NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Philadelphia 76ers	106		Excitement	9.7 [81]		MVP	Al Horford (BOS): +65.2%
Boston Celtics	110		Comeback	6.2 [546]		LVP	Ersan Ilyasova (PHI): -36.3%

Philadelphia 76ers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Gerald Henderson	0.32	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.12,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.19,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.32,0.32	0.13	0.19	0.00	9	82%	0.39	1	-0.08	4	100%	0.02
Joel Embiid	0.28	0,0,0.02,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.03,0.04,0.09,0.28	0.06	0.20	-0.01	12	68%	0.39	4	-0.11	10	100%	0.15
Nerlens Noel	0.18	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.13,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18	0.09	0.10	0.00	8	72%	0.18	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Timothe Luwawu-Cabarrot	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.00	0.00	-0.00	2	50%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
TJ McConnell	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.01	-0.01	0.00	6	64%	0.04	2	-0.05	2	50%	-0.02
Dario Saric	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.06	0.03	-0.00	9	40%	0.02	2	-0.05	2	100%	0.03
Robert Covington	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	-0.02	6	56%	0.01	3	-0.05	4	75%	-0.02
Nik Stauskas	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.06	-0.01	0.00	6	29%	-0.04	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Ersan Ilyasova	-0.36	0,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.13,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.02,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.09,0.04,0.04,-0.08,-0.36	-0.01	-0.35	0.01	21	48%	-0.32	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00

Boston Celtics
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Al Horford	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,0.04,0.09,0.14,0.28,0.28,0.24,0.24,0.65	0.65	0.08	0.57	-0.00	15	59%	0.72	1	-0.07	2	50%	-0.01
Amir Johnson	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.1	0.10	0.07	0.03	-0.01	6	81%	0.14	2	-0.04	4	75%	-0.02
Marcus Smart	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0,0,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.03	0.03	-0.02	12	50%	0.10	1	-0.02	4	100%	0.03
Gerald Green	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.04	0.00	0.00	1	150%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Isaiah Thomas	0,0,-0.03,-0.03,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,0,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,0.08,-0.01,0	-0.00	-0.01	0.02	0.02	14	62%	0.15	7	-0.15	11	91%	0.06
Jaylen Brown	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Jonas Jerebko	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	3	50%	0.01	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Kelly Olynyk	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.02	-0.05	-0.00	7	44%	-0.00	1	-0.06	4	75%	-0.00
Avery Bradley	0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.04,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.08,0.08,0.03,0.05,0.07,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.04,-0.09	-0.09	0.10	-0.16	0.03	24	54%	-0.09	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jae Crowder	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.08	-0.02	-0.00	4	0%	-0.07	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Terry Rozier	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.08,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.13	-0.06	-0.07	0.00	1	0%	-0.05	2	-0.08	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	21.5	2.4	33.4	15.4	29.4	1.8	43.0	146.8
league avg	24.8	2.3	29.6	15.7	26.8	2.3	33.5	136.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

BOS +52.8%

PHI -24.8%

BOS +37.2%

PHI -14.8%

PHI -0.4%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	PHI	BOS	NBA	PHI	BOS	NBA
this game	13.0	15.0	14.8	103.9	105.8	107.7
season	14.5	14.7		101.9	110.1
opponent	14.9	14.4		108.3	107.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
PHI	15.9	11.2	13.8	11.5	13.0
BOS	14.2	14.1	14.4	17.3	15.0

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Philadelphia 76ers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Nerlens Noel	51	52	0.05	-0.55	0.60	0.11	-2	-2	0	13.8	12.1	1.71	15.1	14.9	0.17
TJ McConnell	80	80	-0.04	-0.46	0.42	-0.33	10	-14	24	12.5	14.6	-2.07	15.3	13.8	1.48
Dario Saric	48	48	-0.04	-0.46	0.42	-0.19	5	-9	14	12.9	13.1	-0.18	15.5	14.5	1.02
Timothe Luwawu-Cabarrot	18	19	-0.11	-0.39	0.27	0.03	-5	1	-6	13.7	12.8	0.85	13.6	15.3	-1.70
Gerald Henderson	60	63	-0.27	-0.23	-0.04	-0.27	0	-4	4	12.8	13.2	-0.45	15.4	14.3	1.08
Joel Embiid	54	56	-0.38	-0.12	-0.26	-0.35	-1	-3	2	13.0	13.0	-0.02	15.2	14.7	0.45
Robert Covington	78	79	-0.50	-0.00	-0.49	-0.32	-6	2	-8	12.4	14.7	-2.22	14.9	15.3	-0.46
Nik Stauskas	52	54	-0.60	0.10	-0.70	-0.13	-16	12	-28	13.7	12.3	1.39	14.2	15.8	-1.63
Ersan Ilyasova	69	69	-0.61	0.11	-0.73	-0.47	-5	1	-6	13.0	12.9	0.05	14.7	15.5	-0.82

