NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

San Antonio Spurs	85		Excitement	4.8 [847]		MVP	Rudy Gay (MEM): +36.1%
Memphis Grizzlies	88		Comeback	1.2 [318]		LVP	Matt Bonner (SAS): -21.6%

San Antonio Spurs
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Manu Ginobili	0.21	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.08,-0.07,-0.08,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.16,-0.16,-0.12,0.21	-0.08	0.32	0.03	21	42%	0.26	3	-0.05	6	67%	-0.01
Tim Duncan	0.05	0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.05	0.03	0.05	0.02	14	53%	0.06	1	-0.01	2	100%	0.00
Fabricio Oberto	0.01	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.00	-0.00	5	60%	0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Jacque Vaughn	0.01	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.00	0.00	0.00	11	45%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Robert Horry	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Darius Washington	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.01	0.00	-0.00	5	40%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ime Udoka	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.03	0.00	-0.01	2	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Brent Barry	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.02	0.00	0.01	7	53%	0.00	2	-0.03	1	100%	0.00
Bruce Bowen	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.04	-0.01	0.00	2	75%	0.02	3	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Michael Finley	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.03	-0.02	0.02	13	42%	-0.04	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Matt Bonner	-0.22	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.22	0.02	-0.19	0.04	7	50%	-0.22	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00

Memphis Grizzlies
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Rudy Gay	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,-0.06,0.36	0.36	-0.05	0.34	-0.07	22	49%	0.49	5	-0.13	3	67%	0.00
Mike Miller	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.06,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.13,0.15,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.18,0.18,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17	0.17	0.20	0.01	0.04	18	82%	0.20	3	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Casey Jacobsen	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.04	0.00	0.02	2	83%	0.03	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Kyle Lowry	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.00	0.00	-0.00	2	50%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Andre Brown	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Darko Milicic	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.03	0.00	-0.01	4	25%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Hakim Warrick	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.03	0.00	-0.01	2	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Juan Carlos Navarro	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.06	0.00	-0.04	13	38%	0.00	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Stromile Swift	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.06	0.00	-0.01	3	50%	0.00	3	-0.05	4	75%	-0.01
Damon Stoudamire	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.1	-0.10	-0.07	-0.07	-0.05	9	45%	-0.06	4	-0.04	4	75%	-0.02

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.0	1.6	27.4	15.6	28.3	2.7	35.2	135.7
league avg	27.9	2.4	30.0	16.2	26.6	2.4	33.3	140.1

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

MEM +47.6%

MEM +6.1%

SAS -3.3%

SAS -6.4%

MEM +5.9%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	SAS	MEM	NBA	SAS	MEM	NBA
this game	16.0	15.5	15.4	93.4	95.7	105.7
season	16.5	14.9		104.7	103.3
opponent	14.9	15.3		109.9	100.5

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
SAS	18.4	16.0	15.0	14.5	16.0
MEM	13.7	15.3	15.7	17.4	15.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

San Antonio Spurs
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Brent Barry	52	56	0.30	-0.80	1.10	-0.23	18	-21	39	15.2	16.9	-1.65	16.1	14.6	1.45
Robert Horry	25	24	-0.05	-0.45	0.41	-0.13	3	-6	9	15.3	16.2	-0.88	14.6	15.8	-1.21
Matt Bonner	27	28	-0.05	-0.45	0.40	-0.08	1	-4	5	14.9	16.4	-1.57	16.2	15.2	1.05
Darius Washington	11	11	-0.09	-0.41	0.33	0.03	-4	1	-5	17.7	15.7	2.01	14.0	15.7	-1.73
Ime Udoka	24	24	-0.10	-0.40	0.29	-0.13	1	-4	5	15.5	16.1	-0.56	16.3	15.2	1.10
Manu Ginobili	61	61	-0.23	-0.27	0.05	-0.49	9	-12	21	15.1	17.6	-2.45	16.2	14.1	2.15
Fabricio Oberto	33	35	-0.27	-0.23	-0.04	-0.04	-8	5	-13	17.7	14.9	2.78	16.4	15.0	1.42
Michael Finley	60	60	-0.32	-0.18	-0.13	-0.29	-1	-2	1	15.6	16.6	-0.95	15.8	15.0	0.80
Tim Duncan	64	64	-0.37	-0.13	-0.24	-0.26	-4	1	-5	15.9	16.1	-0.17	15.0	16.7	-1.77
Jacque Vaughn	53	53	-0.51	0.01	-0.52	-0.25	-9	6	-15	16.7	14.9	1.82	15.4	15.7	-0.34
Bruce Bowen	45	44	-0.82	0.32	-1.14	-0.21	-21	18	-39	17.0	15.0	2.02	13.6	17.2	-3.61

