NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Golden State Warriors	104		Excitement	8.6 [140]		MVP	Bobby Jackson (SAC): +36.4%
Sacramento Kings	106		Comeback	3.6 [625]		LVP	Vlade Divac (SAC): -14.2%

Golden State Warriors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Clifford Robinson	0.22	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.22,0.22	0.02	0.21	0.01	13	62%	0.31	3	-0.09	0	0%	0.00
Brian Cardinal	0.13	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.08	0.06	0.01	6	79%	0.13	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Mike Dunleavy	0.09	0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.08,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.01	0.00	8	87%	0.15	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Avery Johnson	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.07,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.01	0.03	-0.01	5	64%	0.12	1	-0.06	1	100%	0.01
Sean Lampley	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Erick Dampier	-0.02	0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.02	-0.08	0.05	-0.01	11	42%	0.06	2	-0.08	4	25%	-0.05
Jason Richardson	-0.08	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0,0.02,0.05,0.09,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.04,0.07,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,0.09,0.12,0.14,0.16,-0.08	0.04	-0.13	-0.02	21	57%	-0.05	1	-0.03	12	67%	0.01
Speedy Claxton	-0.10	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.07	-0.03	-0.00	10	30%	-0.07	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Calbert Cheaney	-0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.03	-0.08	0.00	8	50%	0.00	2	-0.11	0	0%	0.00

Sacramento Kings
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Bobby Jackson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.11,0.11,0.16,0.12,0.16,0.08,0.36	0.36	0.06	0.30	-0.00	10	73%	0.51	2	-0.14	2	100%	0.01
Peja Stojakovic	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.14,0.16,0.12,0.08,0.08,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.16	0.16	0.09	0.08	0.01	18	69%	0.24	3	-0.08	12	92%	0.07
Darius Songaila	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.04	0.05	0.00	5	67%	0.08	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Mike Bibby	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.05	-0.02	0.00	11	59%	0.04	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Gerald Wallace	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.02	0.03	-0.01	12	42%	0.02	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Anthony Peeler	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.01	0.00	0.00	3	50%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Doug Christie	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.05	-0.00	-0.01	2	0%	-0.03	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Brad Miller	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.1,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.11	-0.01	-0.02	15	34%	-0.05	2	-0.05	2	50%	-0.02
Vlade Divac	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.09,-0.12,-0.14,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.15,-0.15,-0.18,-0.18,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.14	-0.14	-0.02	-0.02	9	42%	-0.03	4	-0.11	8	87%	0.02

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.1	1.8	31.2	16.4	22.5	2.5	28.5	128.0
league avg	47.8	2.4	27.9	14.3	24.8	2.1	29.8	150.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

SAC +1.4%

SAC +30.2%

SAC +23.8%

GSW -5.6%

SAC +0.3%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	GSW	SAC	NBA	GSW	SAC	NBA
this game	16.0	15.2	15.7	113.0	114.0	100.5
season	16.1	14.7		100.8	106.9
opponent	15.6	15.3		102.0	101.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
GSW	16.2	13.9	18.0	16.1	16.0
SAC	14.5	14.9	14.7	16.6	15.2

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Golden State Warriors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Brian Cardinal	46	45	0.04	-0.54	0.59	-0.34	13	-15	28	15.2	16.7	-1.50	15.3	15.0	0.27
Sean Lampley	3	3	0.00	-0.50	0.51	0.00	0	-2	2	15.0	16.0	-1.00	7.0	15.4	-8.44
Speedy Claxton	60	59	-0.02	-0.48	0.47	0.01	-1	-1	0	16.5	14.9	1.63	15.3	15.0	0.22
Calbert Cheaney	55	53	-0.09	-0.41	0.32	-0.56	16	-18	34	14.9	17.6	-2.77	15.6	14.6	0.96
Avery Johnson	32	33	-0.24	-0.26	0.02	-0.18	-2	0	-2	14.9	16.5	-1.63	15.4	15.0	0.34
Mike Dunleavy	57	60	-0.38	-0.12	-0.26	-0.35	-1	-1	0	16.8	14.5	2.30	14.6	16.2	-1.57
Clifford Robinson	64	66	-0.45	-0.05	-0.39	-0.36	-3	1	-4	17.0	13.6	3.34	15.6	14.2	1.39
Erick Dampier	66	67	-0.62	0.12	-0.73	-0.15	-16	14	-30	15.9	16.2	-0.37	15.3	14.9	0.40
Jason Richardson	77	79	-0.76	0.26	-1.01	-0.29	-16	14	-30	15.8	16.6	-0.76	15.0	16.4	-1.40

