NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Phoenix Suns	102		Excitement	8.5 [206]		MVP	Eric Bledsoe (PHX): +36.3%
Dallas Mavericks	95		Comeback	2.2 [323]		LVP	PJ Tucker (PHX): -11.2%

Phoenix Suns
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Eric Bledsoe	0.36	0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.06,0.31,0.36	0.10	0.28	0.03	16	67%	0.46	3	-0.10	7	86%	0.01
Brandon Knight	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.05,0.05	0.10	-0.03	0.02	11	65%	0.05	0	0.00	4	100%	0.02
Alex Len	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.05,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.00	0.04	-0.00	12	54%	0.12	2	-0.08	2	100%	0.02
Leandro Barbosa	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	-0.03	0.05	0.00	7	31%	0.02	0	0.00	2	100%	0.02
Devin Booker	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.06,0.1,0.07,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.14,0.14,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.05	-0.03	0.01	17	63%	0.23	4	-0.22	1	100%	0.01
Tyson Chandler	0.00	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.00	-0.00	2	50%	0.00	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.02
Dragan Bender	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.04	-0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
TJ Warren	-0.04	0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.03	-0.01	-0.00	11	37%	-0.04	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Marquese Chriss	-0.11	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.07	-0.03	0.01	2	33%	-0.03	3	-0.08	2	100%	0.01
PJ Tucker	-0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.06,0,0,0,-0.11,-0.11	-0.07	-0.05	-0.01	6	33%	-0.05	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00

Dallas Mavericks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Seth Curry	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19	0.19	0.09	0.12	0.02	9	73%	0.22	1	-0.02	4	75%	0.01
Devin Harris	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.19,0.24,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19	0.19	0.09	0.10	0.00	5	86%	0.24	1	-0.05	4	100%	0.03
Deron Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.08,0.14,0.08,0.03,0.03,-0.05,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.06	0.03	-0.01	14	65%	0.24	3	-0.14	3	67%	-0.01
Harrison Barnes	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.08,0.06,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.14,0.14,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.04	0.04	0.10	-0.05	0.01	13	63%	0.04	0	0.00	4	75%	-0.01
Andrew Bogut	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Dirk Nowitzki	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	-0.01	0.00	14	46%	0.03	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Dorian Finney-Smith	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.01	-0.01	0.01	4	50%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Dwight Powell	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.05	0.00	-0.02	4	25%	-0.01	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Nicolas Brussino	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.03	-0.02	-0.00	2	0%	-0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Pierre Jackson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.05	-0.00	0.00	2	0%	-0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Wesley Matthews	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.02,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.09,-0.11	-0.11	-0.08	-0.07	-0.04	12	35%	-0.04	2	-0.06	2	100%	0.03

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	22.3	2.4	26.2	14.8	30.8	1.5	35.3	133.3
league avg	24.8	2.3	29.6	15.7	26.8	2.3	33.5	136.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

PHX +12.3%

PHX +1.1%

PHX +60.5%

DAL -24.5%

PHX +0.6%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	PHX	DAL	NBA	PHX	DAL	NBA
this game	14.9	16.5	14.8	112.1	103.3	107.7
season	13.9	16.2		105.4	104.4
opponent	14.7	14.5		107.2	110.3

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
PHX	15.7	13.6	13.8	16.8	14.9
DAL	17.0	17.7	16.2	15.2	16.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Phoenix Suns
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Tyson Chandler	51	53	0.69	-0.19	0.88	0.19	17	-10	27	15.1	14.8	0.30	17.2	15.7	1.48
Brandon Knight	51	50	0.42	0.08	0.35	0.28	5	2	3	15.3	14.5	0.84	15.2	18.1	-2.90
Devin Booker	67	69	0.38	0.12	0.27	0.24	5	2	3	14.8	15.4	-0.64	16.3	17.2	-0.93
PJ Tucker	64	62	0.35	0.15	0.20	0.35	0	7	-7	15.6	13.4	2.19	16.0	17.6	-1.55
Eric Bledsoe	57	58	0.31	0.19	0.12	0.19	4	3	1	15.1	14.6	0.48	16.8	16.1	0.64
Dragan Bender	25	24	0.17	0.33	-0.16	0.05	4	3	1	15.6	14.7	0.85	16.7	16.5	0.20
TJ Warren	44	46	0.12	0.38	-0.25	0.09	1	6	-5	14.2	15.6	-1.43	18.1	14.9	3.17
Marquese Chriss	34	37	0.04	0.46	-0.43	-0.02	2	5	-3	14.1	15.4	-1.27	17.5	15.9	1.66
Alex Len	34	33	0.01	0.49	-0.48	0.07	-2	9	-11	15.1	14.9	0.23	15.9	16.9	-0.96
Leandro Barbosa	28	28	0.00	0.50	-0.49	0.03	-1	8	-9	14.0	15.4	-1.37	15.6	16.9	-1.37

