NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Memphis Grizzlies	101		Excitement	5.9 [655]		MVP	Otto Porter (WAS): +23.9%
Washington Wizards	104		Comeback	1.0 [905]		LVP	Zach Randolph (MEM): -15.6%

Memphis Grizzlies
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
JaMychal Green	0.13	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.13,0.13	0.15	0.00	0.02	7	94%	0.13	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Marc Gasol	0.08	0,0,0.01,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.12	0.02	0.06	16	65%	0.10	1	-0.02	11	91%	0.04
Vince Carter	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01	0.04	-0.01	0.04	9	60%	0.02	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Chandler Parsons	-0.02	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.03,-0.03,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.04	0.00	-0.01	6	37%	-0.00	1	-0.02	4	75%	0.00
Andrew Harrison	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.04	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Tony Allen	-0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.08	-0.02	0.00	7	33%	-0.05	2	-0.05	4	50%	-0.02
Mike Conley	-0.13	0,0,0,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.14,-0.19,-0.18,-0.18,-0.13,-0.01,-0.09,-0.13	-0.00	-0.06	0.06	13	57%	0.09	5	-0.22	9	89%	0.04
James Ennis III	-0.15	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.15	-0.05	-0.09	0.00	10	36%	-0.11	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Zach Randolph	-0.16	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.1,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16	-0.11	-0.04	0.00	14	21%	-0.16	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00

Washington Wizards
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Otto Porter	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.14,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.21,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24	0.24	0.27	0.02	0.05	12	100%	0.24	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
John Wall	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.05,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.12,0.13,0.14	0.14	-0.01	0.12	-0.03	18	54%	0.19	4	-0.06	10	100%	0.05
Marcin Gortat	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.03	0.01	-0.00	5	58%	0.04	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Markieff Morris	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.00	0.00	-0.01	16	46%	0.04	1	-0.02	5	100%	0.02
Trey Burke	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.02	-0.01	0.00	3	71%	0.05	1	-0.04	1	100%	0.00
Tomas Satoransky	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.00	0.01	0.00	1	100%	0.04	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Jason Smith	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.02,0,0,0	-0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	8	44%	-0.00	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Kelly Oubre Jr.	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	3	43%	0.02	1	-0.04	1	100%	0.00
Bradley Beal	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.12	-0.12	-0.10	-0.05	-0.02	14	37%	-0.02	3	-0.10	4	75%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.5	2.5	29.8	14.5	26.2	1.6	46.6	144.8
league avg	24.8	2.3	29.6	15.7	26.8	2.3	33.5	136.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

WAS +56.4%

WAS +1.3%

MEM -9.6%

WAS +8.5%

MEM -6.5%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	MEM	WAS	NBA	MEM	WAS	NBA
this game	15.8	15.7	14.8	111.0	113.0	107.7
season	16.1	14.4		106.4	109.9
opponent	14.9	14.9		108.7	106.7

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
MEM	16.4	15.2	15.7	15.9	15.8
WAS	14.2	14.2	17.7	16.9	15.7

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Memphis Grizzlies
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Chandler Parsons	38	38	-0.07	-0.43	0.35	-0.10	1	-4	5	14.1	17.0	-2.89	15.3	15.9	-0.59
Zach Randolph	37	38	-0.19	-0.31	0.13	-0.07	-4	1	-5	16.8	15.1	1.64	16.1	15.3	0.80
Tony Allen	56	59	-0.19	-0.31	0.12	-0.13	-2	-1	-1	15.5	16.3	-0.72	16.0	15.1	0.89
Andrew Harrison	16	16	-0.21	-0.29	0.09	0.09	-10	7	-17	19.0	15.1	3.87	13.8	16.1	-2.24
JaMychal Green	65	65	-0.22	-0.28	0.06	-0.31	3	-6	9	15.1	17.5	-2.42	16.4	13.8	2.62
Mike Conley	59	60	-0.28	-0.22	-0.06	-0.49	7	-10	17	14.7	17.9	-3.18	16.5	14.0	2.55
James Ennis III	53	52	-0.31	-0.19	-0.13	-0.34	1	-4	5	16.3	15.1	1.17	14.9	16.7	-1.83
Vince Carter	55	56	-0.44	-0.06	-0.37	-0.32	-4	1	-5	16.8	14.3	2.45	15.4	16.1	-0.64
Marc Gasol	76	76	-0.60	0.10	-0.69	-0.39	-7	4	-11	16.1	14.2	1.93	15.1	18.2	-3.13

