0.49,0.52,0.52,0.35,0.41,0.55,0.59,0.56,0.52,0.54,0.66,0.74,0.79,0.81,0.76,0.66,0.67,0.47,0.36,0.16,0.28,0	90.7%
MIA 97, DEN 94	0.5,0.49,0.44,0.39,0.38,0.38,0.38,0.41,0.45,0.41,0.4,0.53,0.42,0.52,0.51,0.45,0.47,0.56,0.58,0.61,0.64,0.71,0.64,0.59,0.64,0.75,0.68,0.57,0.45,0.42,0.45,0.42,0.45,0.48,0.56,0.6,0.72,0.7,0.74,0.71,0.62,0.63,0.59,0.53,0.28,0.38,0.37,0.45,0.16,0	90.4%