NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Atlanta Hawks	107		Excitement	8.2 [232]		MVP	Paul Millsap (ATL): +36.9%
Sacramento Kings	108		Comeback	38.8 [29]		LVP	Tim Hardaway Jr. (ATL): -7.2%

Atlanta Hawks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Paul Millsap	0.37	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.13,0.13,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.37	0.12	0.26	0.02	13	68%	0.44	2	-0.07	11	82%	0.01
Dennis Schroder	0.29	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.07,-0.07,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0.1,0.29	-0.01	0.30	-0.01	12	65%	0.40	6	-0.11	7	86%	0.08
Kent Bazemore	0.13	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,0.08,0.15,0.15,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.00	0.11	-0.01	11	50%	0.15	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Mike Dunleavy	0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.07	0.02	0.00	5	80%	0.09	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kris Humphries	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.00	0.01	2	83%	0.04	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.02
Dwight Howard	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	5	60%	0.03	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Malcolm Delaney	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.01	4	33%	-0.02	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Mike Muscala	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
DeAndre' Bembry	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.01	-0.02	2	0%	-0.02	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Tim Hardaway Jr.	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.09,0.11,0.09,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.11,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.33,0.33,0.11,-0.07	0.15	-0.21	0.02	17	67%	0.08	2	-0.15	8	87%	0.02

Sacramento Kings
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Darren Collison	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,0.35	0.35	0.08	0.33	0.06	16	59%	0.38	1	-0.02	5	80%	0.02
Anthony Tolliver	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.25,0.25,0.25	0.25	0.13	0.10	-0.02	7	107%	0.29	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
DeMarcus Cousins	0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.12,-0.12,-0.15,-0.16,-0.17,-0.17,-0.18,-0.19,-0.19,-0.2,-0.21,-0.2,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.14,-0.07,-0.13,0,-0.15,0.11	0.11	-0.17	0.23	-0.05	17	47%	0.45	9	-0.34	13	62%	0.06
Matt Barnes	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0.09,0.09	0.09	-0.01	0.11	0.02	5	50%	0.13	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Willie Cauley-Stein	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.07	0.02	0.01	6	64%	0.08	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Malachi Richardson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.04	0.00	0.01	1	150%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ben McLemore	0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.07,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0,0	0.00	0.10	-0.06	0.03	17	65%	0.05	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Arron Afflalo	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.00	0.01	7	53%	0.00	1	-0.01	1	100%	0.00
Kosta Koufos	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.07	0.00	-0.02	4	25%	-0.02	2	-0.02	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.4	2.5	32.5	14.8	29.1	1.7	38.1	143.1
league avg	24.8	2.3	29.6	15.7	26.8	2.3	33.5	136.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

SAC +32.8%

ATL -12.6%

SAC +31.5%

ATL -3.2%

SAC +1.4%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	ATL	SAC	NBA	ATL	SAC	NBA
this game	14.3	15.2	14.8	110.3	110.2	107.7
season	14.4	15.4		104.2	106.0
opponent	14.6	14.9		110.0	104.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
ATL	12.2	14.6	15.6	14.8	14.3
SAC	15.9	15.4	13.8	15.8	15.2

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Atlanta Hawks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Mike Dunleavy	21	25	0.20	-0.70	0.91	0.23	-1	0	-1	16.7	13.6	3.04	15.0	15.3	-0.38
Dwight Howard	65	66	0.09	-0.59	0.67	-0.21	10	-11	21	13.7	15.5	-1.81	15.7	14.2	1.48
Malcolm Delaney	26	27	-0.01	-0.49	0.49	0.11	-4	3	-7	17.2	13.2	3.97	16.2	14.9	1.30
Mike Muscala	20	21	-0.14	-0.36	0.22	0.13	-9	8	-17	15.6	13.9	1.65	15.8	15.1	0.72
Kris Humphries	22	23	-0.22	-0.28	0.07	-0.04	-6	5	-11	17.2	13.4	3.74	14.6	15.4	-0.83
Dennis Schroder	71	70	-0.25	-0.25	-0.01	-0.34	3	-4	7	13.2	17.2	-3.97	15.1	15.6	-0.51
Tim Hardaway Jr.	76	74	-0.26	-0.24	-0.01	-0.52	9	-10	19	13.7	16.4	-2.73	15.1	15.8	-0.72
Paul Millsap	79	79	-0.38	-0.12	-0.27	-0.56	6	-7	13	13.7	16.7	-2.92	15.0	16.3	-1.26
Kent Bazemore	68	69	-0.54	0.04	-0.58	-0.57	1	-2	3	13.4	16.4	-3.03	15.1	15.6	-0.53
DeAndre' Bembry	37	36	-1.00	0.50	-1.49	-0.59	-14	13	-27	15.6	13.5	2.11	15.4	15.1	0.27