Memphis Grizzlies
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Rudy Gay	84	84	0.50	0.00	0.49	0.38	4	-1	5	15.6	14.9	0.71	15.9	16.4	-0.51
Mike Miller	76	76	0.50	0.00	0.49	0.29	7	-4	11	15.8	14.1	1.69	16.2	14.5	1.70
Damon Stoudamire	64	63	0.40	0.10	0.29	0.28	4	-1	5	16.1	14.1	1.98	15.5	17.1	-1.61
Darko Milicic	45	45	0.35	0.15	0.21	0.21	5	-2	7	15.9	15.2	0.68	16.0	15.9	0.17
Juan Carlos Navarro	82	80	0.34	0.16	0.17	0.45	-4	7	-11	15.9	12.8	3.05	15.6	18.7	-3.15
Casey Jacobsen	26	26	0.17	0.33	-0.16	0.08	3	0	3	13.6	16.3	-2.66	16.3	15.8	0.49
Stromile Swift	45	44	0.12	0.38	-0.25	0.21	-3	6	-9	15.4	15.6	-0.19	16.0	15.9	0.13
Kyle Lowry	28	28	0.10	0.40	-0.29	0.13	-1	4	-5	14.1	16.1	-1.98	17.1	15.5	1.61
Andre Brown	2	2	0.02	0.48	-0.45	-0.01	1	2	-1	10.0	15.6	-5.64	12.5	16.0	-3.53
Hakim Warrick	8	7	0.00	0.50	-0.49	0.03	-1	4	-5	14.9	15.6	-0.71	16.4	15.9	0.51

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.48,0.49,0.52,0.56,0.63,0.65,0.64,0.61,0.65,0.73,0.75,0.74,0.76,0.78,0.75,0.79,0.88,0.89,0.91,0.9,0.89,0.91,0.84,0.86,0.91,0.94,0.95,0.97,0.96,0.97,0.98,0.94,0.92,0.9,0.94,0.98,0.96,0.91,0.89,0.88,0.94,0.94,0.97,0.98,0.96,0.96,0.84,1
Game		Similarity Score
CLE 79, DET 89	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.48,0.54,0.54,0.63,0.65,0.63,0.63,0.7,0.73,0.76,0.75,0.74,0.74,0.81,0.84,0.85,0.89,0.89,0.92,0.89,0.88,0.92,0.91,0.92,0.93,0.94,0.95,0.94,0.94,0.95,0.97,0.96,0.91,0.89,0.92,0.92,0.97,0.96,0.96,0.92,0.95,0.95,0.95,0.93,0.99,1,1	95.9%
NYK 103, ORL 118	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.51,0.52,0.59,0.62,0.68,0.66,0.61,0.63,0.66,0.71,0.77,0.76,0.76,0.73,0.79,0.82,0.84,0.84,0.88,0.86,0.89,0.86,0.86,0.94,0.95,0.98,0.96,0.97,0.97,0.95,0.98,0.94,0.96,0.94,0.9,0.93,0.86,0.95,0.95,0.97,0.99,0.97,1,1,1,1,1	95.8%
MIA 108, MIL 116	0.5,0.49,0.54,0.51,0.51,0.59,0.56,0.63,0.59,0.63,0.65,0.66,0.73,0.74,0.72,0.72,0.81,0.81,0.87,0.92,0.89,0.88,0.89,0.91,0.9,0.91,0.93,0.91,0.89,0.93,0.93,0.96,0.93,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.94,0.89,0.91,0.86,0.97,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1	95.6%