Washington Wizards
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Markieff Morris	67	67	0.71	-0.21	0.92	0.33	13	-10	23	14.8	17.9	-3.04	15.7	16.2	-0.59
John Wall	72	71	0.41	0.09	0.33	0.41	0	3	-3	15.5	16.2	-0.69	15.4	17.4	-2.10
Marcin Gortat	69	68	0.24	0.26	-0.01	0.18	2	1	1	16.2	14.2	1.99	15.5	16.8	-1.30
Kelly Oubre Jr.	36	37	0.23	0.27	-0.05	0.14	3	0	3	14.9	16.1	-1.18	17.6	14.6	2.96
Trey Burke	16	16	0.22	0.28	-0.05	-0.01	8	-5	13	15.3	15.7	-0.42	18.1	15.3	2.73
Tomas Satoransky	23	23	0.19	0.31	-0.12	-0.01	7	-4	11	15.8	15.6	0.16	19.6	14.5	5.08
Jason Smith	35	35	0.19	0.31	-0.12	0.13	2	1	1	16.4	15.2	1.24	17.9	14.5	3.37
Bradley Beal	73	72	0.17	0.33	-0.16	0.43	-9	12	-21	15.8	14.9	0.90	14.6	20.6	-6.02
Otto Porter	69	66	0.13	0.37	-0.24	0.45	-11	14	-25	16.0	14.8	1.17	14.2	20.0	-5.77

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.52,0.52,0.53,0.56,0.56,0.6,0.63,0.63,0.57,0.6,0.64,0.65,0.6,0.69,0.75,0.73,0.78,0.86,0.79,0.8,0.84,0.9,0.92,0.88,0.84,0.8,0.72,0.73,0.71,0.74,0.81,0.87,0.89,0.86,0.75,0.74,0.7,0.75,0.8,0.84,0.8,0.91,0.97,0.98,0.89,0.84,0.95,1
Game		Similarity Score
PHI 114, NOP 121	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.53,0.57,0.51,0.53,0.53,0.61,0.6,0.63,0.66,0.72,0.74,0.78,0.82,0.81,0.82,0.79,0.75,0.8,0.84,0.92,0.93,0.9,0.88,0.82,0.78,0.76,0.81,0.87,0.85,0.82,0.86,0.8,0.72,0.58,0.57,0.75,0.83,0.77,0.83,0.88,0.94,0.97,0.95,0.96,1,1	93.9%
MIN 100, IND 110	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.54,0.58,0.52,0.6,0.62,0.66,0.63,0.67,0.64,0.71,0.74,0.72,0.7,0.75,0.75,0.78,0.76,0.79,0.84,0.87,0.9,0.89,0.86,0.84,0.79,0.78,0.83,0.76,0.71,0.77,0.87,0.79,0.77,0.68,0.78,0.81,0.75,0.86,0.93,0.96,1,1,0.98,1,0.98,1,1	93.7%
ORL 102, CHA 108	0.5,0.51,0.55,0.57,0.53,0.55,0.58,0.65,0.66,0.66,0.67,0.67,0.62,0.65,0.66,0.7,0.77,0.81,0.82,0.82,0.84,0.87,0.92,0.87,0.88,0.93,0.9,0.86,0.85,0.76,0.81,0.84,0.8,0.79,0.73,0.7,0.75,0.74,0.78,0.82,0.8,0.85,0.92,0.94,0.98,0.93,0.93,0.94,1,1	93.6%