Dallas Mavericks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Dorian Finney-Smith	32	31	0.03	-0.53	0.55	0.12	-3	-4	1	17.0	16.3	0.73	15.3	14.8	0.47
Devin Harris	38	39	-0.03	-0.47	0.45	-0.08	2	-9	11	16.8	16.4	0.41	14.2	15.5	-1.38
Harrison Barnes	73	73	-0.12	-0.38	0.26	-0.15	1	-8	9	16.4	17.0	-0.60	15.2	13.8	1.39
Pierre Jackson	7	6	-0.14	-0.36	0.21	0.00	-5	-2	-3	15.1	16.6	-1.49	12.0	15.2	-3.15
Andrew Bogut	35	34	-0.15	-0.35	0.19	-0.24	3	-10	13	17.5	15.9	1.56	16.6	14.0	2.62
Seth Curry	47	49	-0.19	-0.31	0.12	-0.34	5	-12	17	15.6	17.5	-1.98	15.7	14.0	1.67
Dwight Powell	20	19	-0.24	-0.26	0.01	-0.10	-5	-2	-3	16.3	16.6	-0.28	13.1	15.4	-2.33
Nicolas Brussino	21	21	-0.30	-0.20	-0.10	-0.15	-5	-2	-3	17.3	16.3	0.99	14.0	15.2	-1.29
Wesley Matthews	69	67	-0.38	-0.12	-0.27	-0.24	-5	-2	-3	16.3	17.2	-0.93	14.8	15.4	-0.64
Dirk Nowitzki	55	55	-0.48	-0.02	-0.46	-0.10	-13	6	-19	16.3	16.9	-0.66	14.4	15.8	-1.47
Deron Williams	63	61	-0.49	-0.01	-0.48	-0.20	-10	3	-13	16.9	15.7	1.27	15.3	14.1	1.21

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.48,0.43,0.45,0.46,0.52,0.51,0.51,0.55,0.57,0.58,0.62,0.57,0.53,0.47,0.46,0.51,0.46,0.44,0.44,0.59,0.58,0.56,0.56,0.58,0.58,0.58,0.58,0.48,0.45,0.42,0.29,0.38,0.44,0.33,0.44,0.58,0.62,0.43,0.33,0.37,0.53,0.41,0.47,0.25,0.21,0.57,0.17,0
Game		Similarity Score
LAC 94, CHI 90	0.5,0.49,0.54,0.55,0.57,0.58,0.52,0.59,0.61,0.55,0.51,0.55,0.56,0.5,0.53,0.49,0.49,0.54,0.49,0.49,0.52,0.54,0.51,0.54,0.56,0.51,0.58,0.52,0.58,0.52,0.42,0.52,0.38,0.38,0.34,0.23,0.4,0.5,0.43,0.53,0.42,0.42,0.36,0.4,0.47,0.32,0.36,0.29,0.05,0	91.5%
DAL 100, TOR 96	0.5,0.51,0.45,0.43,0.45,0.48,0.49,0.5,0.51,0.55,0.6,0.62,0.58,0.5,0.55,0.58,0.51,0.56,0.49,0.44,0.42,0.48,0.56,0.67,0.73,0.63,0.63,0.63,0.55,0.52,0.42,0.45,0.38,0.48,0.56,0.6,0.48,0.34,0.48,0.4,0.33,0.37,0.47,0.29,0.34,0.32,0.46,0.45,0.16,0	91.1%
MIL 102, DEN 97	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.46,0.51,0.49,0.46,0.43,0.49,0.49,0.53,0.63,0.6,0.6,0.51,0.6,0.6,0.56,0.51,0.54,0.56,0.54,0.58,0.52,0.56,0.5,0.6,0.57,0.58,0.48,0.39,0.32,0.22,0.28,0.34,0.37,0.4,0.5,0.48,0.38,0.33,0.28,0.21,0.27,0.22,0.25,0.26,0.41,0.09,0	91.1%