NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Oklahoma City Thunder	98		Excitement	3.3 [1144]		MVP	Bradley Beal (WAS): +17.4%
Washington Wizards	120		Comeback	1.0 [1090]		LVP	Steven Adams (OKC): -6.5%

Oklahoma City Thunder
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Joffrey Lauvergne	0.12	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.14	0.04	0.06	7	94%	0.12	1	-0.00	4	100%	0.01
Cameron Payne	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	-0.01	0.00	-0.02	9	67%	0.04	4	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Kyle Singler	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.05	0.00	0.04	3	67%	0.00	0	0.00	3	67%	-0.00
Semaj Christon	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.05	0.00	-0.04	5	33%	-0.00	1	-0.00	2	0%	-0.00
Alex Abrines	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.02	-0.00	0.03	7	50%	-0.01	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Andre Roberson	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.03	0.00	-0.02	2	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Anthony Morrow	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.03	0.00	-0.02	8	31%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Victor Oladipo	-0.03	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.05	0.00	-0.01	6	43%	0.01	2	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Domantas Sabonis	-0.03	0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.09	0.00	-0.06	11	27%	-0.03	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jerami Grant	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.10	-0.01	-0.07	12	29%	-0.01	1	-0.03	4	25%	-0.00
Russell Westbrook	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.04,0.01,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.08	-0.03	-0.05	19	38%	-0.05	2	-0.01	7	100%	0.03
Steven Adams	-0.07	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.06	-0.01	-0.01	7	45%	-0.03	3	-0.04	6	83%	0.00

Washington Wizards
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Bradley Beal	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.13,0.12,0.12,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.14,0.14,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17	0.17	0.20	0.01	0.04	8	116%	0.23	3	-0.05	3	67%	-0.00
Markieff Morris	0,0,0,0,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.12,0.11,0.11,0.13,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.12,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.08	0.01	-0.01	14	70%	0.13	4	-0.03	5	80%	-0.01
Marcin Gortat	0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.09	0.01	0.01	8	75%	0.08	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Trey Burke	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	-0.01	0.01	-0.07	8	58%	0.07	3	-0.00	3	100%	0.01
Otto Porter	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.14	0.00	0.08	11	69%	0.07	0	0.00	4	100%	0.01
Kelly Oubre Jr.	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.01	0.00	-0.01	4	50%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Sheldon McClellan	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.02	0.00	0.02	1	100%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Andrew Nicholson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	1	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tomas Satoransky	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.09	0.00	-0.09	3	0%	-0.00	2	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
John Wall	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.04	-0.01	-0.04	10	56%	0.07	5	-0.08	7	86%	0.01
Ian Mahinmi	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.01	0	67%	-0.02	2	0.00	6	67%	-0.03
Jason Smith	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	0.02	0.00	0.06	5	90%	0.02	3	-0.05	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	30.2	3.3	30.3	16.8	31.4	2.8	27.4	142.1
league avg	24.8	2.3	29.6	15.7	26.8	2.3	33.5	136.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

WAS +65.5%

WAS +0.1%

OKC -6.7%

OKC -10.3%

WAS +1.4%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	OKC	WAS	NBA	OKC	WAS	NBA
this game	14.3	14.1	14.8	96.1	118.8	107.7
season	14.0	14.4		107.0	109.9
opponent	14.9	15.1		108.7	106.7

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
OKC	13.6	15.0	14.4	14.0	14.3
WAS	14.1	13.2	12.7	16.6	14.1

