NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Atlanta Hawks	119		Excitement	8.0 [271]		MVP	Jimmy Butler (CHI): +49.9%
Chicago Bulls	114		Comeback	69.4 [25]		LVP	Paul Zipser (CHI): -11.4%

Atlanta Hawks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Dwight Howard	0.29	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.29	0.08	0.22	-0.00	10	64%	0.31	1	-0.02	5	80%	-0.02
Dennis Schroder	0.25	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.19,0.25	0.08	0.17	0.00	15	67%	0.35	3	-0.10	6	100%	0.04
Tim Hardaway Jr.	0.20	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.13,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.2,0.2	0.10	0.10	0.00	11	74%	0.27	2	-0.07	1	100%	0.01
Thabo Sefolosha	0.14	0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.14	0.15	0.03	0.04	8	90%	0.16	1	-0.02	4	75%	-0.01
Kent Bazemore	0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.15,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.05	0.04	0.00	14	57%	0.10	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Paul Millsap	0.05	0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.13,-0.13,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.06	0.01	0.02	14	68%	0.13	4	-0.09	3	67%	-0.01
Mike Dunleavy	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.01	0.01	-0.01	3	50%	0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Malcolm Delaney	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	0.00	0.00	4	25%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kris Humphries	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.03	-0.03	0.00	4	25%	-0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00

Chicago Bulls
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jimmy Butler	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.2,0.17,0.17,0.25,0.32,0.32,0.32,0.32,0.36,0.36,0.36,0.36,0.47,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.5	0.50	0.30	0.20	-0.01	22	74%	0.53	1	-0.03	10	100%	0.06
Dwyane Wade	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.08,0.1,0.13,0.11,0.13,0.13,0.11,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.08,0.15,0.15,0.16,0.16,0.15,0.15	0.15	0.14	0.03	0.02	24	59%	0.16	1	-0.02	8	62%	-0.02
Cristiano Felicio	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.04	0.07	0.00	2	100%	0.11	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Rajon Rondo	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.02	0.02	0.00	1	75%	0.04	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Doug McDermott	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.02	-0.01	-0.01	9	56%	0.05	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Jerian Grant	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.00	0.01	-0.01	6	42%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Robin Lopez	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.06	-0.02	0.01	5	20%	-0.06	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Taj Gibson	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.07	-0.03	-0.01	10	27%	-0.09	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.04
Nikola Mirotic	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0,-0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.1	-0.10	-0.07	-0.04	-0.01	11	37%	-0.03	2	-0.06	2	100%	0.02
Paul Zipser	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.04	-0.07	-0.00	4	20%	-0.11	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.2	2.0	28.2	15.6	27.0	1.5	35.2	133.7
league avg	24.8	2.3	29.6	15.7	26.8	2.3	33.5	136.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

ATL +68.8%

CHI -2.9%

ATL +3.0%

CHI -18.2%

CHI -0.7%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	ATL	CHI	NBA	ATL	CHI	NBA
this game	14.0	15.9	14.8	122.7	118.8	107.7
season	14.4	15.1		104.2	105.9
opponent	14.8	14.9		105.9	104.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
ATL	14.9	16.8	13.4	11.5	14.0
CHI	15.8	17.5	14.8	15.7	15.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Atlanta Hawks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Dwight Howard	70	68	0.78	-0.28	1.06	0.48	10	-5	15	14.2	13.3	0.88	15.8	16.1	-0.36
Tim Hardaway Jr.	64	63	0.76	-0.26	1.03	0.26	17	-12	29	14.2	13.5	0.73	16.5	14.7	1.86
Dennis Schroder	67	67	0.69	-0.19	0.87	0.42	9	-4	13	13.6	14.8	-1.15	15.7	16.2	-0.46
Kent Bazemore	67	66	0.59	-0.09	0.68	0.41	6	-1	7	13.8	14.3	-0.48	16.3	15.1	1.19
Paul Millsap	74	74	0.59	-0.09	0.67	0.50	3	2	1	13.6	15.2	-1.58	15.2	18.1	-2.86
Malcolm Delaney	35	34	-0.01	0.51	-0.52	-0.07	2	3	-1	15.1	13.4	1.70	16.0	15.8	0.18
Kris Humphries	26	28	-0.28	0.78	-1.06	-0.19	-3	8	-11	13.7	14.1	-0.33	16.1	15.8	0.36
Thabo Sefolosha	70	68	-0.31	0.81	-1.11	-0.04	-9	14	-23	13.4	15.6	-2.20	15.8	16.1	-0.36
Mike Dunleavy	12	12	-0.31	0.81	-1.12	-0.02	-10	15	-25	17.2	13.5	3.74	15.6	15.9	-0.35

