NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Washington Wizards	90		Excitement	8.7 [165]		MVP	Bradley Beal (WAS): +54.6%
New York Knicks	89		Comeback	2.3 [320]		LVP	Carmelo Anthony (NYK): -46.9%

Washington Wizards
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Bradley Beal	0.55	0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.13,0.19,0.19,0.33,0.33,0.55	0.12	0.43	0.00	22	57%	0.56	1	-0.02	5	60%	0.01
Marcin Gortat	0.03	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.04	-0.00	0.00	10	57%	0.05	1	-0.03	3	33%	-0.03
Martell Webster	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	-0.00	0.02	-0.01	6	50%	0.06	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Andre Miller	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	-0.02	0.04	-0.00	7	43%	0.04	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Trevor Booker	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.00	0.00	4	50%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Al Harrington	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.00	0.00	2	0%	-0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Trevor Ariza	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,0,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.01	-0.06	0.00	9	43%	-0.03	1	-0.04	5	60%	-0.01
Drew Gooden	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.03	-0.04	-0.00	4	50%	0.04	2	-0.11	0	0%	0.00
John Wall	-0.11	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,-0.11	-0.04	-0.07	0.00	14	63%	0.16	7	-0.27	2	100%	0.02

New York Knicks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Raymond Felton	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,0.01,-0.07,0.28	0.28	0.01	0.29	0.01	8	45%	0.28	0	0.00	4	75%	0.03
Amar'e Stoudemire	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,0.01,0.04,0.07,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19	0.19	0.09	0.09	-0.01	9	73%	0.21	1	-0.02	4	100%	0.02
Pablo Prigioni	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.01	0.02	0.00	4	75%	0.09	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Tim Hardaway Jr.	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.07,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.02	0.02	-0.03	6	42%	0.07	1	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Tyson Chandler	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.00	0.01	-0.00	7	43%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Iman Shumpert	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	5	50%	0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
J.R. Smith	0,0,0,0.01,0.04,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.16,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.23,0.23,0.2,0.2,0.27,0.25,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.39,0.45,0.41,0.31,0.31,0.31,0.25,0.25,-0.05	-0.05	0.19	-0.22	0.02	23	70%	0.01	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Carmelo Anthony	0,0,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.02,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.21,-0.24,-0.24,-0.26,-0.26,-0.26,-0.26,-0.26,-0.26,-0.26,-0.26,-0.26,-0.21,-0.4,-0.4,-0.34,-0.47	-0.47	-0.23	-0.24	-0.01	14	36%	0.00	9	-0.47	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	26.2	2.5	28.3	16.7	26.2	2.8	37.6	140.3
league avg	24.7	2.3	29.6	16.0	26.9	2.3	33.4	136.7

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

WAS +7.0%

WAS +11.3%

WAS +16.7%

WAS +5.1%

WAS +9.9%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	WAS	NYK	NBA	WAS	NYK	NBA
this game	16.2	16.4	15.1	101.1	101.1	105.2
season	15.1	16.0		103.8	106.4
opponent	15.4	15.5		107.6	102.7

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
WAS	15.0	16.5	15.3	18.0	16.2
NYK	17.0	14.8	17.4	16.2	16.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Washington Wizards
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Trevor Ariza	68	68	0.78	-0.28	1.07	0.46	11	-10	21	15.1	19.8	-4.75	16.3	16.6	-0.37
Bradley Beal	75	73	0.59	-0.09	0.69	0.51	3	-2	5	16.5	14.6	1.91	16.0	18.3	-2.37
Marcin Gortat	63	62	0.54	-0.04	0.57	0.42	4	-3	7	14.9	19.3	-4.47	16.5	16.2	0.30
John Wall	64	65	0.51	-0.01	0.53	0.37	5	-4	9	15.4	18.1	-2.64	16.3	16.7	-0.39
Martell Webster	56	56	0.40	0.10	0.29	0.51	-4	5	-9	16.5	15.7	0.77	16.6	16.0	0.52
Trevor Booker	53	52	0.13	0.37	-0.24	-0.16	10	-9	19	16.5	15.8	0.68	17.4	14.8	2.59
Drew Gooden	26	26	-0.04	0.54	-0.57	0.05	-3	4	-7	19.3	14.9	4.47	16.2	16.5	-0.30
Andre Miller	28	26	-0.16	0.66	-0.83	0.13	-10	11	-21	17.6	15.5	2.13	15.9	16.6	-0.68
Al Harrington	12	12	-0.25	0.75	-1.01	0.07	-11	12	-23	18.7	15.8	2.87	15.4	16.5	-1.10