Boston Celtics
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Kelly Olynyk	37	38	0.79	-0.29	1.09	0.56	8	-4	12	15.7	14.6	1.18	13.4	12.7	0.63
Avery Bradley	79	76	0.47	0.03	0.44	0.26	7	-3	10	14.6	16.1	-1.46	12.9	13.3	-0.45
Amir Johnson	57	56	0.44	0.06	0.37	0.23	7	-3	10	14.8	15.2	-0.44	12.6	13.4	-0.85
Terry Rozier	24	23	0.38	0.12	0.25	0.23	5	-1	6	15.5	14.8	0.74	12.6	13.1	-0.47
Jae Crowder	64	63	0.33	0.17	0.15	0.27	2	2	0	15.1	14.8	0.32	12.8	13.2	-0.38
Al Horford	71	69	0.30	0.20	0.10	0.27	1	3	-2	15.1	14.8	0.31	12.7	13.5	-0.76
Marcus Smart	65	62	0.06	0.44	-0.38	0.12	-2	6	-8	15.0	14.9	0.12	12.2	14.2	-1.98
Isaiah Thomas	74	76	0.02	0.48	-0.46	-0.07	3	1	2	15.4	14.0	1.36	13.1	12.5	0.63
Jonas Jerebko	30	29	-0.05	0.55	-0.61	-0.02	-1	5	-6	14.8	15.0	-0.24	14.8	12.3	2.50
Gerald Green	8	8	-0.10	0.60	-0.70	0.02	-4	8	-12	12.0	15.2	-3.22	13.0	13.0	0.03
Jaylen Brown	11	10	-0.13	0.63	-0.76	0.05	-6	10	-16	13.1	15.2	-2.10	16.3	12.6	3.69

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.44,0.43,0.45,0.46,0.46,0.51,0.51,0.57,0.57,0.64,0.64,0.54,0.53,0.45,0.47,0.44,0.39,0.35,0.32,0.29,0.23,0.21,0.16,0.2,0.17,0.14,0.2,0.17,0.24,0.32,0.23,0.17,0.2,0.22,0.36,0.42,0.52,0.62,0.76,0.63,0.59,0.6,0.72,0.68,0.79,0.83,0.53,1
Game		Similarity Score
DEN 105, POR 110	0.5,0.49,0.54,0.54,0.54,0.57,0.53,0.51,0.59,0.57,0.57,0.51,0.53,0.43,0.51,0.45,0.42,0.42,0.42,0.3,0.23,0.31,0.36,0.36,0.33,0.27,0.21,0.18,0.11,0.17,0.19,0.13,0.19,0.22,0.27,0.29,0.36,0.3,0.38,0.52,0.57,0.47,0.47,0.54,0.6,0.62,0.71,0.68,0.42,1	90.7%
POR 89, LAC 90	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.5,0.46,0.46,0.45,0.41,0.43,0.41,0.43,0.45,0.49,0.48,0.44,0.4,0.4,0.4,0.44,0.42,0.39,0.34,0.33,0.25,0.33,0.33,0.31,0.25,0.23,0.3,0.3,0.35,0.35,0.31,0.27,0.3,0.25,0.46,0.58,0.62,0.62,0.73,0.74,0.81,0.83,0.81,0.72,0.85,0.73,1	89.9%
GSW 104, SAC 106	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.45,0.47,0.49,0.49,0.55,0.62,0.65,0.65,0.73,0.66,0.63,0.58,0.49,0.49,0.42,0.37,0.37,0.37,0.41,0.31,0.28,0.27,0.27,0.24,0.28,0.25,0.22,0.24,0.32,0.29,0.48,0.48,0.56,0.48,0.54,0.62,0.71,0.62,0.63,0.64,0.71,0.72,0.75,0.89,0.94,0.58,1	89.7%