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Oklahoma City Thunder
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Joffrey Lauvergne	59	57	0.07	-0.57	0.63	-0.31	13	-35	48	14.1	14.5	-0.40	15.7	12.1	3.59
Cameron Payne	48	46	0.03	-0.53	0.56	-0.15	6	-28	34	13.9	14.6	-0.76	15.6	12.9	2.78
Semaj Christon	21	23	-0.01	-0.49	0.49	-0.36	12	-34	46	13.2	14.5	-1.34	15.1	13.8	1.31
Kyle Singler	33	34	-0.01	-0.49	0.49	-0.18	6	-28	34	13.6	14.6	-1.00	15.9	13.2	2.75
Anthony Morrow	39	37	-0.21	-0.29	0.08	0.23	-15	-7	-8	13.4	14.8	-1.41	12.6	15.0	-2.41
Alex Abrines	39	39	-0.21	-0.29	0.07	-0.13	-3	-19	16	15.2	13.7	1.50	15.2	13.4	1.77
Jerami Grant	52	52	-0.26	-0.24	-0.03	-0.03	-8	-14	6	14.5	14.0	0.50	13.9	14.3	-0.44
Andre Roberson	33	31	-0.29	-0.21	-0.07	0.30	-20	-2	-18	16.1	13.4	2.71	12.4	14.9	-2.45
Victor Oladipo	39	40	-0.29	-0.21	-0.09	0.17	-16	-6	-10	13.5	14.7	-1.20	14.0	14.2	-0.16
Domantas Sabonis	51	51	-0.31	-0.19	-0.13	0.39	-24	2	-26	14.0	14.5	-0.59	13.7	14.6	-0.91
Steven Adams	42	42	-0.49	-0.01	-0.48	0.24	-25	3	-28	14.5	14.0	0.50	12.8	15.1	-2.24
Russell Westbrook	54	53	-0.51	0.01	-0.53	0.54	-36	14	-50	14.8	13.6	1.19	12.5	15.9	-3.35

Washington Wizards
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Markieff Morris	68	68	0.57	-0.07	0.65	-0.48	36	-14	50	13.7	15.1	-1.40	14.6	13.5	1.18
Otto Porter	70	73	0.57	-0.07	0.64	-0.54	38	-16	54	13.3	15.9	-2.53	14.7	13.0	1.71
John Wall	65	68	0.55	-0.05	0.60	-0.36	31	-9	40	13.0	16.1	-3.14	14.4	13.9	0.47
Marcin Gortat	51	53	0.51	-0.01	0.52	-0.43	32	-10	42	12.9	15.4	-2.46	15.3	13.1	2.26
Bradley Beal	45	48	0.37	0.13	0.23	-0.51	30	-8	38	13.6	14.5	-0.86	15.9	12.8	3.06
Trey Burke	58	56	0.12	0.38	-0.27	0.38	-9	31	-40	14.7	13.4	1.26	12.8	16.0	-3.22
Ian Mahinmi	33	34	0.01	0.49	-0.48	0.19	-6	28	-34	14.7	13.9	0.81	13.0	14.9	-1.84
Sheldon McClellan	6	5	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.12	-4	26	-30	15.8	14.0	1.82	13.2	14.3	-1.11
Andrew Nicholson	6	5	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.12	-4	26	-30	15.8	14.0	1.82	13.2	14.3	-1.11
Tomas Satoransky	34	32	-0.03	0.53	-0.57	0.20	-8	30	-38	16.0	13.2	2.79	14.0	14.4	-0.33
Kelly Oubre Jr.	25	24	-0.07	0.57	-0.64	0.28	-12	34	-46	15.9	13.5	2.34	13.0	14.6	-1.64
Jason Smith	44	44	-0.10	0.60	-0.69	0.31	-14	36	-50	15.6	13.0	2.61	13.4	14.9	-1.49

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.54,0.55,0.66,0.71,0.69,0.69,0.71,0.65,0.65,0.64,0.62,0.65,0.6,0.62,0.62,0.58,0.63,0.65,0.66,0.71,0.74,0.79,0.84,0.84,0.84,0.9,0.94,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,1,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
WAS 72, BOS 104	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.58,0.65,0.65,0.66,0.66,0.7,0.71,0.7,0.73,0.68,0.66,0.64,0.62,0.67,0.66,0.67,0.68,0.68,0.74,0.74,0.83,0.86,0.95,0.92,0.93,0.94,0.95,0.97,0.97,0.96,0.97,0.96,0.98,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.3%
SEA 78, IND 101	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.54,0.62,0.67,0.69,0.71,0.66,0.67,0.65,0.68,0.62,0.57,0.6,0.62,0.64,0.67,0.65,0.72,0.69,0.78,0.77,0.8,0.84,0.75,0.77,0.84,0.87,0.93,0.97,0.95,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.97,0.96,0.98,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.3%
DET 85, HOU 91	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.55,0.58,0.66,0.69,0.72,0.7,0.68,0.63,0.63,0.6,0.63,0.56,0.58,0.64,0.67,0.69,0.72,0.75,0.74,0.74,0.77,0.8,0.84,0.89,0.9,0.94,0.95,0.94,0.94,0.98,0.97,0.96,0.97,0.96,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.98,1,0.97,0.96,0.91,0.99,1	96.3%