NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Golden State Warriors	103		Excitement	8.4 [221]		MVP	Karl-Anthony Towns (MIN): +35.4%
Minnesota Timberwolves	109		Comeback	3.8 [183]		LVP	Klay Thompson (GSW): -18.4%

Golden State Warriors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Zaza Pachulia	0.15	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15	0.13	0.03	0.01	9	76%	0.15	0	0.00	3	67%	-0.01
Kevin Durant	0.15	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.05,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.14,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.01,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.22,0.22,0.15	0.07	0.09	0.01	32	51%	0.24	2	-0.09	12	100%	0.10
Shaun Livingston	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.01	0.01	-0.01	6	57%	0.05	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
JaVale McGee	0.02	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	1	100%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Omri Casspi	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.01	0.00	1	75%	0.05	1	-0.05	2	50%	-0.01
Kevon Looney	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Draymond Green	-0.03	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.08,-0.08,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.00	-0.04	-0.02	9	56%	0.07	2	-0.09	0	0%	0.00
Nick Young	-0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.06	-0.06	-0.01	4	0%	-0.10	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Quinn Cook	-0.14	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.14	-0.10	-0.03	0.01	7	29%	-0.06	3	-0.09	0	0%	0.00
Klay Thompson	-0.18	0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,0,0.04,0.04,0,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.03,-0.06,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.18,-0.18	-0.06	-0.12	0.00	22	46%	-0.08	4	-0.10	2	100%	0.01

Minnesota Timberwolves
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Karl-Anthony Towns	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.11,0.11,0.14,0.23,0.35,0.35	0.35	0.12	0.25	0.02	24	58%	0.38	1	-0.02	5	60%	-0.03
Jamal Crawford	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.18,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.04	0.07	-0.01	9	57%	0.13	1	-0.02	3	100%	0.02
Tyus Jones	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.04	0.06	-0.00	5	80%	0.15	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Andrew Wiggins	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.11	0.01	0.01	16	64%	0.12	1	-0.02	4	75%	-0.02
Taj Gibson	0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.01	0.01	-0.00	12	44%	0.02	0	0.00	1	100%	0.01
Gorgui Dieng	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.03	-0.01	0.00	4	22%	-0.04	0	0.00	1	0%	-0.01
Jeff Teague	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,0,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06	-0.06	-0.02	-0.02	0.01	8	48%	-0.00	2	-0.05	5	80%	0.01
Derrick Rose	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.09	-0.00	-0.00	5	20%	-0.04	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Nemanja Bjelica	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.17,-0.17	-0.17	-0.05	-0.10	0.02	12	38%	-0.04	1	-0.12	2	50%	-0.02

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.5	3.3	30.4	14.7	27.2	3.3	28.5	132.0
league avg	25.1	2.3	28.6	15.0	27.2	2.3	32.6	134.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

MIN +43.3%

GSW -9.0%

MIN +6.0%

MIN +8.0%

MIN +1.8%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	GSW	MIN	NBA	GSW	MIN	NBA
this game	13.7	15.3	14.7	103.0	110.1	107.5
season	13.7	15.3		112.6	111.8
opponent	14.4	15.1		110.2	105.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
GSW	15.0	10.5	16.1	13.6	13.7
MIN	15.0	15.8	13.2	17.0	15.3

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Golden State Warriors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Shaun Livingston	44	43	0.11	-0.61	0.71	-0.33	15	-21	36	14.5	13.0	1.51	14.6	15.8	-1.19
Nick Young	48	46	0.09	-0.59	0.68	-0.38	16	-22	38	12.0	15.2	-3.19	15.8	14.8	0.95
Kevon Looney	14	13	0.02	-0.52	0.54	0.02	0	-6	6	17.1	13.2	3.92	13.5	15.5	-2.06
Zaza Pachulia	54	53	-0.04	-0.46	0.41	-0.28	8	-14	22	13.9	13.5	0.45	14.7	15.9	-1.23
Omri Casspi	12	12	-0.05	-0.45	0.40	-0.11	2	-8	10	17.1	13.2	3.84	16.4	15.1	1.32
JaVale McGee	30	30	-0.32	-0.18	-0.14	0.12	-15	9	-24	15.0	13.1	1.86	14.4	15.6	-1.27
Draymond Green	77	75	-0.47	-0.03	-0.43	-0.23	-8	2	-10	12.8	16.8	-4.06	15.4	14.7	0.66
Quinn Cook	60	61	-0.53	0.03	-0.55	0.00	-18	12	-30	12.9	14.8	-1.92	15.8	14.4	1.31
Klay Thompson	83	84	-0.61	0.11	-0.73	-0.29	-11	5	-16	13.6	14.2	-0.64	15.5	14.1	1.40
Kevin Durant	78	78	-0.70	0.20	-0.91	-0.15	-19	13	-32	14.1	12.3	1.83	15.4	14.7	0.68

