NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Indiana Pacers	91		Excitement	8.3 [161]		MVP	Travis Best (IND): +12.5%
Seattle SuperSonics	83		Comeback	2.2 [232]		LVP	Rashard Lewis (SEA): -27.1%

Indiana Pacers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Travis Best	0.12	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.06,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.09,0.09,0.12	0.02	0.10	-0.01	11	60%	0.20	1	-0.08	8	75%	0.02
Sam Perkins	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.01	-0.01	8	50%	0.01	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Jeff Foster	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Al Harrington	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Zan Tabak	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	1	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Austin Croshere	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.04,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	0.00	-0.03	0.00	8	56%	0.01	1	-0.04	2	100%	0.02
Jermaine O'Neal	-0.03	0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	0.02	-0.03	0.02	12	62%	0.03	2	-0.06	8	100%	0.03
Jalen Rose	-0.09	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.1,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.09	-0.08	-0.02	-0.01	21	33%	-0.09	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Derrick McKey	-0.13	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.08	-0.03	0.02	4	50%	-0.02	4	-0.10	0	0%	0.00
Reggie Miller	-0.18	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.04,0.02,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.17,-0.18	-0.06	-0.11	0.00	18	42%	-0.12	2	-0.06	2	50%	-0.00

Seattle SuperSonics
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Shammond Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.16,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.12	0.12	0.06	0.05	-0.01	7	70%	0.12	0	0.00	6	67%	-0.04
Vin Baker	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.04,0.01,0.07,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.1,0.04,0.04,0.04,0	0.00	-0.09	0.07	-0.02	14	44%	0.08	3	-0.08	4	50%	-0.01
Jelani McCoy	0,0,0,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.04	-0.00	0.00	3	67%	0.03	3	-0.08	0	0%	0.00
Gary Payton	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.06	-0.01	-0.01	9	33%	-0.02	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Desmond Mason	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.04	-0.03	-0.00	3	25%	-0.06	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Ruben Patterson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11	-0.11	-0.04	-0.08	-0.01	8	45%	-0.08	1	-0.03	4	75%	-0.01
Brent Barry	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.12,-0.12,-0.13	-0.13	-0.01	-0.11	0.01	10	52%	-0.05	1	-0.08	5	60%	-0.03
Patrick Ewing	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.09,-0.11,-0.18,-0.18,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17	-0.17	-0.12	-0.05	-0.01	10	32%	-0.07	3	-0.10	2	50%	-0.02
Rashard Lewis	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.2,-0.27,-0.27	-0.27	-0.11	-0.18	-0.01	16	38%	-0.21	2	-0.06	5	60%	-0.07

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	34.2	2.0	32.3	15.6	26.2	1.7	34.2	146.2
league avg	28.8	2.2	28.9	16.6	26.2	2.2	33.1	139.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

IND +2.4%

IND +24.1%

IND +19.5%

IND +14.3%

SEA -10.3%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	IND	SEA	NBA	IND	SEA	NBA
this game	17.3	14.7	15.5	102.2	91.2	100.9
season	15.9	15.2		99.3	103.8
opponent	15.7	15.6		103.5	99.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
IND	16.0	18.0	16.2	19.4	17.3
SEA	14.0	15.5	14.4	15.1	14.7

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Indiana Pacers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Reggie Miller	75	76	0.56	-0.06	0.62	0.27	10	-2	12	17.3	17.2	0.11	14.5	15.8	-1.29
Jermaine O'Neal	64	65	0.50	0.00	0.50	0.09	14	-6	20	17.2	17.4	-0.19	14.8	14.6	0.15
Jalen Rose	83	85	0.46	0.04	0.42	0.29	6	2	4	17.7	12.5	5.15	14.3	21.0	-6.72
Sam Perkins	50	51	0.40	0.10	0.30	0.22	6	2	4	18.7	15.5	3.28	13.9	15.8	-1.87
Travis Best	41	46	0.37	0.13	0.25	0.17	7	1	6	16.3	18.1	-1.78	15.4	14.0	1.35
Austin Croshere	46	47	0.28	0.22	0.06	0.37	-3	11	-14	17.6	17.0	0.54	16.3	13.0	3.30
Derrick McKey	51	51	0.07	0.43	-0.36	-0.05	4	4	0	17.4	17.2	0.25	12.9	17.0	-4.15
Zan Tabak	8	7	0.05	0.45	-0.40	0.02	1	7	-6	11.6	17.9	-6.24	16.3	14.6	1.69
Al Harrington	11	11	0.02	0.48	-0.45	0.02	0	8	-8	14.2	17.7	-3.56	18.9	14.1	4.76
Jeff Foster	4	4	-0.06	0.56	-0.61	0.00	-2	10	-12	19.5	17.2	2.30	19.5	14.5	4.99

