NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Minnesota Timberwolves	91		Excitement	6.1 [623]		MVP	Robert Covington (PHI): +36.9%
Philadelphia 76ers	93		Comeback	1.1 [551]		LVP	Andrew Wiggins (MIN): -24.6%

Minnesota Timberwolves
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Ricky Rubio	0.35	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.35	-0.02	0.36	-0.01	3	83%	0.39	3	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Zach LaVine	0.09	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.09	0.10	0.03	0.04	20	64%	0.15	3	-0.06	4	75%	-0.04
Nemanja Bjelica	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.06,0.06	0.02	0.05	0.00	6	50%	0.06	0	0.00	2	100%	0.05
Gorgui Dieng	0.04	0,0,0,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.05	0.00	0.01	6	71%	0.05	1	-0.01	2	100%	0.01
Shabazz Muhammad	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	0.01	-0.01	0.02	6	62%	0.03	2	-0.05	4	75%	-0.00
Cole Aldrich	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.03	0.00	-0.01	2	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kris Dunn	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.01	-0.01	2	0%	-0.02	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Karl-Anthony Towns	-0.18	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,0,0,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.15,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.18	-0.03	-0.11	0.04	22	48%	-0.07	3	-0.11	4	100%	0.01
Andrew Wiggins	-0.25	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.12,-0.12,-0.13,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.15,-0.17,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.22,-0.22,-0.2,-0.25,-0.25	-0.21	-0.05	-0.02	15	24%	-0.16	4	-0.08	4	100%	0.02

Philadelphia 76ers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Robert Covington	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0.37	0.37	-0.07	0.41	-0.03	14	41%	0.43	2	-0.06	4	100%	0.03
TJ McConnell	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,0.07	0.07	-0.08	0.12	-0.03	9	33%	0.12	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Nerlens Noel	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.06	0.00	0.01	5	80%	0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ersan Ilyasova	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.04,0.05,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.07	-0.00	0.05	14	63%	0.06	2	-0.04	2	100%	0.01
Joel Embiid	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.08,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.01,0	-0.00	-0.02	-0.03	-0.06	20	49%	0.09	3	-0.09	11	73%	-0.00
Nik Stauskas	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	9	44%	-0.00	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Hollis Thompson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Timothe Luwawu-Cabarrot	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.03	0.00	-0.01	2	50%	0.01	2	-0.03	4	100%	0.02
Jahlil Okafor	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.05	0.00	-0.03	3	25%	-0.02	1	-0.01	2	0%	-0.01
Dario Saric	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.06	0.01	-0.01	8	44%	0.03	3	-0.07	2	100%	0.02

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.3	2.4	29.8	15.0	27.1	2.4	36.6	137.6
league avg	24.8	2.3	29.6	15.7	26.8	2.3	33.5	136.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

PHI +37.9%

MIN -3.2%

PHI +1.2%

PHI +4.4%

PHI +9.6%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	MIN	PHI	NBA	MIN	PHI	NBA
this game	13.7	15.3	14.8	91.9	93.9	107.7
season	15.3	14.5		109.3	101.9
opponent	14.4	14.7		107.6	110.2

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
MIN	13.6	13.5	13.9	14.0	13.7
PHI	15.2	15.3	14.3	16.6	15.3

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Minnesota Timberwolves
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Cole Aldrich	14	14	-0.10	-0.40	0.31	-0.07	-1	-1	0	15.4	13.5	1.87	19.9	14.6	5.34
Kris Dunn	36	35	-0.15	-0.35	0.20	-0.15	0	-2	2	14.6	13.3	1.27	16.2	14.9	1.37
Nemanja Bjelica	46	45	-0.21	-0.29	0.09	-0.41	7	-9	16	14.0	13.6	0.39	16.4	14.5	1.86
Zach LaVine	83	83	-0.28	-0.22	-0.06	-0.49	7	-9	16	13.8	13.6	0.15	15.8	12.8	3.02
Shabazz Muhammad	36	36	-0.29	-0.21	-0.08	-0.02	-9	7	-16	14.4	13.4	1.05	15.9	15.0	0.86
Gorgui Dieng	58	59	-0.30	-0.20	-0.10	-0.04	-9	7	-16	13.9	13.6	0.28	14.3	16.9	-2.57
Ricky Rubio	63	64	-0.35	-0.15	-0.20	-0.29	-2	0	-2	13.3	14.6	-1.27	14.9	16.2	-1.37
Karl-Anthony Towns	80	80	-0.40	-0.10	-0.29	-0.37	-1	-1	0	13.3	15.8	-2.53	14.7	17.9	-3.16
Andrew Wiggins	79	79	-0.43	-0.07	-0.36	-0.37	-2	0	-2	13.4	15.0	-1.63	14.6	18.3	-3.77