Sacramento Kings
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Peja Stojakovic	84	82	0.64	-0.14	0.79	0.38	9	-7	16	15.2	15.3	-0.18	16.0	15.5	0.52
Brad Miller	85	85	0.58	-0.08	0.67	0.47	4	-2	6	15.0	17.0	-2.00	16.3	11.4	4.91
Gerald Wallace	54	56	0.41	0.09	0.32	0.35	2	0	2	15.8	14.3	1.53	17.0	14.4	2.64
Mike Bibby	61	58	0.36	0.14	0.22	0.09	9	-7	16	14.4	16.6	-2.12	15.7	16.4	-0.61
Vlade Divac	50	45	0.28	0.22	0.07	-0.07	12	-10	22	15.4	14.9	0.58	17.2	14.8	2.33
Darius Songaila	42	44	0.18	0.32	-0.14	0.56	-13	15	-28	15.8	14.7	1.08	15.0	16.9	-1.94
Bobby Jackson	46	49	0.14	0.36	-0.23	0.55	-14	16	-30	15.1	15.3	-0.21	14.6	17.5	-2.94
Doug Christie	30	27	0.08	0.42	-0.34	-0.15	8	-6	14	14.5	15.5	-0.94	15.9	16.0	-0.16
Anthony Peeler	13	14	-0.18	0.68	-0.85	0.03	-7	9	-16	16.1	15.0	1.05	14.6	16.2	-1.65

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.48,0.45,0.47,0.49,0.49,0.55,0.62,0.65,0.65,0.73,0.66,0.63,0.58,0.49,0.49,0.42,0.37,0.37,0.37,0.41,0.31,0.28,0.27,0.27,0.24,0.28,0.25,0.22,0.24,0.32,0.29,0.48,0.48,0.56,0.48,0.54,0.62,0.71,0.62,0.63,0.64,0.71,0.72,0.75,0.89,0.94,0.58,1
Game		Similarity Score
GSW 103, MIN 109	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.48,0.45,0.5,0.62,0.62,0.61,0.64,0.67,0.71,0.66,0.7,0.64,0.58,0.47,0.38,0.42,0.39,0.39,0.29,0.26,0.26,0.25,0.3,0.29,0.31,0.36,0.36,0.33,0.38,0.35,0.52,0.56,0.52,0.52,0.5,0.57,0.62,0.62,0.62,0.74,0.76,0.83,0.85,0.74,0.68,0.84,1	91.8%
SAS 88, MIN 91	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.52,0.52,0.57,0.58,0.65,0.64,0.63,0.62,0.62,0.58,0.57,0.51,0.47,0.45,0.45,0.44,0.44,0.42,0.39,0.36,0.33,0.27,0.27,0.31,0.26,0.23,0.33,0.24,0.32,0.34,0.38,0.44,0.48,0.48,0.54,0.43,0.43,0.52,0.58,0.64,0.81,0.83,0.81,0.71,0.84,0.85,1	91.2%
MIA 91, CHH 94	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.57,0.58,0.58,0.56,0.59,0.63,0.58,0.53,0.58,0.51,0.52,0.47,0.47,0.53,0.42,0.37,0.39,0.32,0.34,0.31,0.34,0.44,0.33,0.21,0.31,0.15,0.13,0.16,0.21,0.35,0.41,0.41,0.48,0.52,0.5,0.48,0.62,0.57,0.77,0.8,0.88,0.9,0.75,0.84,0.84,0.72,1	91.0%