Seattle SuperSonics
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Patrick Ewing	47	45	0.01	-0.51	0.52	0.10	-3	-5	2	13.8	15.7	-1.98	18.6	16.0	2.62
Desmond Mason	15	16	-0.04	-0.46	0.41	-0.04	0	-8	8	19.1	13.9	5.20	14.9	17.8	-2.96
Shammond Williams	37	35	-0.09	-0.41	0.33	-0.09	0	-8	8	16.0	13.9	2.15	16.8	17.6	-0.83
Jelani McCoy	33	33	-0.09	-0.41	0.31	0.08	-6	-2	-4	13.8	15.3	-1.52	17.6	17.1	0.43
Brent Barry	82	78	-0.36	-0.14	-0.23	-0.19	-6	-2	-4	14.1	20.1	-5.98	17.2	18.3	-1.11
Ruben Patterson	51	49	-0.38	-0.12	-0.26	-0.38	0	-8	8	15.2	14.2	0.98	17.5	17.0	0.51
Rashard Lewis	76	73	-0.46	-0.04	-0.41	-0.22	-8	0	-8	13.9	19.1	-5.20	17.8	14.9	2.96
Vin Baker	48	49	-0.51	0.01	-0.53	-0.40	-4	-4	0	16.3	12.9	3.40	16.1	18.7	-2.58
Gary Payton	66	67	-0.58	0.08	-0.65	-0.19	-13	5	-18	14.4	15.6	-1.15	17.4	17.0	0.40

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.48,0.52,0.51,0.49,0.47,0.41,0.41,0.37,0.37,0.42,0.44,0.48,0.4,0.49,0.45,0.49,0.49,0.47,0.49,0.48,0.54,0.58,0.67,0.67,0.62,0.63,0.67,0.61,0.43,0.45,0.48,0.55,0.59,0.56,0.64,0.54,0.57,0.62,0.62,0.58,0.64,0.4,0.39,0.47,0.46,0.17,0.17,0
Game		Similarity Score
CLE 87, SEA 79	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.44,0.48,0.49,0.47,0.43,0.4,0.45,0.44,0.48,0.42,0.4,0.4,0.44,0.42,0.44,0.53,0.56,0.54,0.51,0.51,0.58,0.69,0.66,0.55,0.52,0.39,0.45,0.45,0.52,0.62,0.63,0.56,0.7,0.7,0.66,0.58,0.53,0.47,0.46,0.4,0.33,0.37,0.1,0.02,0	92.7%
BOS 111, MIL 108	0.5,0.49,0.45,0.41,0.4,0.38,0.42,0.4,0.39,0.37,0.43,0.47,0.45,0.4,0.42,0.38,0.47,0.47,0.51,0.54,0.49,0.52,0.44,0.49,0.51,0.5,0.62,0.66,0.58,0.61,0.48,0.55,0.59,0.62,0.52,0.63,0.6,0.66,0.57,0.62,0.53,0.58,0.59,0.41,0.33,0.39,0.28,0.33,0.18,0	92.4%
DET 102, CLE 98	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.49,0.48,0.54,0.47,0.43,0.41,0.43,0.47,0.49,0.51,0.5,0.44,0.48,0.47,0.49,0.46,0.39,0.39,0.41,0.44,0.46,0.59,0.5,0.52,0.52,0.55,0.45,0.55,0.51,0.52,0.48,0.59,0.56,0.6,0.58,0.48,0.53,0.62,0.73,0.64,0.46,0.54,0.47,0.37,0.05,0.04,0	92.2%