NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Dallas Mavericks	92		Excitement	4.7 [873]		MVP	Karl-Anthony Towns (MIN): +21.6%
Minnesota Timberwolves	101		Comeback	1.1 [1035]		LVP	Wesley Matthews (DAL): -13.8%

Dallas Mavericks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Dirk Nowitzki	0.14	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.16,0.16,0.13,0.13,0.18,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.18	0.03	0.06	16	67%	0.14	0	0.00	7	71%	-0.02
Dorian Finney-Smith	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.02	0.04	-0.00	1	150%	0.08	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Harrison Barnes	0.05	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.14,0.13,0.15,0.15,0.18,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.11,0.12,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.16	-0.04	0.07	23	65%	0.10	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Salah Mejri	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.00	0.01	-0.00	2	50%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Justin Anderson	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	0.00	2	50%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Dwight Powell	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	0.01	1	50%	-0.00	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Deron Williams	-0.00	0,0,0,-0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.01	0.01	0.00	9	61%	0.05	3	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Andrew Bogut	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.04	0.00	-0.01	2	50%	0.01	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Devin Harris	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.03	-0.02	0.01	5	40%	-0.04	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Seth Curry	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.01	-0.02	0.02	6	67%	-0.02	3	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
J.J. Barea	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.08	-0.02	-0.01	4	0%	-0.07	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Wesley Matthews	-0.14	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.12	-0.03	-0.01	7	14%	-0.11	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00

Minnesota Timberwolves
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Karl-Anthony Towns	0,0,0,0.04,0.06,0.09,0.11,0.13,0.14,0.16,0.17,0.17,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.15,0.16,0.15,0.15,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.2,0.22,0.22,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.17,0.17,0.14,0.17,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22	0.22	0.23	0.02	0.04	19	85%	0.30	3	-0.09	2	100%	0.01
Gorgui Dieng	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.03	0.05	-0.00	8	60%	0.11	1	-0.02	4	50%	-0.02
Shabazz Muhammad	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.04	0.01	0.01	9	61%	0.07	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Ricky Rubio	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.07,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	-0.02	0.03	-0.01	9	52%	0.07	3	-0.04	7	100%	0.01
Andrew Wiggins	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	-0.04	0.02	-0.04	11	46%	0.09	3	-0.06	6	50%	-0.01
Nemanja Bjelica	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.02	0.00	-0.00	2	75%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tyus Jones	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.08	0.00	0.06	3	117%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Cole Aldrich	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Zach LaVine	0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.06	0.00	-0.03	7	36%	-0.00	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Kris Dunn	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.10	-0.03	-0.01	3	37%	-0.01	4	-0.10	2	50%	-0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.6	1.8	29.2	15.8	23.5	2.0	37.3	134.2
league avg	24.8	2.3	29.6	15.7	26.8	2.3	33.5	136.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

MIN +41.5%

MIN +8.3%

MIN +15.4%

DAL -15.4%

MIN +0.1%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	DAL	MIN	NBA	DAL	MIN	NBA
this game	16.3	15.7	14.8	103.4	111.0	107.7
season	16.2	15.3		104.4	109.3
opponent	14.7	14.7		110.2	107.2

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
DAL	15.9	16.2	18.6	14.8	16.3
MIN	14.7	15.8	16.5	15.8	15.7

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Dallas Mavericks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Seth Curry	53	55	-0.07	-0.43	0.36	-0.31	8	-17	25	16.1	16.6	-0.47	16.8	14.1	2.68
Dorian Finney-Smith	13	14	-0.07	-0.43	0.35	-0.07	0	-9	9	14.7	16.6	-1.89	14.7	15.9	-1.17
Salah Mejri	19	19	-0.08	-0.42	0.33	-0.05	-1	-8	7	17.9	15.9	2.02	15.5	15.8	-0.29
Andrew Bogut	32	31	-0.09	-0.41	0.32	-0.03	-2	-7	5	18.5	15.1	3.38	15.9	15.6	0.30
Justin Anderson	13	13	-0.15	-0.35	0.21	-0.03	-4	-5	1	13.7	16.7	-3.06	14.1	16.0	-1.90
Dwight Powell	12	13	-0.16	-0.34	0.18	0.02	-6	-3	-3	12.5	16.9	-4.40	16.0	15.7	0.35
Deron Williams	60	61	-0.16	-0.34	0.18	-0.16	0	-9	9	16.7	15.5	1.22	16.3	14.5	1.84
Harrison Barnes	62	63	-0.21	-0.29	0.09	-0.26	2	-11	13	16.4	16.0	0.38	16.1	14.7	1.43
Wesley Matthews	67	69	-0.28	-0.22	-0.06	-0.28	0	-9	9	16.6	15.3	1.31	15.6	15.9	-0.27
Devin Harris	27	28	-0.34	-0.16	-0.18	-0.02	-11	2	-13	16.0	16.4	-0.38	14.9	16.1	-1.17
J.J. Barea	27	28	-0.34	-0.16	-0.18	-0.02	-11	2	-13	16.0	16.4	-0.38	14.9	16.1	-1.17
Dirk Nowitzki	60	61	-0.55	0.05	-0.60	0.03	-20	11	-31	15.8	17.2	-1.39	15.0	17.2	-2.18

