inpredictable
Powered by Blogger.
NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)
Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Miami Heat 97 Excitement8.1 [247] MVPTy Lawson (DEN): +36.8%
Denver Nuggets 94 Comeback3.1 [531] LVPWilson Chandler (DEN): -12.2%


Miami Heat
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
LeBron James0.270,0,0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.04,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.17,0.27,0.27,0.270.090.17-0.011568%0.374-0.11862%-0.03
Michael Beasley0.260,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.260.070.190.00675%0.2600.0000%0.00
Ray Allen0.210,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.24,0.19,0.1,0.1,0.22,0.210.070.13-0.01772%0.301-0.08475%-0.01
Dwyane Wade0.080,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.080.070.010.00967%0.0800.0000%0.00
Joel Anthony0.060,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.060.010.050.000100%0.0600.002100%0.06
Shane Battier0.030,0,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.06-0.010.023100%0.0300.0000%0.00
Chris Bosh0.010,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,-0.04,0.01,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.01,0.010.03-0.03-0.001261%0.132-0.12425%-0.07
Rashard Lewis-0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.02-0.01-0.00250%0.001-0.0300%0.00
Roger Mason Jr.-0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.02-0.010.0010%-0.0300.0000%0.00
Mario Chalmers-0.050,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.04-0.03-0.02550%0.013-0.061070%-0.05
Udonis Haslem-0.070,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07-0.06-0.01-0.0040%-0.0700.0000%0.00
Norris Cole-0.110,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11-0.09-0.020.0030%-0.062-0.0500%0.00

Denver Nuggets
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Ty Lawson0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.09,0.09,0.15,0.15,0.26,0.26,0.44,0.44,0.370.370.150.240.021572%0.422-0.05683%0.03
Randy Foye0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.110.110.050.060.00673%0.151-0.033100%0.01
Timofey Mozgov0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.090.090.040.050.00475%0.0900.0000%0.00
Jordan Hamilton0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.000.01-0.010.00350%-0.0000.0000%0.00
Darrell Arthur0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.01,0.02,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0.07,0.07,0,0-0.00-0.010.00-0.001446%0.031-0.0300%0.00
Kenneth Faried0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.02-0.03-0.01-0.01850%0.022-0.0500%0.00
Nate Robinson0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08-0.08-0.06-0.020.0010%-0.022-0.0600%0.00
Andre Miller0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08-0.08-0.04-0.040.00250%-0.032-0.0500%0.00
JJ Hickson0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1-0.10-0.02-0.070.011150%-0.052-0.052100%0.01
Wilson Chandler0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.11,-0.11,-0.21,-0.12-0.12-0.05-0.10-0.031738%-0.091-0.0300%0.00
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game27.41.029.115.832.32.636.0144.2
league avg24.72.329.616.026.92.333.4136.7
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)
victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
MIA +58.8%
DEN -2.6%
MIA +0.9%
DEN -4.9%
DEN -2.2%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsMIADENNBAMIADENNBA
this game15.617.015.1110.2105.6105.2
season15.614.0109.7104.5
opponent14.915.8106.4105.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
MIA15.415.314.916.715.6
DEN18.115.316.318.517.0

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Miami Heat
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Chris Bosh67680.87-0.371.230.4016-132915.416.2-0.8317.316.01.28
Mario Chalmers69700.82-0.321.130.4114-112515.316.3-0.9717.315.81.51
Michael Beasley31340.58-0.080.660.329-61517.414.52.8816.017.6-1.53
LeBron James73730.55-0.050.610.444-1515.515.7-0.1316.817.6-0.79
Ray Allen55550.190.31-0.120.48-1013-2316.414.22.1516.817.3-0.56
Shane Battier40410.140.36-0.21-0.036-3914.616.4-1.8017.916.21.62
Norris Cole24240.120.38-0.260.0912-113.716.2-2.4816.317.2-0.88
Joel Anthony010.000.50-0.500.0003-30.015.6-15.5620.016.93.06
Dwyane Wade3333-0.070.57-0.64-0.1012-115.715.50.2717.416.70.61
Roger Mason Jr.1011-0.110.61-0.72-0.08-14-516.515.41.0616.917.0-0.08
Rashard Lewis1413-0.170.67-0.840.07-811-1915.215.6-0.4117.117.00.12
Udonis Haslem2422-0.420.92-1.340.08-1720-3715.515.6-0.0215.817.4-1.54

Denver Nuggets
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Timofey Mozgov23220.44-0.941.390.0314-173117.116.90.2115.915.50.41
Darrell Arthur46450.23-0.730.95-0.2717-203716.417.6-1.2116.015.10.86
Randy Foye64630.19-0.690.89-0.3117-203716.219.0-2.8115.316.1-0.79
Nate Robinson19190.13-0.630.77-0.015-81318.016.71.3015.015.7-0.71
Andre Miller1716-0.30-0.20-0.10-0.18-41-517.816.80.9718.115.03.06
Jordan Hamilton1919-0.30-0.20-0.100.08-1310-2318.316.61.6314.815.8-0.98
Kenneth Faried4040-0.600.10-0.71-0.13-1613-2917.116.80.3114.916.1-1.11
Wilson Chandler7676-0.680.18-0.85-0.44-85-1317.116.20.8715.615.20.36
Ty Lawson7473-0.700.20-0.91-0.41-107-1716.917.3-0.3515.715.10.59
JJ Hickson6767-0.910.41-1.32-0.41-1714-3117.016.80.2715.416.2-0.83


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.44,0.39,0.38,0.38,0.38,0.41,0.45,0.41,0.4,0.53,0.42,0.52,0.51,0.45,0.47,0.56,0.58,0.61,0.64,0.71,0.64,0.59,0.64,0.75,0.68,0.57,0.45,0.42,0.45,0.42,0.45,0.48,0.56,0.6,0.72,0.7,0.74,0.71,0.62,0.63,0.59,0.53,0.28,0.38,0.37,0.45,0.16,0
GameSimilarity Score
NOP 110, PHX 1080.5,0.49,0.48,0.45,0.4,0.41,0.42,0.45,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.47,0.48,0.53,0.54,0.53,0.47,0.47,0.56,0.61,0.66,0.79,0.79,0.73,0.63,0.62,0.54,0.42,0.52,0.42,0.35,0.45,0.41,0.44,0.44,0.56,0.62,0.57,0.67,0.72,0.77,0.53,0.59,0.53,0.32,0.45,0.22,0.28,090.4%
BOS 111, MIL 1080.5,0.49,0.45,0.41,0.4,0.38,0.42,0.4,0.39,0.37,0.43,0.47,0.45,0.4,0.42,0.38,0.47,0.47,0.51,0.54,0.49,0.52,0.44,0.49,0.51,0.5,0.62,0.66,0.58,0.61,0.48,0.55,0.59,0.62,0.52,0.63,0.6,0.66,0.57,0.62,0.53,0.58,0.59,0.41,0.33,0.39,0.28,0.33,0.18,090.3%
PHI 98, ATL 970.5,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.5,0.53,0.46,0.45,0.38,0.46,0.45,0.53,0.44,0.46,0.51,0.56,0.58,0.56,0.6,0.56,0.61,0.61,0.54,0.49,0.61,0.51,0.49,0.43,0.45,0.58,0.58,0.55,0.59,0.59,0.69,0.74,0.68,0.7,0.7,0.62,0.71,0.63,0.47,0.35,0.28,0.39,0.28,0.31,0.26,090.2%