inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Boston Celtics 111 Excitement8.2 [249] MVPPaul Pierce (BOS): +47.9%
Milwaukee Bucks 108 Comeback2.6 [293] LVPMo Williams (MIL): -20.2%


Boston Celtics
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Paul Pierce0.480,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.05,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.25,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.480.160.31-0.001576%0.511-0.0312100%0.09
Raef LaFrentz0.100,0,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.10.100.020.02692%0.1000.0000%0.00
Mark Blount0.090,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.090.010.06-0.01470%0.101-0.01250%-0.01
Ricky Davis0.060,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.05,0.05,0.15,0.09,0.06-0.000.04-0.021746%0.0600.00367%-0.01
Tony Allen0.060,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.060.010.04-0.00470%0.071-0.02250%-0.01
Kendrick Perkins0.040,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.020.020.001100%0.0400.0000%0.00
Marcus Banks0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03-0.000.03-0.002100%0.072-0.0400%0.00
Gary Payton0.030,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,0.03,0.09,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03-0.010.03-0.00863%0.103-0.07367%-0.01
Delonte West0.0000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Justin Reed0.0000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Al Jefferson-0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.010.00-0.00333%-0.0100.0000%0.00
Antoine Walker-0.030,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.11,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.030.03-0.050.011361%0.042-0.072100%0.01

Milwaukee Bucks
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Dan Gadzuric0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.16,0.21,0.21,0.210.210.130.080.011085%0.241-0.026100%0.05
Anthony Goldwire0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.120.120.100.020.004112%0.1200.0000%0.00
Zaza Pachulia0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.080.080.000.07-0.00279%0.101-0.021070%-0.01
Erick Strickland0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.020.02-0.000.00657%0.0200.002100%0.02
Joe Smith0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.03-0.040.010.001145%0.032-0.0600%0.00
Michael Redd0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.03,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.14,0.14,0.08,0.08,0.08,-0.05-0.050.03-0.10-0.022254%-0.021-0.03887%0.03
Marcus Fizer0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.06-0.05-0.020.00125%-0.041-0.02250%-0.03
Desmond Mason0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.18,-0.2-0.20-0.10-0.100.001641%-0.162-0.04560%-0.04
Mo Williams0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.18,-0.2-0.20-0.08-0.13-0.01533%-0.142-0.062100%0.07
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game23.02.532.515.727.12.536.2139.4
league avg51.62.428.612.725.12.130.4153.9
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
BOS +96.3%
MIL -34.4%
MIL -18.0%
BOS +1.6%
BOS +4.4%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsBOSMILNBABOSMILNBA
this game14.618.215.5126.1122.7104.0
season14.416.0104.7104.4
opponent15.016.0107.4104.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
BOS14.013.413.917.514.6
MIL18.715.418.021.618.2

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Boston Celtics
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Antoine Walker69680.52-0.020.530.375-2714.315.5-1.1518.118.2-0.12
Paul Pierce77760.440.060.380.3821114.713.90.7518.416.81.54
Gary Payton71700.410.090.320.3812-114.216.0-1.7718.018.8-0.78
Ricky Davis59590.400.100.300.46-25-716.011.74.2917.918.6-0.69
Tony Allen35340.390.110.280.139-61511.716.4-4.6918.318.10.27
Mark Blount38380.350.150.200.3212-116.113.42.7119.217.41.80
Marcus Banks17180.090.41-0.320.0321116.014.21.7718.818.00.78
Justin Reed220.030.47-0.430.0303-31.014.9-13.8810.518.3-7.84
Kendrick Perkins16170.020.48-0.45-0.0321116.614.12.4419.517.81.70
Delonte West66-0.040.54-0.580.02-25-714.314.6-0.2516.318.3-1.96
Raef LaFrentz4242-0.050.55-0.59-0.0503-313.515.6-2.0918.018.3-0.30
Al Jefferson810-0.070.57-0.640.02-36-915.714.41.3014.618.6-4.02

Milwaukee Bucks
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Dan Gadzuric6361-0.01-0.490.49-0.031-4518.317.70.6114.115.6-1.48
Erick Strickland3031-0.14-0.360.21-0.233-6918.118.2-0.0415.314.21.11
Joe Smith5959-0.16-0.340.18-0.222-5718.617.31.2113.516.7-3.22
Anthony Goldwire4442-0.19-0.310.13-0.190-3317.618.7-1.1816.612.73.97
Zaza Pachulia2425-0.29-0.21-0.09-0.21-30-318.518.00.4116.613.82.84
Mo Williams4446-0.31-0.19-0.13-0.23-30-318.717.61.1812.716.6-3.97
Marcus Fizer2929-0.34-0.16-0.18-0.20-52-717.318.6-1.2116.713.53.22
Desmond Mason7576-0.520.02-0.54-0.46-2-1-118.019.0-0.9914.216.7-2.43
Michael Redd7271-0.540.04-0.57-0.30-85-1318.118.6-0.4914.315.8-1.48


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.45,0.41,0.4,0.38,0.42,0.4,0.39,0.37,0.43,0.47,0.45,0.4,0.42,0.38,0.47,0.47,0.51,0.54,0.49,0.52,0.44,0.49,0.51,0.5,0.62,0.66,0.58,0.61,0.48,0.55,0.59,0.62,0.52,0.63,0.6,0.66,0.57,0.62,0.53,0.58,0.59,0.41,0.33,0.39,0.28,0.33,0.18,0
GameSimilarity Score
IND 91, SEA 830.5,0.51,0.48,0.52,0.51,0.49,0.47,0.41,0.41,0.37,0.37,0.42,0.44,0.48,0.4,0.49,0.45,0.49,0.49,0.47,0.49,0.48,0.54,0.58,0.67,0.67,0.62,0.63,0.67,0.61,0.43,0.45,0.48,0.55,0.59,0.56,0.64,0.54,0.57,0.62,0.62,0.58,0.64,0.4,0.39,0.47,0.46,0.17,0.17,092.4%
CLE 87, SEA 790.5,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.44,0.48,0.49,0.47,0.43,0.4,0.45,0.44,0.48,0.42,0.4,0.4,0.44,0.42,0.44,0.53,0.56,0.54,0.51,0.51,0.58,0.69,0.66,0.55,0.52,0.39,0.45,0.45,0.52,0.62,0.63,0.56,0.7,0.7,0.66,0.58,0.53,0.47,0.46,0.4,0.33,0.37,0.1,0.02,092.1%
WAS 90, NYK 890.5,0.49,0.44,0.45,0.45,0.43,0.39,0.35,0.39,0.47,0.43,0.45,0.44,0.35,0.4,0.42,0.47,0.53,0.53,0.56,0.59,0.58,0.56,0.54,0.51,0.58,0.68,0.6,0.58,0.61,0.61,0.62,0.65,0.55,0.48,0.63,0.64,0.62,0.43,0.33,0.43,0.53,0.64,0.59,0.39,0.47,0.46,0.34,0.27,092.1%