Philadelphia 76ers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Nik Stauskas	67	67	1.03	-0.53	1.56	0.44	20	-18	38	15.3	15.4	-0.05	13.7	13.8	-0.14
Joel Embiid	63	60	0.62	-0.12	0.73	0.29	11	-9	20	15.4	15.3	0.10	13.9	13.5	0.34
Dario Saric	50	50	0.36	0.14	0.21	0.18	6	-4	10	15.5	15.2	0.28	14.1	13.4	0.67
Robert Covington	81	82	0.32	0.18	0.14	0.38	-2	4	-6	14.8	17.7	-2.84	13.6	14.2	-0.59
Ersan Ilyasova	67	66	0.31	0.19	0.13	0.40	-3	5	-8	15.2	15.7	-0.46	13.0	15.2	-2.15
Timothe Luwawu-Cabarrot	44	44	0.12	0.38	-0.26	0.21	-3	5	-8	15.7	15.0	0.69	13.9	13.6	0.29
Nerlens Noel	23	23	0.06	0.44	-0.38	0.03	1	1	0	15.1	15.4	-0.33	14.1	13.6	0.50
Hollis Thompson	7	8	0.04	0.46	-0.43	0.04	0	2	-2	19.1	15.1	4.09	16.1	13.5	2.59
Jahlil Okafor	19	22	-0.10	0.60	-0.70	0.16	-9	11	-20	16.5	15.1	1.46	13.5	13.8	-0.32
TJ McConnell	74	73	-0.25	0.75	-1.01	0.07	-11	13	-24	15.1	16.0	-0.88	13.8	13.6	0.23

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.52,0.51,0.5,0.57,0.61,0.59,0.57,0.63,0.72,0.69,0.71,0.75,0.77,0.78,0.82,0.81,0.8,0.8,0.81,0.88,0.84,0.87,0.92,0.88,0.93,0.97,0.98,0.97,0.95,0.92,0.9,0.91,0.82,0.86,0.87,0.9,0.95,0.96,0.94,0.91,0.92,0.85,0.83,0.95,0.92,0.89,0.74,1
Game		Similarity Score
CHI 81, NYK 88	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.51,0.52,0.58,0.6,0.64,0.66,0.69,0.72,0.69,0.7,0.7,0.74,0.78,0.84,0.83,0.83,0.84,0.84,0.85,0.89,0.89,0.89,0.96,0.95,0.96,0.97,0.95,0.94,0.94,0.94,0.94,0.92,0.9,0.91,0.92,0.89,0.88,0.94,0.96,0.97,0.94,0.97,0.94,0.96,0.85,0.91,1	94.9%
SAS 85, MEM 88	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.49,0.52,0.56,0.63,0.65,0.64,0.61,0.65,0.73,0.75,0.74,0.76,0.78,0.75,0.79,0.88,0.89,0.91,0.9,0.89,0.91,0.84,0.86,0.91,0.94,0.95,0.97,0.96,0.97,0.98,0.94,0.92,0.9,0.94,0.98,0.96,0.91,0.89,0.88,0.94,0.94,0.97,0.98,0.96,0.96,0.84,1	94.6%
DET 96, MIN 103	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.5,0.51,0.54,0.58,0.62,0.66,0.69,0.73,0.74,0.68,0.72,0.74,0.71,0.71,0.73,0.8,0.76,0.81,0.78,0.82,0.86,0.9,0.94,0.96,0.95,0.94,0.95,0.94,0.96,0.96,0.92,0.9,0.89,0.9,0.87,0.85,0.86,0.93,0.95,0.97,0.94,0.9,0.94,0.95,0.86,0.92,1	94.5%