NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

New York Knicks	103		Excitement	3.3 [1118]		MVP	Dwight Howard (ORL): +14.1%
Orlando Magic	118		Comeback	1.0 [1291]		LVP	J.R. Giddens (NYK): -4.2%

New York Knicks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Danilo Gallinari	0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.15	0.00	0.06	17	65%	0.08	1	0.00	9	100%	0.03
Henry Walker	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.07	0.00	0.02	7	71%	0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Sergio Rodriguez	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.11	0.00	0.06	6	81%	0.06	1	-0.01	4	75%	0.01
Chris Duhon	0.00	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0	0.06	0.00	0.06	6	108%	0.05	4	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Toney Douglas	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0	0.03	-0.00	0.02	10	50%	-0.00	0	0.00	4	50%	-0.01
Earl Barron	-0.02	0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.03	0.00	-0.01	7	44%	-0.00	1	-0.01	4	50%	-0.01
David Lee	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	11	48%	0.02	2	-0.05	1	100%	0.00
Tracy McGrady	-0.04	0,0,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.05	-0.00	-0.01	6	50%	0.01	3	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
J.R. Giddens	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.05	0.00	-0.00	4	25%	-0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00

Orlando Magic
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Dwight Howard	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.13,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.16,0.16,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.14	0.20	0.00	0.06	14	69%	0.14	0	0.00	8	37%	-0.02
Vince Carter	0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.05,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.13,0.14,0.14,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.13	0.10	0.00	-0.02	19	60%	0.13	1	-0.01	4	50%	-0.01
Ryan Anderson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.15	0.01	0.05	11	86%	0.13	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Mickael Pietrus	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.03	0.00	-0.01	10	50%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
JJ Redick	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.07	0.00	0.05	9	68%	0.03	1	-0.01	4	50%	-0.01
Jameer Nelson	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.04	-0.00	0.02	10	65%	0.06	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Rashard Lewis	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.03	0.00	0.02	5	70%	0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Marcin Gortat	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	0	100%	0.02	2	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Jason Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.03	0.00	-0.01	2	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Matt Barnes	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.03	0.00	-0.00	4	25%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	21.2	2.5	28.7	16.8	28.6	2.5	29.4	129.5
league avg	26.2	2.4	30.3	16.5	27.2	2.4	33.7	141.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

ORL +31.3%

NYK -2.9%

ORL +11.8%

ORL +8.0%

ORL +1.8%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	NYK	ORL	NBA	NYK	ORL	NBA
this game	16.3	17.6	15.3	121.2	138.8	106.0
season	14.7	15.4		105.9	110.1
opponent	15.9	15.5		101.9	109.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
NYK	16.0	17.8	17.0	14.4	16.3
ORL	16.0	15.7	19.0	19.9	17.6

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

New York Knicks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
J.R. Giddens	8	7	-0.13	-0.37	0.24	0.07	-7	-8	1	22.1	15.7	6.41	13.1	18.0	-4.82
Chris Duhon	45	46	-0.18	-0.32	0.13	0.05	-8	-7	-1	16.1	16.5	-0.44	19.3	15.5	3.74
Henry Walker	53	53	-0.19	-0.31	0.12	-0.39	7	-22	29	16.2	16.4	-0.19	16.7	18.9	-2.20
Sergio Rodriguez	43	42	-0.19	-0.31	0.11	-0.08	-4	-11	7	16.1	16.5	-0.36	17.8	17.4	0.39
Toney Douglas	53	52	-0.28	-0.22	-0.06	-0.10	-6	-9	3	16.1	16.7	-0.64	16.8	18.8	-1.95
Danilo Gallinari	76	77	-0.29	-0.21	-0.08	-0.14	-5	-10	5	15.9	19.9	-3.99	18.1	12.4	5.73
Tracy McGrady	38	39	-0.37	-0.13	-0.25	0.15	-18	3	-21	16.6	16.1	0.42	17.3	17.8	-0.57
Earl Barron	57	56	-0.42	-0.08	-0.33	-0.15	-9	-6	-3	16.9	15.0	1.91	17.7	17.3	0.39
David Lee	52	53	-0.44	-0.06	-0.39	0.29	-25	10	-35	15.8	17.1	-1.26	17.4	17.9	-0.50

Orlando Magic
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Dwight Howard	65	65	0.38	0.12	0.27	-0.09	16	-1	17	18.4	15.0	3.35	16.4	16.1	0.22
Vince Carter	55	54	0.38	0.12	0.25	-0.18	19	-4	23	18.1	16.5	1.59	16.0	16.8	-0.82
Jameer Nelson	52	52	0.33	0.17	0.17	-0.14	16	-1	17	17.7	17.4	0.33	15.8	17.1	-1.31
Rashard Lewis	46	46	0.28	0.22	0.07	0.02	9	6	3	17.6	17.5	0.05	16.2	16.4	-0.22
Matt Barnes	29	29	0.25	0.25	0.00	-0.10	12	3	9	18.6	17.0	1.55	17.1	15.9	1.14
Ryan Anderson	39	39	0.22	0.28	-0.07	0.04	6	9	-3	17.5	17.6	-0.05	16.4	16.2	0.22
Mickael Pietrus	40	40	0.20	0.30	-0.10	0.17	1	14	-13	16.1	18.8	-2.72	16.9	15.8	1.19
JJ Redick	43	44	0.17	0.33	-0.16	0.14	1	14	-13	17.5	17.6	-0.15	16.0	16.6	-0.56
Jason Williams	36	36	0.17	0.33	-0.17	0.28	-4	19	-23	17.4	17.7	-0.30	16.5	16.2	0.36
Marcin Gortat	20	20	0.12	0.38	-0.27	0.15	-1	16	-17	15.0	18.4	-3.35	16.1	16.4	-0.22

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.54,0.51,0.52,0.59,0.62,0.68,0.66,0.61,0.63,0.66,0.71,0.77,0.76,0.76,0.73,0.79,0.82,0.84,0.84,0.88,0.86,0.89,0.86,0.86,0.94,0.95,0.98,0.96,0.97,0.97,0.95,0.98,0.94,0.96,0.94,0.9,0.93,0.86,0.95,0.95,0.97,0.99,0.97,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
POR 87, SEA 99	0.5,0.49,0.55,0.6,0.62,0.59,0.61,0.65,0.62,0.63,0.63,0.66,0.7,0.7,0.7,0.72,0.75,0.81,0.88,0.85,0.86,0.9,0.87,0.89,0.84,0.86,0.92,0.9,0.94,0.93,0.93,0.94,0.91,0.96,0.94,0.92,0.9,0.9,0.85,0.91,0.96,0.98,1,1,1,0.99,1,1,1,1	96.5%
POR 68, DEN 107	0.5,0.51,0.55,0.55,0.54,0.59,0.56,0.6,0.62,0.61,0.63,0.71,0.75,0.75,0.76,0.73,0.73,0.77,0.85,0.82,0.86,0.87,0.89,0.88,0.88,0.86,0.91,0.95,0.97,0.96,0.97,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.3%
ATL 95, SAS 111	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.58,0.64,0.59,0.61,0.63,0.65,0.65,0.68,0.75,0.77,0.79,0.8,0.79,0.8,0.82,0.84,0.86,0.85,0.87,0.93,0.94,0.95,0.94,0.95,0.97,0.96,0.93,0.94,0.93,0.94,0.96,0.95,0.91,0.94,0.9,0.91,0.89,0.85,0.92,0.97,0.97,0.99,1,1,1,1	96.3%