Sacramento Kings
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Anthony Tolliver	49	48	0.81	-0.31	1.12	0.49	11	-10	21	16.0	14.5	1.43	15.5	13.1	2.32
Matt Barnes	50	47	0.72	-0.22	0.95	0.58	5	-4	9	15.2	15.3	-0.05	14.7	13.9	0.76
Ben McLemore	89	88	0.54	-0.04	0.58	0.48	2	-1	3	14.7	20.3	-5.60	13.9	18.2	-4.34
Darren Collison	89	89	0.52	-0.02	0.54	0.49	1	0	1	15.1	16.7	-1.57	14.1	15.9	-1.73
DeMarcus Cousins	67	68	0.36	0.14	0.22	0.60	-8	9	-17	14.7	16.3	-1.58	13.3	16.7	-3.38
Willie Cauley-Stein	31	29	0.14	0.36	-0.22	-0.13	9	-8	17	16.3	14.7	1.58	16.7	13.3	3.38
Malachi Richardson	14	15	-0.06	0.56	-0.62	-0.06	0	1	-1	17.6	14.9	2.71	16.6	13.9	2.73
Kosta Koufos	39	40	-0.19	0.69	-0.88	-0.04	-5	6	-11	15.1	15.3	-0.24	13.5	14.8	-1.26
Arron Afflalo	62	61	-0.34	0.84	-1.18	-0.04	-10	11	-21	15.2	15.3	-0.10	13.8	15.2	-1.40

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.45,0.48,0.48,0.45,0.4,0.38,0.39,0.37,0.31,0.31,0.27,0.28,0.22,0.24,0.23,0.25,0.24,0.16,0.21,0.24,0.16,0.15,0.11,0.1,0.08,0.04,0.06,0.05,0.03,0.04,0.05,0.06,0.05,0.09,0.15,0.13,0.15,0.18,0.14,0.27,0.36,0.34,0.33,0.47,0.08,0.32,0.42,1
Game		Similarity Score
ATL 74, CHI 76	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.49,0.45,0.43,0.37,0.38,0.36,0.37,0.35,0.32,0.34,0.34,0.3,0.32,0.27,0.31,0.33,0.32,0.29,0.29,0.2,0.18,0.2,0.18,0.14,0.14,0.07,0.11,0.1,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.02,0.04,0.05,0.08,0.12,0.24,0.37,0.36,0.47,0.22,0.19,0.28,0.14,0.42,1	91.7%
WAS 100, TOR 103	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.47,0.46,0.46,0.47,0.47,0.41,0.38,0.31,0.34,0.32,0.23,0.22,0.21,0.19,0.2,0.16,0.11,0.13,0.14,0.13,0.18,0.12,0.09,0.06,0.07,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.05,0.11,0.13,0.06,0.08,0.1,0.08,0.18,0.21,0.32,0.21,0.08,0.12,0.2,0.15,0.15,0.58,1	91.5%
BOS 111, DET 115	0.5,0.51,0.56,0.55,0.49,0.5,0.42,0.43,0.39,0.37,0.37,0.4,0.44,0.43,0.39,0.27,0.25,0.27,0.22,0.2,0.25,0.31,0.26,0.27,0.25,0.22,0.11,0.12,0.08,0.07,0.05,0.06,0.09,0.16,0.1,0.12,0.1,0.13,0.1,0.21,0.2,0.27,0.53,0.35,0.61,0.39,0.29,0.33,0.53,1	91.2%