NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Portland Trail Blazers	127		Excitement	12.9 [9]		MVP	Terry Rozier (BOS): +33.7%
Boston Celtics	123		Comeback	3.6 [113]		LVP	Marcus Smart (BOS): -39.9%

Portland Trail Blazers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Damian Lillard	0.31	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.06,-0.11,-0.11,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.19,0.14,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.31	0.05	0.25	-0.01	21	56%	0.46	3	-0.15	8	100%	0.15
Meyers Leonard	0.25	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.04,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.11,0.07,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25	0.14	0.11	0.00	7	113%	0.34	3	-0.09	1	100%	0.00
Al-Farouq Aminu	0.20	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.2	0.04	0.15	-0.01	6	61%	0.22	1	-0.02	6	100%	0.11
CJ McCollum	0.14	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.05,0.09,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.12,0.16,0.16,0.14,0.13,0.13,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.16,0.16,0.21,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.19,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.14,0.14	0.21	-0.03	0.03	21	64%	0.14	0	0.00	13	77%	0.02
Evan Turner	0.03	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.16,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.03,0.03,0.03	-0.01	0.03	-0.01	9	55%	0.14	2	-0.11	4	100%	0.08
Shabazz Napier	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Noah Vonleh	-0.02	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.04,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.03	-0.00	-0.01	8	50%	0.03	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Mason Plumlee	-0.04	0,0,0,-0.02,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.12,-0.04	-0.04	-0.00	-0.01	8	50%	0.08	3	-0.12	4	50%	-0.03
Maurice Harkless	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.03	-0.01	0.00	2	0%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Allen Crabbe	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.05	-0.03	-0.00	10	30%	-0.08	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00

Boston Celtics
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Terry Rozier	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.11,0.08,0.05,0.05,0,0.1,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.34,0.34,0.34,0.34,0.34,0.34	0.34	0.05	0.28	-0.00	13	58%	0.38	1	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Al Horford	0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.22,0.22,0.19	0.19	0.05	0.15	0.01	13	55%	0.23	1	-0.03	5	60%	-0.01
Isaiah Thomas	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.05,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.13,0.13,0.09,0.07,0.05,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,0.06,0.12,0.18,-0.04,-0.1,-0.16,-0.22,-0.22,0.05,0.14	0.14	0.10	0.05	0.01	28	61%	0.34	6	-0.19	11	82%	0.05
Kelly Olynyk	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.07,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.01	-0.03	0.00	4	100%	0.14	4	-0.15	2	100%	0.01
Jordan Mickey	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	0.00	3	33%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jaylen Brown	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.03	-0.02	-0.00	2	33%	-0.04	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Jae Crowder	0,0,0,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	0.07	-0.16	0.01	12	59%	-0.03	1	-0.07	3	100%	0.02
Amir Johnson	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.18,-0.18	-0.18	-0.06	-0.15	-0.03	2	50%	0.03	3	-0.21	2	50%	-0.07
Marcus Smart	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.01,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24,-0.4	-0.40	-0.06	-0.34	-0.00	15	47%	-0.18	4	-0.22	6	100%	0.04

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4		OT1	Total
this game	24.2	1.8	33.3	15.6	23.3	2.3	40.5	2.4	18.2	161.6
league avg	24.8	2.3	29.6	15.7	26.8	2.3	33.5	2.2	17.9	136.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

BOS -4.0%

POR +46.5%

BOS -40.3%

POR +42.4%

POR +5.4%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	POR	BOS	NBA	POR	BOS	NBA
this game	14.5	14.8	14.8	117.6	112.8	107.7
season	14.9	14.7		108.6	110.1
opponent	14.9	14.5		108.3	109.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	OT	Total
POR	15.1	14.3	14.5	14.4	13.7	14.5
BOS	15.5	13.9	13.8	16.9	13.6	14.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Portland Trail Blazers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Evan Turner	79	82	1.09	-0.59	1.68	0.74	12	-8	20	14.1	15.7	-1.59	15.5	12.7	2.76
Damian Lillard	77	79	0.91	-0.41	1.32	0.35	19	-15	34	14.1	15.5	-1.39	14.8	14.8	0.07
Mason Plumlee	54	58	0.72	-0.22	0.93	0.34	13	-9	22	14.1	14.8	-0.69	15.4	14.2	1.20
CJ McCollum	91	92	0.52	-0.02	0.55	0.43	3	1	2	14.3	15.6	-1.37	15.6	10.6	4.94
Al-Farouq Aminu	75	75	0.32	0.18	0.13	0.23	3	1	2	15.0	13.4	1.54	14.3	16.0	-1.76
Noah Vonleh	33	33	0.31	0.19	0.12	0.11	7	-3	10	13.5	14.9	-1.45	16.9	13.9	2.96
Maurice Harkless	28	27	-0.17	0.67	-0.83	-0.02	-5	9	-14	15.9	14.0	1.94	12.7	15.5	-2.76
Meyers Leonard	52	51	-0.29	0.79	-1.07	0.07	-12	16	-28	15.2	13.9	1.32	13.9	15.6	-1.72
Shabazz Napier	1	0	-0.31	0.81	-1.13	-0.23	-3	7	-10	8.0	14.6	-6.55	0.0	14.8	-14.82
Allen Crabbe	50	48	-0.60	1.10	-1.70	-0.10	-17	21	-38	15.1	13.9	1.17	13.0	16.2	-3.17