Minnesota Timberwolves
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Shabazz Muhammad	40	39	0.55	-0.05	0.60	0.05	17	-8	25	14.8	16.4	-1.66	16.2	16.4	-0.13
Nemanja Bjelica	57	53	0.44	0.06	0.38	0.21	8	1	7	15.6	15.9	-0.29	15.6	17.3	-1.68
Ricky Rubio	59	57	0.42	0.08	0.33	0.15	9	0	9	15.5	16.0	-0.51	15.9	17.1	-1.23
Tyus Jones	23	21	0.26	0.24	0.01	0.17	3	6	-3	15.7	15.7	-0.07	14.3	16.9	-2.64
Andrew Wiggins	68	67	0.23	0.27	-0.05	0.17	2	7	-5	15.8	15.3	0.48	15.9	17.6	-1.77
Karl-Anthony Towns	70	69	0.22	0.28	-0.06	0.19	1	8	-7	15.7	15.6	0.11	15.9	17.6	-1.74
Gorgui Dieng	47	48	0.21	0.29	-0.08	0.15	2	7	-5	15.9	15.5	0.44	17.4	15.0	2.42
Cole Aldrich	8	8	0.13	0.37	-0.24	-0.07	7	2	5	15.0	15.8	-0.77	17.5	16.2	1.31
Kris Dunn	32	32	0.08	0.42	-0.33	0.08	0	9	-9	16.0	15.5	0.51	17.1	15.9	1.23
Zach LaVine	51	51	-0.03	0.53	-0.57	0.08	-4	13	-17	16.3	14.9	1.34	17.8	14.3	3.42

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.48,0.54,0.57,0.59,0.56,0.61,0.64,0.67,0.69,0.67,0.73,0.77,0.78,0.82,0.84,0.9,0.89,0.91,0.88,0.87,0.82,0.75,0.75,0.73,0.84,0.88,0.91,0.89,0.86,0.79,0.77,0.69,0.7,0.63,0.68,0.78,0.78,0.7,0.67,0.77,0.86,0.96,0.98,0.97,0.99,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
MEM 104, NYK 111	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.57,0.63,0.62,0.66,0.66,0.7,0.72,0.76,0.77,0.75,0.75,0.78,0.83,0.82,0.86,0.83,0.84,0.79,0.84,0.84,0.83,0.8,0.73,0.74,0.78,0.8,0.83,0.92,0.85,0.83,0.81,0.8,0.8,0.64,0.7,0.74,0.71,0.62,0.63,0.83,0.97,0.99,0.98,0.97,1,1,1	93.6%
CHH 79, NYK 91	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.52,0.53,0.59,0.6,0.64,0.67,0.67,0.72,0.71,0.78,0.78,0.74,0.78,0.8,0.86,0.85,0.8,0.84,0.87,0.86,0.83,0.8,0.88,0.86,0.86,0.82,0.85,0.86,0.77,0.77,0.76,0.73,0.78,0.68,0.58,0.57,0.62,0.71,0.81,0.94,0.97,0.98,0.96,0.98,0.98,1,1	93.6%
MEM 92, LAC 108	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.51,0.52,0.54,0.61,0.65,0.61,0.63,0.69,0.73,0.76,0.82,0.81,0.85,0.87,0.89,0.87,0.84,0.77,0.78,0.74,0.75,0.84,0.8,0.81,0.86,0.78,0.76,0.73,0.68,0.82,0.86,0.8,0.67,0.79,0.74,0.74,0.7,0.71,0.84,0.86,0.88,0.93,0.98,0.98,1,1,1	93.6%