inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Washington Wizards 72 Excitement3.2 [1114] MVPPaul Pierce (BOS): +9.9%
Boston Celtics 104 Comeback1.0 [1155] LVPMitch Richmond (WAS): -13.3%


Washington Wizards
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Popeye Jones0.040,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.020.00-0.02850%0.0400.0000%0.00
Hubert Davis0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.030.010.02662%0.0200.00475%-0.01
Laron Profit0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.050.00-0.0530%0.0000.0000%0.00
David Vanterpool-0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.020.00-0.02250%0.001-0.0000%0.00
Richard Hamilton-0.030,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.06-0.00-0.031540%-0.012-0.0200%0.00
Mike Smith-0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.11-0.00-0.08915%-0.0300.00250%-0.00
Michael Smith-0.040,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.02-0.000.01556%-0.021-0.02650%-0.03
Christian Laettner-0.050,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.06-0.00-0.02750%-0.012-0.03887%0.01
Jahidi White-0.060,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.09-0.00-0.03633%-0.032-0.02333%-0.02
Courtney Alexander-0.130,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13-0.20-0.01-0.071121%-0.094-0.04250%-0.00
Mitch Richmond-0.130,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.05,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13-0.17-0.01-0.051323%-0.082-0.054100%0.02

Boston Celtics
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Paul Pierce0,0,0,0,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.10.100.070.01-0.011166%0.1000.001070%-0.02
Milt Palacio0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.030.000.00-0.02856%0.041-0.022100%0.00
Antoine Walker0,0,0.03,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.02-0.100.00-0.122448%0.066-0.04250%-0.01
Bryant Stith0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.010.070.000.06779%0.021-0.0100%0.00
Randy Brown0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.00-0.01-0.00-0.01540%0.0000.0000%0.00
Adrian Griffin0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.000.000.000.00250%0.0000.0000%0.00
Chris Herren0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.000.020.000.021150%0.0010.0000%0.00
Vitaly Potapenko0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.000.030.000.03761%-0.0000.00475%-0.00
Mark Blount0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.01-0.010.00-0.00540%-0.0100.0000%0.00
Walter McCarty0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.01-0.01-0.00-0.00643%-0.0100.002100%0.01
Eric Williams0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.02-0.030.00-0.01437%-0.011-0.0100%0.00
Chris Carr0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.02-0.03-0.00-0.01350%-0.0210.00475%0.01
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game25.01.832.215.624.41.827.0127.8
league avg28.82.228.916.626.22.233.1139.4
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
BOS +39.4%
BOS +1.2%
WAS -4.8%
BOS +12.8%
BOS +1.4%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsWASBOSNBAWASBOSNBA
this game15.814.515.575.8109.5100.9
season15.215.198.699.7
opponent15.415.2101.8105.5

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
WAS18.415.013.617.015.8
BOS15.113.214.115.714.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Washington Wizards
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Laron Profit1715-0.09-0.410.320.35-15-17216.615.70.9114.714.40.23
Mike Smith3537-0.11-0.390.290.30-14-18416.115.70.4314.414.5-0.16
Popeye Jones4040-0.12-0.380.270.32-15-17215.815.80.0115.114.01.04
Christian Laettner4445-0.13-0.370.250.05-6-262014.716.8-2.1214.614.40.20
David Vanterpool2627-0.15-0.350.200.26-14-18417.215.31.8114.914.30.63
Courtney Alexander5958-0.26-0.24-0.030.41-23-9-1416.414.91.4914.813.90.91
Richard Hamilton4950-0.27-0.23-0.050.11-13-19614.916.8-1.8714.114.8-0.70
Mitch Richmond5352-0.28-0.22-0.050.02-10-221216.614.91.6814.514.5-0.03
Hubert Davis6161-0.33-0.17-0.160.11-15-17215.316.9-1.5714.314.7-0.41
Jahidi White3434-0.37-0.13-0.240.19-19-13-615.516.0-0.5813.814.9-1.10
Michael Smith5756-0.40-0.10-0.300.07-16-16016.115.50.5314.314.7-0.46

Boston Celtics
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Antoine Walker78760.56-0.060.63-0.4334-23614.116.4-2.2915.417.5-2.11
Paul Pierce74730.470.030.44-0.202391414.215.3-1.0415.716.2-0.44
Bryant Stith64660.380.120.26-0.442842414.614.30.2716.015.60.42
Randy Brown50480.370.130.24-0.071517-214.214.8-0.5815.316.4-1.15
Walter McCarty38400.250.25-0.00-0.101220-814.514.50.0415.715.9-0.25
Mark Blount30320.160.34-0.19-0.371814413.514.9-1.4217.215.12.08
Milt Palacio35360.130.37-0.24-0.191121-1014.614.40.2515.715.9-0.15
Eric Williams29280.070.43-0.360.04131-3015.114.20.9115.316.1-0.74
Vitaly Potapenko40370.060.44-0.380.00230-2816.013.42.6415.216.2-0.98
Chris Carr20210.050.45-0.41-0.19824-1613.814.6-0.7916.415.70.75
Adrian Griffin770.000.50-0.50-0.06230-2815.114.40.7218.315.62.64
Chris Herren10110.000.50-0.50-0.18626-2015.314.40.9218.615.53.16


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.51,0.58,0.65,0.65,0.66,0.66,0.7,0.71,0.7,0.73,0.68,0.66,0.64,0.62,0.67,0.66,0.67,0.68,0.68,0.74,0.74,0.83,0.86,0.95,0.92,0.93,0.94,0.95,0.97,0.97,0.96,0.97,0.96,0.98,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
GameSimilarity Score
MIL 81, CLE 1060.5,0.51,0.52,0.54,0.57,0.58,0.63,0.66,0.72,0.71,0.69,0.73,0.62,0.65,0.66,0.66,0.71,0.65,0.7,0.7,0.79,0.71,0.74,0.83,0.84,0.93,0.92,0.92,0.94,0.95,0.96,0.97,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,197.2%
DEN 82, SAC 1180.5,0.49,0.53,0.6,0.68,0.66,0.63,0.68,0.68,0.71,0.75,0.71,0.64,0.65,0.58,0.64,0.66,0.71,0.73,0.74,0.75,0.78,0.81,0.85,0.86,0.96,0.94,0.94,0.92,0.94,0.94,0.97,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,197.2%
UTA 88, BKN 1040.5,0.51,0.54,0.55,0.62,0.61,0.66,0.68,0.67,0.67,0.67,0.67,0.66,0.7,0.7,0.68,0.67,0.65,0.63,0.68,0.77,0.76,0.81,0.87,0.86,0.9,0.88,0.91,0.94,0.95,0.97,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,197.0%