New York Knicks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Amar'e Stoudemire	53	54	0.14	-0.64	0.78	0.14	0	-1	1	16.2	16.6	-0.39	17.0	14.9	2.04
Iman Shumpert	50	48	0.12	-0.62	0.75	-0.14	9	-10	19	17.0	15.6	1.43	17.9	14.2	3.68
Pablo Prigioni	34	35	0.09	-0.59	0.69	-0.05	5	-6	11	17.6	15.6	1.95	17.1	15.6	1.45
J.R. Smith	80	81	-0.11	-0.39	0.28	-0.44	11	-12	23	16.2	18.2	-2.07	16.4	14.4	1.98
Tim Hardaway Jr.	37	40	-0.49	-0.01	-0.47	-0.49	0	-1	1	15.9	16.7	-0.86	15.9	16.4	-0.51
Raymond Felton	54	54	-0.59	0.09	-0.69	-0.42	-6	5	-11	15.6	17.6	-1.95	15.6	17.1	-1.45
Tyson Chandler	60	59	-0.69	0.19	-0.89	-0.37	-11	10	-21	16.6	15.7	0.90	15.2	18.1	-2.85
Carmelo Anthony	72	74	-0.97	0.47	-1.44	-0.59	-13	12	-25	16.3	16.7	-0.47	15.2	20.9	-5.72

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.44,0.45,0.45,0.43,0.39,0.35,0.39,0.47,0.43,0.45,0.44,0.35,0.4,0.42,0.47,0.53,0.53,0.56,0.59,0.58,0.56,0.54,0.51,0.58,0.68,0.6,0.58,0.61,0.61,0.62,0.65,0.55,0.48,0.63,0.64,0.62,0.43,0.33,0.43,0.53,0.64,0.59,0.39,0.47,0.46,0.34,0.27,0
Game		Similarity Score
BOS 111, MIL 108	0.5,0.49,0.45,0.41,0.4,0.38,0.42,0.4,0.39,0.37,0.43,0.47,0.45,0.4,0.42,0.38,0.47,0.47,0.51,0.54,0.49,0.52,0.44,0.49,0.51,0.5,0.62,0.66,0.58,0.61,0.48,0.55,0.59,0.62,0.52,0.63,0.6,0.66,0.57,0.62,0.53,0.58,0.59,0.41,0.33,0.39,0.28,0.33,0.18,0	92.1%
IND 74, CHA 71	0.5,0.51,0.5,0.47,0.45,0.44,0.42,0.38,0.41,0.41,0.39,0.42,0.44,0.52,0.55,0.52,0.47,0.49,0.51,0.56,0.58,0.61,0.54,0.49,0.51,0.5,0.62,0.6,0.55,0.55,0.55,0.62,0.55,0.41,0.48,0.6,0.52,0.42,0.38,0.43,0.48,0.47,0.41,0.53,0.54,0.55,0.45,0.45,0.08,0	91.8%
UTA 104, HOU 95	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.49,0.45,0.38,0.35,0.38,0.39,0.43,0.43,0.39,0.36,0.37,0.38,0.4,0.47,0.51,0.58,0.56,0.56,0.66,0.58,0.58,0.64,0.67,0.58,0.63,0.55,0.48,0.55,0.48,0.48,0.55,0.59,0.63,0.48,0.42,0.3,0.43,0.47,0.53,0.47,0.47,0.54,0.53,0.46,0.23,0.08,0	91.4%