Chicago Bulls
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Cristiano Felicio	38	37	0.10	-0.60	0.70	0.22	-4	-1	-3	16.8	15.3	1.54	15.0	13.3	1.71
Nikola Mirotic	34	38	0.03	-0.53	0.57	-0.05	3	-8	11	15.6	16.0	-0.37	13.7	14.2	-0.51
Doug McDermott	44	44	0.02	-0.52	0.53	-0.01	1	-6	7	16.5	15.3	1.22	14.2	13.8	0.43
Rajon Rondo	17	17	-0.08	-0.42	0.35	0.07	-5	0	-5	17.4	15.6	1.85	17.9	13.1	4.74
Jerian Grant	39	38	-0.17	-0.33	0.17	-0.02	-5	0	-5	15.3	16.3	-0.93	15.5	13.0	2.47
Paul Zipser	46	47	-0.35	-0.15	-0.19	-0.14	-7	2	-9	16.4	15.4	0.97	12.9	15.0	-2.17
Taj Gibson	59	56	-0.47	-0.03	-0.44	-0.32	-5	0	-5	15.7	16.1	-0.36	14.1	13.8	0.24
Jimmy Butler	82	83	-0.49	-0.01	-0.48	-0.40	-3	-2	-1	15.8	16.6	-0.80	13.2	18.3	-5.04
Dwyane Wade	63	65	-0.50	0.00	-0.51	-0.53	1	-6	7	15.4	16.8	-1.42	13.7	14.4	-0.70
Robin Lopez	58	60	-0.60	0.10	-0.70	-0.57	-1	-4	3	15.3	16.8	-1.54	13.3	15.0	-1.71

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.55,0.58,0.57,0.59,0.6,0.65,0.66,0.65,0.57,0.58,0.54,0.65,0.68,0.6,0.64,0.62,0.61,0.56,0.59,0.66,0.72,0.7,0.73,0.73,0.69,0.66,0.73,0.64,0.76,0.79,0.65,0.59,0.56,0.56,0.75,0.7,0.85,0.85,0.76,0.8,0.86,0.81,0.94,0.95,0.99,0.9,0.42,0
Game		Similarity Score
NYK 100, MIN 98	0.5,0.51,0.46,0.49,0.55,0.59,0.63,0.65,0.59,0.6,0.6,0.58,0.54,0.57,0.55,0.62,0.49,0.51,0.53,0.52,0.64,0.64,0.67,0.67,0.59,0.73,0.71,0.73,0.68,0.73,0.73,0.71,0.65,0.59,0.63,0.63,0.68,0.7,0.81,0.71,0.76,0.77,0.78,0.85,0.83,0.89,0.79,0.68,0.58,0	92.1%
POR 103, DAL 99	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.57,0.57,0.58,0.59,0.61,0.66,0.65,0.63,0.64,0.65,0.6,0.55,0.62,0.66,0.67,0.68,0.66,0.71,0.69,0.69,0.67,0.7,0.63,0.69,0.69,0.64,0.55,0.58,0.59,0.52,0.56,0.6,0.72,0.74,0.7,0.79,0.71,0.81,0.89,0.91,0.94,0.76,0.71,0.76,0.31,0	91.5%
DET 93, DEN 90	0.5,0.51,0.55,0.54,0.52,0.51,0.56,0.57,0.59,0.57,0.6,0.62,0.64,0.66,0.7,0.71,0.69,0.69,0.67,0.7,0.64,0.66,0.72,0.77,0.78,0.78,0.84,0.8,0.75,0.64,0.73,0.71,0.65,0.65,0.66,0.67,0.72,0.74,0.84,0.88,0.83,0.81,0.83,0.81,0.87,0.86,0.72,0.78,0.73,0	91.3%