Minnesota Timberwolves
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jeff Teague	72	74	0.69	-0.19	0.88	0.13	19	-13	32	15.8	13.9	1.93	13.9	13.1	0.79
Taj Gibson	78	78	0.65	-0.15	0.80	0.21	15	-9	24	15.6	14.1	1.47	14.1	12.2	1.95
Karl-Anthony Towns	80	81	0.64	-0.14	0.77	0.20	15	-9	24	15.7	13.3	2.40	13.7	13.6	0.15
Andrew Wiggins	75	76	0.62	-0.12	0.75	0.01	21	-15	36	15.1	15.8	-0.71	14.0	12.9	1.09
Nemanja Bjelica	87	87	0.56	-0.06	0.62	0.33	8	-2	10	15.2	15.5	-0.28	13.1	17.9	-4.85
Jamal Crawford	42	43	-0.00	0.50	-0.51	0.26	-9	15	-24	15.0	15.4	-0.40	14.7	13.0	1.67
Gorgui Dieng	19	19	-0.14	0.64	-0.77	0.13	-9	15	-24	13.3	15.7	-2.40	13.6	13.7	-0.15
Tyus Jones	27	26	-0.19	0.69	-0.88	0.19	-13	19	-32	13.9	15.8	-1.93	13.1	13.9	-0.79
Derrick Rose	15	16	-0.33	0.83	-1.16	0.17	-17	23	-40	15.3	15.2	0.10	11.2	14.2	-2.92

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.54,0.48,0.45,0.5,0.62,0.62,0.61,0.64,0.67,0.71,0.66,0.7,0.64,0.58,0.47,0.38,0.42,0.39,0.39,0.29,0.26,0.26,0.25,0.3,0.29,0.31,0.36,0.36,0.33,0.38,0.35,0.52,0.56,0.52,0.52,0.5,0.57,0.62,0.62,0.62,0.74,0.76,0.83,0.85,0.74,0.68,0.84,1
Game		Similarity Score
SAS 88, MIN 91	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.52,0.52,0.57,0.58,0.65,0.64,0.63,0.62,0.62,0.58,0.57,0.51,0.47,0.45,0.45,0.44,0.44,0.42,0.39,0.36,0.33,0.27,0.27,0.31,0.26,0.23,0.33,0.24,0.32,0.34,0.38,0.44,0.48,0.48,0.54,0.43,0.43,0.52,0.58,0.64,0.81,0.83,0.81,0.71,0.84,0.85,1	92.3%
POR 99, CLE 104	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.49,0.54,0.56,0.6,0.51,0.51,0.61,0.55,0.62,0.62,0.57,0.51,0.49,0.53,0.44,0.42,0.42,0.44,0.41,0.36,0.36,0.25,0.25,0.21,0.26,0.25,0.3,0.27,0.35,0.48,0.56,0.59,0.56,0.48,0.5,0.62,0.71,0.76,0.72,0.69,0.88,0.67,0.75,0.84,0.67,0.95,1	92.1%
GSW 104, SAC 106	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.45,0.47,0.49,0.49,0.55,0.62,0.65,0.65,0.73,0.66,0.63,0.58,0.49,0.49,0.42,0.37,0.37,0.37,0.41,0.31,0.28,0.27,0.27,0.24,0.28,0.25,0.22,0.24,0.32,0.29,0.48,0.48,0.56,0.48,0.54,0.62,0.71,0.62,0.63,0.64,0.71,0.72,0.75,0.89,0.94,0.58,1	91.8%