Boston Celtics
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Terry Rozier	45	43	0.31	-0.81	1.12	0.16	5	-9	14	14.5	15.0	-0.52	14.1	14.8	-0.66
Kelly Olynyk	54	53	0.04	-0.54	0.59	-0.13	6	-10	16	13.3	16.3	-3.01	15.1	13.9	1.11
Jaylen Brown	27	26	-0.08	-0.42	0.33	-0.03	-2	-2	0	14.8	14.8	-0.05	15.4	14.2	1.23
Jordan Mickey	29	28	-0.14	-0.36	0.21	-0.03	-4	0	-4	12.4	15.7	-3.23	15.8	14.0	1.80
Marcus Smart	88	89	-0.36	-0.14	-0.22	-0.45	3	-7	10	13.7	19.5	-5.77	14.5	14.3	0.21
Jae Crowder	82	82	-0.42	-0.08	-0.33	-0.36	-2	-2	0	14.8	14.8	0.05	14.2	15.4	-1.23
Al Horford	76	77	-0.43	-0.07	-0.36	-0.31	-4	0	-4	16.0	12.1	3.91	13.8	16.1	-2.25
Isaiah Thomas	89	89	-0.63	0.13	-0.75	-0.33	-10	6	-16	15.6	11.1	4.49	14.2	15.8	-1.64
Amir Johnson	55	53	-0.79	0.29	-1.08	-0.44	-12	8	-20	16.6	13.0	3.64	14.9	14.1	0.81

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.54,0.55,0.57,0.61,0.63,0.57,0.53,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.58,0.54,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.42,0.51,0.53,0.46,0.48,0.61,0.64,0.73,0.75,0.74,0.66,0.58,0.52,0.64,0.55,0.38,0.35,0.37,0.4,0.52,0.42,0.52,0.57,0.33,0.37,0.36,0.45,0.33,0.31,0.29,0.66,0.26,0.46,0.31,0.21,0.34,0.58,0
Game		Similarity Score
NJN 98, CLE 94	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.47,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.55,0.6,0.63,0.64,0.55,0.49,0.49,0.56,0.56,0.56,0.59,0.49,0.46,0.49,0.54,0.6,0.58,0.61,0.55,0.55,0.52,0.52,0.48,0.41,0.44,0.56,0.5,0.62,0.47,0.43,0.37,0.31,0.29,0.33,0.32,0.28,0.66,0.42,0.54,0.47,0.46,0.32,0.27,0	89.4%
MIN 92, CHI 89	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.49,0.48,0.48,0.49,0.49,0.47,0.49,0.55,0.55,0.56,0.6,0.58,0.6,0.63,0.6,0.67,0.59,0.56,0.61,0.69,0.61,0.64,0.73,0.65,0.58,0.55,0.67,0.67,0.55,0.49,0.52,0.56,0.48,0.44,0.46,0.34,0.38,0.42,0.53,0.34,0.24,0.22,0.31,0.45,0.57,0.42,0.46,0.55,0.37,0.43,0.42,0	88.9%
LAC 105, HOU 103	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.54,0.51,0.58,0.57,0.53,0.61,0.55,0.6,0.6,0.63,0.56,0.56,0.51,0.56,0.56,0.51,0.51,0.54,0.54,0.56,0.61,0.51,0.52,0.57,0.58,0.55,0.55,0.52,0.59,0.52,0.56,0.56,0.56,0.38,0.57,0.53,0.47,0.37,0.36,0.34,0.22,0.14,0.36,0.45,0.42,0.46,0.61,0.46,0.55,0.58,0	88.5%